Minimizing the evacuation time of a crowd from a complex building using rescue guides

In an emergency situation, the evacuation of a large crowd from a complex building can become slow or even dangerous without a working evacuation plan. The use of rescue guides that lead the crowd out of the building can improve the evacuation efficiency. An important issue is how to choose the number, positions, and exit assignments of these guides to minimize the evacuation time of the crowd. Here, we model the evacuating crowd as a multi-agent system with the social force model and simple interaction rules for guides and their followers. We formulate the problem of minimizing the evacuation time using rescue guides as a stochastic control problem. Then, we solve it with a procedure combining numerical simulation and a genetic algorithm (GA). The GA iteratively searches for the optimal evacuation plan, while numerical simulations evaluate the evacuation time of the plans. We apply the procedure on a test case and on an evacuation of a fictional conference building. The procedure is able to solve the number of guides, their initial positions and exit assignments in a single although complicated optimization. The attained results show that the procedure converges to an optimal evacuation plan, which minimizes the evacuation time and mitigates congestion and the effect of random deviations in agents' motion.

[1]  Dirk Helbing,et al.  Pedestrian, Crowd and Evacuation Dynamics , 2013, Encyclopedia of Complexity and Systems Science.

[2]  Robert Shield,et al.  Modeling the Effect of Leadership on Crowd Flow Dynamics , 2004, ACRI.

[3]  Weiguo Song,et al.  Modeling pedestrian evacuation with guiders based on a multi-grid model , 2016 .

[4]  Yi Li,et al.  The Trace Model: A model for simulation of the tracing process during evacuations in complex route environments , 2016, Simul. Model. Pract. Theory.

[5]  Milad Haghani,et al.  Optimising crowd evacuations: Mathematical, architectural and behavioural approaches , 2020 .

[6]  Giacomo Albi,et al.  Invisible Control of Self-Organizing Agents Leaving Unknown Environments , 2015, SIAM J. Appl. Math..

[7]  Peter Vortisch,et al.  Quickest Paths in Simulations of Pedestrians , 2011, Adv. Complex Syst..

[8]  Thomas Bäck,et al.  Evolution Strategies on Noisy Functions: How to Improve Convergence Properties , 1994, PPSN.

[9]  Harri Ehtamo,et al.  Spatial game in cellular automaton evacuation model. , 2015, Physical review. E, Statistical, nonlinear, and soft matter physics.

[10]  D. Helbing,et al.  Lattice gas simulation of experimentally studied evacuation dynamics. , 2003, Physical review. E, Statistical, nonlinear, and soft matter physics.

[11]  Hubert Klüpfel,et al.  Evacuation Dynamics: Empirical Results, Modeling and Applications , 2009, Encyclopedia of Complexity and Systems Science.

[12]  Ioannis Karamouzas,et al.  Universal power law governing pedestrian interactions. , 2014, Physical review letters.

[13]  Hairong Dong,et al.  Optimization of Crowd Evacuation With Leaders in Urban Rail Transit Stations , 2019, IEEE Transactions on Intelligent Transportation Systems.

[14]  大黒 正敏,et al.  Fire Dynamics Simulator の火災基礎現象への適用 , 2010 .

[15]  Maria Davidich,et al.  Towards automatic and robust adjustment of human behavioral parameters in a pedestrian stream model to measured data , 2012 .

[16]  Yuan Cheng,et al.  Evacuation assistants: An extended model for determining effective locations and optimal numbers , 2012 .

[17]  Rahul Narain,et al.  Implicit crowds , 2017, ACM Trans. Graph..

[18]  Timo Korhonen,et al.  Fire Dynamics Simulator with Evacuation: FDS+Evac: Technical Reference and User's Guide , 2009 .

[19]  Chenfanfu Jiang,et al.  Implementing Position-Based Real-Time Simulation of Large Crowds , 2019, 2019 IEEE International Conference on Artificial Intelligence and Virtual Reality (AIVR).

[20]  Serge P. Hoogendoorn,et al.  Simulation of pedestrian flows by optimal control and differential games , 2003 .

