Weighted entropy and optimal portfolios for risk-averse Kelly investments

Following a series of works on capital growth investment, we analyse log-optimal portfolios where the return evaluation includes ‘weights’ of different outcomes. The results are twofold: (A) under certain conditions, the logarithmic growth rate leads to a supermartingale, and (B) the optimal (martingale) investment strategy is a proportional betting. We focus on properties of the optimal portfolios and discuss a number of simple examples extending the well-known Kelly betting scheme. An important restriction is that the investment does not exceed the current capital value and allows the trader to cover the worst possible losses. The paper deals with a class of discrete-time models. A continuous-time extension is a topic of an ongoing study.

[1]  W. Ziemba,et al.  Growth–Security Models and Stochastic Dominance , 2010 .

[2]  Yuri M. Suhov,et al.  Weighted Gaussian entropy and determinant inequalities , 2015, Aequationes mathematicae.

[3]  A. Puhalskii On Long Term Investment Optimality , 2016, 1609.00587.

[4]  Yuri M. Suhov,et al.  Weighted information and entropy rates , 2016, ArXiv.

[5]  Yuri M. Suhov,et al.  Basic inequalities for weighted entropies , 2015, ArXiv.

[6]  W. Schachermayer,et al.  Necessary and sufficient conditions in the problem of optimal investment in incomplete markets , 2003 .

[7]  W. Ziemba,et al.  Capital growth with security , 2004 .

[8]  John L. Kelly,et al.  A new interpretation of information rate , 1956, IRE Trans. Inf. Theory.

[9]  Thomas M. Cover,et al.  Elements of Information Theory , 2005 .

[10]  T. Cover Universal Portfolios , 1996 .

[11]  Mark Kelbert,et al.  Information Theory and Coding by Example , 2013 .

[12]  Tomasz R. Bielecki,et al.  Risk Sensitive Portfolio Management with Cox--Ingersoll--Ross Interest Rates: The HJB Equation , 2005, SIAM J. Control. Optim..

[13]  E. Thorp,et al.  The Kelly Capital Growth Investment Criterion: Theory and Practice , 2011 .

[14]  Mark H. A. Davis,et al.  Risk-Sensitive Investment Management , 2014 .

[15]  W. Schachermayer,et al.  The asymptotic elasticity of utility functions and optimal investment in incomplete markets , 1999 .

[16]  T. Cover,et al.  Asymptotic optimality and asymptotic equipartition properties of log-optimum investment , 1988 .

[17]  Yuri M. Suhov,et al.  On principles of large deviation and selected data compression , 2016, ArXiv.

[18]  Neil D. Pearson,et al.  Consumption and Portfolio Policies With Incomplete Markets and Short‐Sale Constraints: the Finite‐Dimensional Case , 1991 .