ISO 9001 certification forecasting models

Purpose – ISO 9001 certification is nowadays considered to be one of the most effective tools that can be adopted for guiding the management of Quality Systems. The stunning growth observed by these standards all over the world confirms a strong polarization of enterprises' interest in this practice. Owing to the wide incidence of this phenomenon, a deep investigation of ISO 9001 diffusion over time is of mandatory importance. The research here reported covers the development of statistical models in order to characterize the ISO 9001 certification evolution on a country basis, as well as worldwide.Design/methodology/approach – Based on the pioneering results obtained by Saraiva and Duarte, an attempt is now made to: identify clusters of countries, according to their ISO 9001 evolution patterns; characterize the worldwide ISO 9001 certification evolution; identify which are the main evolution perspectives for ISO 9001 diffusion; identify significant variables that may influence ISO 9001 quality management...

[1]  Charles J. Corbett,et al.  INTERNATIONAL DIFFUSION OF ISO 14000 CERTIFICATION , 2001 .

[2]  M. Aldenderfer,et al.  Cluster Analysis. Sage University Paper Series On Quantitative Applications in the Social Sciences 07-044 , 1984 .

[3]  Charles J. Corbett,et al.  Global Diffusion of ISO 9000 Certification Through Supply Chains , 2006, Manuf. Serv. Oper. Manag..

[4]  Robert V. Brill,et al.  Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers , 2004, Technometrics.

[5]  Spyros Makridakis,et al.  Forecasting Methods for Management , 1989 .

[6]  Pedro Manuel Saraiva,et al.  ISO 9000: Some statistical results for a worldwide phenomenon , 2003 .

[7]  M. Aldenderfer Cluster Analysis , 1984 .

[8]  Paulo Sampaio,et al.  An analysis of ISO 9000 data in the world and the European Union , 2009 .

[9]  Bart J. Bronnenberg,et al.  A Spatiotemporal Analysis of the Global Diffusion of ISO 9000 and ISO 14000 Certification , 2007, Manag. Sci..

[10]  Paulo Sampaio,et al.  A Statistical Analysis of ISO 9000-Related Data for European Union Ultra-Peripheral and Portuguese Regions , 2009 .

[11]  Iñ´aki Heras Saizarbitoria,et al.  ISO 9000 and ISO 14000 standards: an international diffusion model , 2006 .

[12]  Richard Levin,et al.  Statistics for Management. , 1979 .

[13]  Bart J. Bronnenberg,et al.  A Spatio-Temporal Analysis of the Global Di ¤ usion of ISO 9000 and ISO 14000 Certi cation , 2006 .

[14]  Fiorenzo Franceschini,et al.  A worldwide analysis of ISO 9000 standard diffusion: Considerations and future development , 2006 .

[15]  James E. Reinmuth,et al.  Statistics for Management and Economics , 1975 .

[16]  Fiorenzo Franceschini,et al.  A new forecasting model for the diffusion of ISO 9000 standard certifications in European countries , 2004 .