论文信息 - The Disjunction Effect and Reason-Based Choice in Games.

The Disjunction Effect and Reason-Based Choice in Games.

This paper reports an experiment that extends previous find ings of the disjunction effect, sometimes described as a violation of Savage's sure-thing principle. Evidence of the disjunction ef fect is observed using elicited beliefs about others' actions (rather than controlled beliefs) in a prisoners' dilemma studied by Shafir and Tversky (1992) as well as in an asymmetric version of it and in a nondilemma game with a unique equilibrium. Debiasing tech niques as well as implications for these extensions are discussed. Copyright 1999 Academic Press.

Croson | Rachel Croson

[1] Richmond Campbell,et al. Paradoxes of Rationality and Cooperation: Prisoner's Dilemma and Newcomb's Problem , 1986 .

[2] N. Rescher,et al. Essays in Honor of Carl G. Hempel , 1969 .

[3] Robin P. Cubitt. RATIONAL DYNAMIC CHOICE AND EXPECTED UTILITY THEORY , 1996 .

[4] Robert Nozick,et al. Newcomb’s Problem and Two Principles of Choice , 1969 .

[5] David F. Sally. Conversation and Cooperation in Social Dilemmas , 1995 .

[6] A. Tversky,et al. The Disjunction Effect in Choice under Uncertainty , 1992 .

[7] Eldar Shafir,et al. Reason-based choice , 1993, Cognition.

[8] Robyn M. Dawes,et al. Behavior, communication, and assumptions about other people's behavior in a commons dilemma situation. , 1977 .

[9] J. Baron,et al. Heuristics and biases in diagnostic reasoning: II. Congruence, information, and certainty☆ , 1988 .

[10] E. Shafir. Uncertainty and the difficulty of thinking through disjunctions , 1994, Cognition.

[11] P. Hammond. Consequentialist foundations for expected utility , 1988 .

[12] A. Tversky,et al. Thinking through uncertainty: Nonconsequential reasoning and choice , 1992, Cognitive Psychology.

[13] S. Siegel,et al. Nonparametric Statistics for the Behavioral Sciences , 2022, The SAGE Encyclopedia of Research Design.

[14] E. Shafir,et al. On the pursuit and misuse of useless information. , 1998, Journal of personality and social psychology.