Border carbon adjustments for exports of the United States and the European Union: Taking border-crossing frequency into account

This paper proposes that not only the size and component of carbon footprints are relevant to environmental policies but the border-crossing frequency associated with carbon footprints also has important policy implications, especially given that the fragmentation of production across national boundaries has been developing quickly in recent years. Based on the World Input Output Database, this paper traces carbon transfer along cross-border supply chains and proposes both the upstream and downstream decomposition of export rebates of the United States and the European Union. The carbon transfer from the United States and the European Union to other countries or regions is mainly through international trade in intermediate products, which may cross national borders multiple times. The multiple rebate revenue reaches 422.14 million dollars, and the problem of multiple rebates is much more serious for the sectors with a greater degree of global production fragmentation, such as the electrical and optical equipment sector. In addition, export rebates are mainly targeted at the carbon emissions that are generated in the electricity generation sector and embodied in exports.

[1]  E. Dietzenbacher,et al.  An Illustrated User Guide to the World Input–Output Database: The Case of Global Automotive Production , 2015 .

[2]  A. Mattoo,et al.  Trade effects of alternative carbon border-tax schemes , 2013 .

[3]  Jie He,et al.  Pollution haven hypothesis and environmental impacts of foreign direct investment: The case of industrial emission of sulfur dioxide (SO2) in Chinese provinces , 2006 .

[4]  S. Davis,et al.  Consumption-based accounting of CO2 emissions , 2010, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

[5]  Marjan W. Hofkes,et al.  Border adjustment for European emissions trading: Competitiveness and carbon leakage , 2010 .

[6]  Fionnuala Murphy,et al.  Investigation of the potential impact of the Paris Agreement on national mitigation policies and the risk of carbon leakage; an analysis of the Irish bioenergy industry , 2017 .

[7]  Aijun Li,et al.  Will carbon motivated border tax adjustments function as a threat , 2012 .

[8]  J. Fouré,et al.  Border carbon adjustment and trade retaliation: What would be the cost for the European Union? , 2016 .

[9]  C. Fischer,et al.  Robust Policies Against Emission Leakage: The Case for Upstream Subsidies , 2014, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[10]  Samuel Kortum,et al.  Border Adjustments for Carbon Emissions: Basic Concepts and Design , 2016 .

[11]  Edward J. Balistreri,et al.  The role of border carbon adjustment in unilateral climate policy: Overview of an Energy Modeling Forum study (EMF 29) , 2012 .

[12]  Jan Christoph Steckel,et al.  Consumption- Versus Production-Based Emission Policies , 2014 .

[13]  Jean Chateau,et al.  Is there a case for carbon-based border tax adjustment? An applied general equilibrium analysis , 2013 .

[14]  Han Qiao,et al.  Impacts of Border Carbon Adjustments on China's Sectoral Emissions: Simulations with a Dynamic Computable General Equilibrium Model , 2012 .

[15]  Madison E. Condon,et al.  Border Carbon Adjustment and International Trade , 2013 .

[16]  Yi-Ming Wei,et al.  An overview of current research on EU ETS: Evidence from its operating mechanism and economic effect , 2010 .

[17]  Yi-Ming Wei,et al.  Distributional impacts of taxing carbon in China: Results from the CEEPA model , 2012 .

[18]  Harro van Asselt,et al.  Addressing competitiveness and leakage concerns in climate policy: An analysis of border adjustment measures in the US and the EU , 2010 .

[19]  Matthew A. Cole,et al.  Institutionalized pollution havens , 2009 .

[20]  Joeri Van Mierlo,et al.  The hourly life cycle carbon footprint of electricity generation in Belgium, bringing a temporal resolution in life cycle assessment , 2014 .

[21]  Erik Dietzenbacher,et al.  Production Chains in an Interregional Framework: Identification by Means of Average Propagation Lengths , 2007 .

[22]  Mads Greaker,et al.  Robust technology policy against emission leakage: The case of upstream subsidies , 2017 .

[23]  H. Asselt,et al.  The Trade System and Climate Action: Ways Forward Under the Paris Agreement , 2017 .

[24]  Bin Chen,et al.  Targeted opportunities to address the climate-trade dilemma in China , 2016 .

[25]  Zhongxiang Zhang Competitiveness and Leakage Concerns and Border Carbon Adjustments , 2012 .

[26]  Manfred Lenzen,et al.  BUILDING EORA: A GLOBAL MULTI-REGION INPUT–OUTPUT DATABASE AT HIGH COUNTRY AND SECTOR RESOLUTION , 2013 .

[27]  Dabo Guan,et al.  Carbon emissions embodied in international trade: The post-China era , 2016 .

