Price and Volatility Spillovers between Stock Prices and Exchange Rates: Empirical Evidence from the G-7 Countries

This paper explores the nature of the mean and volatility transmission mechanism between stock and foreign exchange markets for the G-7 countries. Empirical evidence supports the asymmetric volatility spillover effect and shows that movements of stock prices will affect future exchange rate movements, but changes in exchange rates have less direct impact on future changes of stock prices. The implication is particularly important to international portfolio managers when devising hedging and diversification strategies for their portfolios.

[1]  Raymond W. So Price and volatility spillovers between interest rate and exchange value of the US dollar , 2001 .

[2]  R. Engle Autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity with estimates of the variance of United Kingdom inflation , 1982 .

[3]  C. Granger,et al.  Co-integration and error correction: representation, estimation and testing , 1987 .

[4]  T. Bollerslev,et al.  Modelling the Coherence in Short-run Nominal Exchange Rates: A Multivariate Generalized ARCH Model , 1990 .

[5]  G. Geoffrey Booth,et al.  Asymmetric volatility transmission in international stock markets , 1995 .

[6]  Daniel B. Nelson CONDITIONAL HETEROSKEDASTICITY IN ASSET RETURNS: A NEW APPROACH , 1991 .

[7]  Bruno H. Solnik,et al.  Using Financial Prices to Test Exchange Rate Models: A Note , 1987 .

[8]  T. Chiang,et al.  Stock Return and Exchange Rate Risk: Evidence from Asian Stock Markets Based on A Bivariate GARCH Model , 2000 .

[9]  R. Aggarwal EXCHANGE RATES AND STOCK PRICES: A STUDY OF THE US CAPITAL MARKETS UNDER FLOATING EXCHANGE RATES , 2003 .

[10]  James D. Hamilton Time Series Analysis , 1994 .

[11]  Clive W. J. Granger,et al.  A Bivariate Causality between Stock Prices and Exchange Rates: Evidence from Recent Asia Flu , 1998 .

[12]  N. Laopodis Asymmetric volatility spillovers in deutsche mark exchange rates , 1998 .

[13]  Ronald W. Masulis,et al.  Correlations in Price Changes and Volatility Across International Stock Markets , 1990 .

[14]  Cheng-Few Lee,et al.  Dynamic relationship between stock prices and exchange rates for G-7 countries , 2001 .

[15]  S. Fischer,et al.  Exchange Rates and the Current Account , 1980 .

[16]  John W. Galbraith,et al.  Testing for a Unit Root , 1993 .

[17]  Bronwyn H Hall,et al.  Estimation and Inference in Nonlinear Structural Models , 1974 .

[18]  T. Chiang,et al.  Foreign exchange risk premiums and time-varying equity market risks , 2003 .

[19]  Richard A. Ajayi,et al.  ON THE DYNAMIC RELATION BETWEEN STOCK PRICES AND EXCHANGE RATES , 1996 .

[20]  S. Johansen STATISTICAL ANALYSIS OF COINTEGRATION VECTORS , 1988 .

[21]  Seyed Mehdian,et al.  On the relationship between stock returns and exchange rates: Tests of granger causality , 1998 .

[22]  P. Phillips Testing for a Unit Root in Time Series Regression , 1988 .

[23]  The stock market and exchange rate dynamics , 1989 .

[24]  J. Wooldridge,et al.  Quasi-maximum likelihood estimation and inference in dynamic models with time-varying covariances , 1992 .

[25]  Tae-Hwy Lee,et al.  Cointegration tests with conditional heteroskedasticity , 1996 .

[26]  R. Chou,et al.  ARCH modeling in finance: A review of the theory and empirical evidence , 1992 .

[27]  Jeffrey A. Frankel,et al.  Monetary and Portfolio-Balance Models of Exchange Rate Determination , 1987 .

[28]  M. Bahmani‐Oskooee,et al.  Stock prices and the effective exchange rate of the dollar , 1992 .