A Study on Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation Model for Psychological Prediction of Earthquake Victims

In order to make better prediction of the psychological development and changes of the victims in earthquake disaster and the fuzziness of this reaction process in scientific way, grey relevance theory was combined with probability theory to establish a fuzzy comprehensive evaluation model. Then a case was presented as the study background for analysis. The results show that earthquake victims present the features of “Lasting for hours” and “Being able to escape quickly” respectively in “Time of duration” and “Stress response”. As a result, the establishment of this model helps understanding and explaining how to determine and evaluate the fuzziness and randomness of complex psychological phenomenon as it changes.