국내 컨벤션센터 전시장 사용면적 수요예측 모형개발

The purpose of study is to determine more accurate models to forecast exhibition using area of convention centers in Korea. Eleven models were tested based upon the degree of MAPE. Those were; NAΪVE2 model, Linear model, Quadratic model, Cubic model, Growth model, S-curve model, Exponential model, Log model, Holt exponential smoothing model, Brown exponential smoothing model, and Causal model. Among them, Linear model, Holt exponential smoothing model, Brown exponential smoothing model, and Causal model were selected to forecast exhibition using area of convention centers in Korea. For the further study, it is suggested that more data should be collected for the time series forecasting, and more diverse economic variables should be used for causal forecasting model.