Reliability of prestressed concrete structures considering creep models

The reliability of prestressed concrete structures subject to viscoelastic behaviour is investigated regarding the creep model defined by the Eurocodes. A probabilistic phenomenological model is proposed for long-term creep strains on the basis of large database of creep tests. The uncertainties in the geometrical and mechanical parameters are modelled by random variables. The proposed model considers also the statistical fitting error in creep strain predictions. The reliability analysis is performed on a prestressed concrete deck, in order to show the large impact of time-dependent phenomena on the reliability of prestressed structures, and consequently the importance of considering appropriate viscoelastic models in the design of this kind of structures. Moreover, the errors related to creep models are shown to play a very important role in the structural safety assessment.

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