[21]  Daniele Peri,et al.  Handling obstacles in pedestrian simulations: Models and optimization , 2015, 1512.08528.

[22]  Mohammad Saadatseresht,et al.  Evacuation planning using multiobjective evolutionary optimization approach , 2009, Eur. J. Oper. Res..

[23]  John R. Birge,et al.  The value of the stochastic solution in stochastic linear programs with fixed recourse , 1982, Math. Program..

[24]  Dirk Helbing,et al.  Patient and impatient pedestrians in a spatial game for egress congestion. , 2013, Physical review. E, Statistical, nonlinear, and soft matter physics.

[25]  Alex M. Andrew,et al.  Level Set Methods and Fast Marching Methods: Evolving Interfaces in Computational Geometry, Fluid Mechanics, Computer Vision, and Materials Science (2nd edition) , 2000 .

[26]  Helbing,et al.  Social force model for pedestrian dynamics. , 1995, Physical review. E, Statistical physics, plasmas, fluids, and related interdisciplinary topics.

[27]  D. Helbing,et al.  Leadership, consensus decision making and collective behaviour in humans , 2009, Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences.

[28]  Hai-Jun Huang,et al.  Static floor field and exit choice for pedestrian evacuation in rooms with internal obstacles and multiple exits. , 2008, Physical review. E, Statistical, nonlinear, and soft matter physics.

[29]  Norman I. Badler,et al.  Modeling Crowd and Trained Leader Behavior during Building Evacuation , 2006, IEEE Computer Graphics and Applications.

[30]  Gui-Rong Liu,et al.  Improved neighbor list algorithm in molecular simulations using cell decomposition and data sorting method , 2004, Comput. Phys. Commun..

[31]  Ossama Abdelkhalik Hidden Genes Genetic Optimization for Variable-Size Design Space Problems , 2013, J. Optim. Theory Appl..

[32]  Tzu-Yi Chen,et al.  Optimizing leader proportion and behavior for evacuating buildings , 2014, SpringSim.

[33]  Hani S. Mahmassani,et al.  Modeling framework for optimal evacuation of large-scale crowded pedestrian facilities , 2014, Eur. J. Oper. Res..

[34]  Hendrik Vermuyten,et al.  A review of optimisation models for pedestrian evacuation and design problems , 2016 .

[35]  Timo Korhonen,et al.  Fire Dynamics Simulator with Evacuation: FDS+Evac , 2010 .

[36]  Harri Ehtamo,et al.  Pedestrian behavior and exit selection in evacuation of a corridor – An experimental study , 2012 .

[37]  Harri Ehtamo,et al.  Pushing and overtaking others in a spatial game of exit congestion , 2019, Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications.

[38]  Harri Ehtamo,et al.  Counterflow model for agent-based simulation of crowd dynamics , 2012 .

[39]  Michael Kinsey,et al.  Guidance for the Model Developer on Representing Human Behavior in Egress Models , 2015, Fire Technology.

[40]  Bing-Hong Wang,et al.  A social force evacuation model with the leadership effect , 2014 .

[41]  David E. Goldberg,et al.  Genetic Algorithms in Search Optimization and Machine Learning , 1988 .

[42]  Gunnar G. Løvås,et al.  On performance measures for evacuation systems , 1995 .

[43]  Giuseppe Carlo Calafiore,et al.  The scenario approach to robust control design , 2006, IEEE Transactions on Automatic Control.

[44]  James A. Sethian,et al.  Level Set Methods and Fast Marching Methods: Evolving Interfaces in Computational Geometry, Fluid , 2012 .

[45]  Gunnar G. Løvs Models of wayfinding in emergency evacuations , 1998, Eur. J. Oper. Res..

[46]  Shiroq Al-Megren,et al.  Effect of exit placement on evacuation plans , 2018, Eur. J. Oper. Res..

[47]  Reinhard Männer,et al.  Parallel Problem Solving from Nature — PPSN III , 1994, Lecture Notes in Computer Science.

[48]  Andreas Schadschneider,et al.  Extended Floor Field CA Model for Evacuation Dynamics , 2004, IEICE Trans. Inf. Syst..