The GISES Model for Counteracting Organized Crime and International Terrorism

The international environment is complex and unpredictable. Because of this, new ways must be found to assess security and other risks adequately, and eliminate them when necessary. The elimination of risks and the reduction of uncertainty is not the priority of a few. Societies, and especially those of developed countries, must take an increased interest in developments that are likely to cause disruption and which may, unchecked, result in the quality and safety of life being eroded. An erosion of the quality of life will leave fewer choices to people, and possibly breed social discontent. Clearly therefore, more attention must be paid by governmental policymakers and their advisors to the many issues associated with international security, and new ways found to develop and integrate the various intelligence activities presently existing. Chris Donnelly, a former Special Adviser at the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO), in his keynote address at the European Telecommunications Resilience and Recovery Conference in June 2003, spoke on the theme of ‘‘New threats to security and responses.’’ He stated that the world was going through a period of change, that it was necessary to recognize that change was occurring, and that the process of change had to be dealt with in a constructive manner. While this seems to be both

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