Geographical patterns of adaptation within a species’ range: interactions between drift and gene flow

We use individual‐based stochastic simulations and analytical deterministic predictions to investigate the interaction between drift, natural selection and gene flow on the patterns of local adaptation across a fragmented species’ range under clinally varying selection. Migration between populations follows a stepping‐stone pattern and density decreases from the centre to the periphery of the range. Increased migration worsens gene swamping in small marginal populations but mitigates the effect of drift by replenishing genetic variance and helping purge deleterious mutations. Contrary to the deterministic prediction that increased connectivity within the range always inhibits local adaptation, simulations show that low intermediate migration rates improve fitness in marginal populations and attenuate fitness heterogeneity across the range. Such migration rates are optimal in that they maximize the total mean fitness at the scale of the range. Optimal migration rates increase with shallower environmental gradients, smaller marginal populations and higher mutation rates affecting fitness.

[1]  J. Emlen,et al.  ON THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN ABUNDANCE AND DISTRIBUTION OF SPECIES , 2008 .

[2]  Thomas Lenormand,et al.  Gene flow and the limits to natural selection , 2002 .

[3]  J. David,et al.  DESICCATION AND STARVATION TOLERANCE OF ADULT DROSOPHILA: OPPOSITE LATITUDINAL CLINES IN NATURAL POPULATIONS OF THREE DIFFERENT SPECIES , 1998, Evolution; international journal of organic evolution.

[4]  D. Byers Effect of cross proximity on progeny fitness in a rare and a common species of Eupatorium (Asteraceae). , 1998, American journal of botany.

[5]  Gordon Luikart,et al.  The alluring simplicity and complex reality of genetic rescue. , 2004, Trends in ecology & evolution.

[6]  D. Couvet,et al.  Bottlenecks in large populations: the effect of immigration on population viability , 2003, Evolutionary Ecology.

[7]  Mark Kirkpatrick,et al.  GENETIC MODELS OF ADAPTATION AND GENE FLOW IN PERIPHERAL POPULATIONS , 1997, Evolution; international journal of organic evolution.

[8]  D. Tallmon,et al.  Experimental Evidence for Beneficial Fitness Effects of Gene Flow in Recently Isolated Populations , 2001 .

[9]  J. Lawton,et al.  Range, population abundance and conservation. , 1993, Trends in ecology & evolution.

[10]  George W. Tyler,et al.  The Evolution of Species , 1871, The British and foreign medico-chirurgical review.

[11]  Mats Gyllenberg,et al.  Minimum Viable Metapopulation Size , 1996, The American Naturalist.

[12]  M. Blows,et al.  EVOLUTION OF ADDITIVE AND NONADDITIVE GENETIC VARIANCE IN DEVELOPMENT TIME ALONG A CLINE IN DROSOPHILA SERRATA , 2003, Evolution; international journal of organic evolution.

[13]  S. Gandon,et al.  Local adaptation, evolutionary potential and host–parasite coevolution: interactions between migration, mutation, population size and generation time , 2002 .

[14]  G. A. Horridge,et al.  Animal species and evolution. , 1964 .

[15]  M. Lynch,et al.  EVOLUTION AND EXTINCTION IN A CHANGING ENVIRONMENT: A QUANTITATIVE‐GENETIC ANALYSIS , 1995, Evolution; international journal of organic evolution.

[16]  K. Gaston,et al.  The geographical range structure of the Holly Leaf-miner. III. Cold hardiness physiology , 2003 .

[17]  M. Taper,et al.  Interspecific Competition, Environmental Gradients, Gene Flow, and the Coevolution of Species' Borders , 2000, The American Naturalist.

[18]  T. Waite,et al.  Spatial patterns of demography and genetic processes across the species' range: Null hypotheses for landscape conservation genetics , 2003, Conservation Genetics.

[19]  James H. Brown,et al.  Turnover Rates in Insular Biogeography: Effect of Immigration on Extinction , 1977 .

[20]  M. Whitlock,et al.  Local drift load and the heterosis of interconnected populations , 2000, Heredity.

[21]  C. Cockerham,et al.  Mutation models and quantitative genetic variation. , 1993, Genetics.

[22]  R. Holt,et al.  Allee Effects, Immigration, and the Evolution of Species’ Niches , 2004, The American Naturalist.

[23]  R. Gomulkiewicz,et al.  The phenomenology of niche evolution via quantitative traits in a ‘black-hole’ sink , 2003, Proceedings of the Royal Society of London. Series B: Biological Sciences.

[24]  C. Stringer,et al.  Evolution of a species , 1985 .

