Modeling and evaluating the capacity credit of PV solar systems using an analytical method

This paper introduces an analytical method to calculate the capacity credit of PV system in a manner that considers both the effect of input uncertainty and system components availability. The intermittency of the input source and system components availability were modeled separately and then convolved to construct a single capacity outage table. The discrete convolution method has been used in this work to build a generation model in the form of a capacity outage probability table. The proposed method is applied on the RBTS. The obtained results are compared to the results obtained by Monte Carlo simulation. The proposed method reduces the complexity of calculating the capacity credit of PV system considering the effect of system components availability.

[1]  N. Henze,et al.  Reliability Consideration of Low-Power Grid-Tied Inverter for Photovoltaic Application , 2009 .

[2]  Chanan Singli,et al.  Generation System Reliability Evaluation Using a Cluster Based Load Model , 1989 .

[3]  E. Fernandez,et al.  Reliability well-being assessment of PV-wind hybrid system using Monte Carlo simulation , 2011, 2011 International Conference on Emerging Trends in Electrical and Computer Technology.

[4]  Mounira Berkani,et al.  Ageing and Failure Modes of IGBT Modules in High-Temperature Power Cycling , 2011, IEEE Transactions on Industrial Electronics.

[5]  Thomas Erge,et al.  The German experience with grid-connected PV-systems , 2001 .

[6]  W. Bower,et al.  Inverters—critical photovoltaic balance‐of‐system components: status, issues, and new‐millennium opportunities , 2000 .

[7]  Wenyuan Li,et al.  Reliability assessment of photovoltaic power systems: Review of current status and future perspectives , 2013 .

[8]  B. Raison,et al.  Guidelines for evaluating grid connected PV system topologies , 2009, 2009 IEEE International Conference on Industrial Technology.

[9]  Roy Billinton,et al.  Digital Computer Algobithms for the Calculation of Generating Capacity Reliability Indices , 1982 .

[10]  Wenyuan Li,et al.  Reliability Assessment of Electric Power Systems Using Monte Carlo Methods , 1994 .

[11]  R. Moharil,et al.  Reliability analysis of solar photovoltaic system using hourly mean solar radiation data , 2010 .

[12]  A. Tomaselli,et al.  Recent advances on AC PV-modules for grid-connected Photovoltaic plants , 2011, 2011 International Conference on Clean Electrical Power (ICCEP).

[13]  R. Billinton,et al.  A Reliability Test System for Educational Purposes-Basic Data , 1989, IEEE Power Engineering Review.

[14]  R. Billinton,et al.  Digital Computer Algobithms for the Calculation of Generating Capacity Reliability Indices , 1982, IEEE Transactions on Power Apparatus and Systems.

[15]  H. Calleja,et al.  Reliability-Oriented Assessment of a DC/DC Converter for Photovoltaic Applications , 2007, 2007 IEEE Power Electronics Specialists Conference.

[16]  Dheeraj Kumar Khatod,et al.  Analytical Approach for Well-Being Assessment of Small Autonomous Power Systems With Solar and Wind Energy Sources , 2010, IEEE Transactions on Energy Conversion.

[17]  Alexander B. Maish,et al.  Defining requirements for improved photovoltaic system Reliability , 1999 .

[18]  R. Castro,et al.  A Comparison Between Chronological and Probabilistic Methods to Estimate Wind Power Capacity Credit , 2001, IEEE Power Engineering Review.

[19]  J. Mitra,et al.  Sensitivity analysis of reliability performance of multi-level converters , 2012, 2012 North American Power Symposium (NAPS).

[20]  Alfredo Garro,et al.  Reliability Analysis of Residential Photovoltaic Systems , 2011 .

[21]  Takeyoshi Kato,et al.  Smoothing of PV system output by tuning MPPT control , 2005 .

[22]  Masood Parvania,et al.  Incorporating Large Photovoltaic Farms in Power Generation System Adequacy Assessment , 2014 .

[23]  L.H. Stember,et al.  A Methodology for Photovoltaic System Reliability & Economic Analysis , 1982, IEEE Transactions on Reliability.

[24]  L. L. Garver,et al.  Effective Load Carrying Capability of Generating Units , 1966 .

[25]  Diego H. Milone,et al.  Simulation of photovoltaic centrals with dynamic shading , 2013, Applied Energy.

[26]  R. Ramakumar.  Engineering Reliability: Fundamentals and Applications , 1996 .