Spatio-temporal pattern of vulnerable road user’s collisions hot spots and related risk factors for injury severity in Tunisia

Abstract High risk of vulnerable road users (VRUs) injuries and fatalities have received higher interest nowadays in Tunisia. By using VRUs crash record (from January 1, 2001 to December 31, 2013), we describe the spatial pattern of VRUs collisions according to different temporal scales such as (a.m. vs p.m. rush hours VRUs collisions, working days vs non-working days VRUs collisions, daytime vs nighttime VRUs collisions) and investigate the influence of personal and environmental factors for VRUs injuries severity within the Center-East region in Tunisia. The empirical results are of great variety: spatial clustering pattern of each subtype of VRUs collisions according to temporal scale were clearly observed with the exception of daytime VRUs collisions, which shows a random tendency. All time-based subtypes of VRUs collisions also were found to be clustered along the national highways and regional highways especially in the regions of Sousse and Sfax. Results from VRUs severity model suggest that the degree of injury severity is higher for male than for female victim. The Tunisian VRUs are more likely to be involved in severe collision than non-Tunisian VRUs. Among driver contributory factors, the change of direction and hazardous overtaking increase the probability of sustaining fatal accidents compared to other driver contributory factors. The season factor shows that accident severity during the summer season is higher. From a policy view point, this kind of analysis can certainly help Tunisian public authorities to develop appropriate safety measures that can possibly reduce the number of VRUs injuries and fatalities.

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