[25]  R Gomulkiewicz,et al.  The effects of density dependence and immigration on local adaptation and niche evolution in a black-hole sink environment. , 1999, Theoretical population biology.

[26]  Gaggiotti Population Genetic Models of Source-Sink Metapopulations , 1996, Theoretical population biology.

[27]  Denis Couvet,et al.  Deleterious Effects of Restricted Gene Flow in Fragmented Populations , 2002 .

[28]  A. Hoffmann,et al.  Shifting clinal patterns and microsatellite variation in Drosophila serrata populations: a comparison of populations near the southern border of the species range , 2002 .

[29]  S. Gandon,et al.  Local adaptation and gene-for-gene coevolution in a metapopulation model , 1996, Proceedings of the Royal Society of London. Series B: Biological Sciences.

[30]  J. R. Stauffer,et al.  Population structure and colour variation of the cichlid fishes Labeotropheus fuelleborni Ahl along a recently formed archipelago of rocky habitat patches in southern Lake Malawi , 1999, Proceedings of the Royal Society of London. Series B: Biological Sciences.

[31]  Kevin J. Gaston,et al.  The geographical range structure of the holly leaf‐miner. I. Population density , 2002 .

[32]  P. Gouyon,et al.  Evolution of Migration Rate and Other Traits: The Metapopulation Effect , 1997 .

[33]  J. B. S. Haldane,et al.  The theory of a cline , 2008, Journal of Genetics.

[34]  H. C. Prentice,et al.  Gene diversity and demographic turnover in central and peripheral populations of the perennial herb Gypsophila fastigiata , 2002 .

[35]  Eileen M. O'Brien Climatic Gradients in Woody Plant Species Richness: Towards an Explanation Based on an Analysis of Southern Africa's Woody Flora , 1993 .

[36]  D. Spittlehouse,et al.  GENETIC RESPONSES TO CLIMATE IN PINUS CONTORTA: NICHE BREADTH, CLIMATE CHANGE, AND REFORESTATION , 1999 .

[37]  R. Lande,et al.  A Model of Population Growth, Dispersal and Evolution in a Changing Environment , 1989 .

[38]  T. Kawecki Adaptation to marginal habitats: contrasting influence of the dispersal rate on the fate of alleles with small and large effects , 2000, Proceedings of the Royal Society of London. Series B: Biological Sciences.

[39]  M. Slatkin,et al.  Genetic drift in a cline. , 1975, Genetics.

[40]  Genetic drift in clines which are maintained by migration and natural selection. , 1975, Genetics.

[41]  S. Glémin,et al.  Patterns of inbreeding depression and architecture of the load in subdivided populations. , 2003, Genetics.

[42]  H. G. Baker,et al.  Differentiation of populations. , 1970, Science.

[43]  R. Bürger,et al.  Genetic variation maintained in multilocus models of additive quantitative traits under stabilizing selection. , 1999, Genetics.

[44]  R. Butlin,et al.  Genetics and the boundaries of species' distributions , 2003 .

[45]  N. Barton Clines in polygenic traits. , 1999, Genetical research.

[46]  Mark V. Lomolino,et al.  Dynamic biogeography and conservation of endangered species , 2000, Nature.

[47]  C. Richards Inbreeding Depression and Genetic Rescue in a Plant Metapopulation , 2000, The American Naturalist.

[48]  M Slatkin,et al.  Spatial patterns in the distributions of polygenic characters. , 1978, Journal of theoretical biology.

[49]  S. Gaines,et al.  Geographical abundance distributions of coastal invertebrates: using one‐dimensional ranges to test biogeographic hypotheses , 2002 .

[50]  K. Gaston,et al.  Species-range-size distributions: patterns, mechanisms and implications. , 1996, Trends in ecology & evolution.

[51]  T. Nagylaki Random genetic drift in a cline. , 1978, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America.

[52]  M. Cain,et al.  Long-distance seed dispersal in plant populations. , 2000, American journal of botany.

[53]  S. Gaines,et al.  The ‘abundant centre’ distribution: to what extent is it a biogeographical rule? , 2002 .

[54]  S. Côté,et al.  Microsatellite DNA evidence for genetic drift and philopatry in Svalbard reindeer , 2002, Molecular ecology.

[55]  WHEN SOURCES BECOME SINKS: MIGRATIONAL MELTDOWN IN HETEROGENEOUS HABITATS , 2001, Evolution; international journal of organic evolution.

[56]  EVOLUTION OF MIGRATION UNDER KIN SELECTION AND LOCAL ADAPTATION , 2005, Evolution; international journal of organic evolution.

[57]  M. Kirkpatrick,et al.  Evolution of a Species' Range , 1997, The American Naturalist.