[28]  Jiansuo Pei,et al.  Trade, production fragmentation, and China's carbon dioxide emissions , 2012 .

[29]  A. Hoekstra,et al.  Humanity’s unsustainable environmental footprint , 2014, Science.

[30]  T. Rutherford,et al.  Efficiency and Equity Implications of Alternative Instruments to Reduce Carbon Leakage , 2012 .

[31]  Justin Caron Estimating carbon leakage and the efficiency of border adjustments in general equilibrium — Does sectoral aggregation matter? , 2012 .

[32]  Dimitrios Zafirakis,et al.  Embodied CO2 emissions and cross-border electricity trade in Europe: Rebalancing burden sharing with energy storage , 2015 .

[33]  A. A. Rezza FDI and pollution havens: Evidence from the Norwegian manufacturing sector , 2013 .

[34]  L. Bartels The WTO Legality of the Application of the EU’s Emission Trading System to Aviation , 2012 .

[35]  Lee Liu A critical examination of the consumption‐based accounting approach: has the blaming of consumers gone too far? , 2015 .

[36]  Bin Ye,et al.  The allowance mechanism of China’s carbon trading pilots: A comparative analysis with schemes in EU and California , 2017 .

[37]  Davin Chor,et al.  Measuring the Upstreamness of Production and Trade Flows , 2012 .

[38]  Erik Dietzenbacher,et al.  Using Average Propagation Lengths to Identify Production Chains in the Andalusian Economy/Empleando Longitudes Medias de Propagación para identificar Cadenas Productivas en la Economía Andaluza , 2005 .

[39]  J. Rollo,et al.  Border carbon adjustments and the potential for protectionism , 2011 .

[40]  Thomas F. Rutherford,et al.  The Economic Effects of Border Measures in Subglobal Climate Agreements , 2005 .

[41]  Karl W. Steininger,et al.  Switching to carbon-free production processes: Implications for carbon leakage and border carbon adjustment , 2014 .

[42]  Glen P. Peters,et al.  The contribution of Chinese exports to climate change , 2008 .

[43]  Carlo Ingrao,et al.  Application of Carbon Footprint to an agro-biogas supply chain in Southern Italy , 2015 .

[44]  Masanobu Ishikawa,et al.  Economic and environmental impact analysis of carbon tariffs on Chinese exports , 2015 .

[45]  Alan K. Fox,et al.  Comparing Policies to Combat Emissions Leakage: Border Carbon Adjustments versus Rebates , 2011 .

[46]  Bo Meng,et al.  Tracing CO2 Emissions in Global Value Chains , 2014 .

[47]  K. Muradov Counting Borders in Global Value Chains , 2016 .

[48]  P. Nie,et al.  Effects of carbon tax on social welfare: A case study of China , 2016 .

[49]  K. Hubacek,et al.  Household carbon footprints in the Baltic States: A global multi-regional input–output analysis from 1995 to 2011 , 2017 .

[50]  Channing Arndt,et al.  Introducing carbon taxes in South Africa , 2014 .

[51]  W. Leontief,et al.  The structure of American economy, 1919-1929 : an empirical application of equilibrium analysis , 1942 .

[52]  Han Qiao,et al.  Growth in embodied energy transfers via China’s domestic trade: Evidence from multi-regional input–output analysis , 2016 .

[53]  Taran Fæhn,et al.  Alternative Designs for Tariffs on Embodied Carbon: A Global Cost-Effectiveness Analysis , 2012 .

[54]  Marco Sakai,et al.  Border carbon adjustments: Addressing emissions embodied in trade , 2016 .

[55]  Michael Hübler,et al.  Between a Rock and a Hard Place: A Trade-Theory Analysis of Leakage Under Production- and Consumption-Based Policies , 2013 .

[56]  Alp Simsek,et al.  Belief Disagreements and Collateral Constraints , 2013 .

[57]  David Hummels,et al.  The Nature and Growth of Vertical Specialization in World Trade , 1999 .

[58]  Philippe Quirion,et al.  Would Border Carbon Adjustments Prevent Carbon Leakage and Heavy Industry Competitiveness Losses? Insights From a Meta-Analysis of Recent Economic Studies , 2014 .

[59]  Davin Chor,et al.  Organizing the Global Value Chain , 2012 .

[60]  Philippe Quirion,et al.  Addressing leakage in the EU ETS: Border adjustment or output-based allocation? , 2011 .

[61]  Jing Meng,et al.  The impact of domestic and foreign trade on energy-related PM emissions in Beijing , 2016 .

[62]  I. Ozturk,et al.  Investigating the pollution haven hypothesis in Ghana: An empirical investigation , 2017 .

[63]  Kei-Mu Yi Can Multi-Stage Production Explain the Home Bias in Trade? , 2008 .