Have satellite precipitation products improved over last two decades? A comprehensive comparison of GPM IMERG with nine satellite and reanalysis datasets

Abstract The Integrated Multi-satellitE Retrievals for Global Precipitation Measurement (IMERG) produces the latest generation of satellite precipitation estimates and has been widely used since its release in 2014. IMERG V06 provides global rainfall and snowfall data beginning from 2000. This study comprehensively analyzes the quality of the IMERG product at daily and hourly scales in China from 2000 to 2018 with special attention paid to snowfall estimates. The performance of IMERG is compared with nine satellite and reanalysis products (TRMM 3B42, CMORPH, PERSIANN-CDR, GSMaP, CHIRPS, SM2RAIN, ERA5, ERA-Interim, and MERRA2). Results show that the IMERG product outperforms other datasets, except the Global Satellite Mapping of Precipitation (GSMaP), which uses daily-scale station data to adjust satellite precipitation estimates. The monthly-scale station data adjustment used by IMERG naturally has a limited impact on estimates of precipitation occurrence and intensity at the daily and hourly time scales. The quality of IMERG has improved over time, attributed to the increasing number of passive microwave samples. SM2RAIN, ERA5, and MERRA2 also exhibit increasing accuracy with time that may cause variable performance in climatological studies. Even relying on monthly station data adjustments, IMERG shows good performance in both accuracy metrics at hourly time scales and the representation of diurnal cycles. In contrast, although ERA5 is acceptable at the daily scale, it degrades at the hourly scale due to the limitation in reproducing the peak time, magnitude and variation of diurnal cycles. IMERG underestimates snowfall compared with gauge and reanalysis data. The triple collocation analysis suggests that IMERG snowfall is worse than reanalysis and gauge data, which partly results in the degraded quality of IMERG in cold climates. This study demonstrates new findings on the uncertainties of various precipitation products and identifies potential directions for algorithm improvement. The results of this study will be useful for both developers and users of satellite rainfall products.

[1]  Y. Hong,et al.  Evaluation of GPM Day-1 IMERG and TMPA Version-7 legacy products over Mainland China at multiple spatiotemporal scales , 2015 .

[2]  Christian D. Kummerow,et al.  The Evolution of the Goddard Profiling Algorithm to a Fully Parametric Scheme , 2015 .

[3]  Yan Shen,et al.  Validation and comparison of a new gauge‐based precipitation analysis over mainland China , 2016 .

[4]  S. M. Jong,et al.  Large-scale monitoring of snow cover and runoff simulation in Himalayan river basins using remote sensing , 2009 .

[5]  Yang Hong,et al.  Improved modeling of snow and glacier melting by a progressive two‐stage calibration strategy with GRACE and multisource data: How snow and glacier meltwater contributes to the runoff of the Upper Brahmaputra River basin? , 2017 .

[6]  D. Entekhabi,et al.  Characterization of precipitation product errors across the United States using multiplicative triple collocation , 2015 .

[7]  R. Lin,et al.  Reprocessed, Bias-Corrected CMORPH Global High-Resolution Precipitation Estimates from 1998 , 2017 .

[8]  Zhong Liu,et al.  Comparison of Integrated Multisatellite Retrievals for GPM (IMERG) and TRMM Multisatellite Precipitation Analysis (TMPA) Monthly Precipitation Products: Initial Results , 2016 .

[9]  Guosheng Liu,et al.  A Parameterization of the Probability of Snow–Rain Transition , 2015 .

[10]  F. Turk,et al.  Component analysis of errors in satellite-based precipitation estimates , 2009 .

[11]  Ali Behrangi,et al.  On distinguishing snowfall from rainfall using near‐surface atmospheric information: Comparative analysis, uncertainties and hydrologic importance , 2018, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society.

[12]  S. Sorooshian,et al.  PERSIANN-CDR: Daily Precipitation Climate Data Record from Multisatellite Observations for Hydrological and Climate Studies , 2015 .

[13]  Yang Hong,et al.  Statistical and Hydrological Comparisons between TRMM and GPM Level-3 Products over a Midlatitude Basin: Is Day-1 IMERG a Good Successor for TMPA 3B42V7? , 2016 .

[14]  Y. Hong,et al.  The TRMM Multisatellite Precipitation Analysis (TMPA): Quasi-Global, Multiyear, Combined-Sensor Precipitation Estimates at Fine Scales , 2007 .

[15]  Ad Stoffelen,et al.  Extended triple collocation: Estimating errors and correlation coefficients with respect to an unknown target , 2014 .

[16]  Snowfall trends and variability in Qinghai, China , 2009 .

[17]  Tandong Yao,et al.  Third Pole Environment (TPE) , 2012 .

[18]  Jennifer C. Adam,et al.  How much runoff originates as snow in the western United States, and how will that change in the future? , 2017 .

[19]  Y. Hong,et al.  Accounting for spatiotemporal errors of gauges: A critical step to evaluate gridded precipitation products , 2018 .

[20]  Yang Hong,et al.  Documentation of multifactorial relationships between precipitation and topography of the Tibetan Plateau using spaceborne precipitation radars , 2018 .

[21]  A. Hamlet,et al.  Comparing Large-Scale Hydrological Model Predictions with Observed Streamflow in the Pacific Northwest: Effects of Climate and Groundwater , 2014 .

[22]  Hoshin Vijai Gupta,et al.  Decomposition of the mean squared error and NSE performance criteria: Implications for improving hydrological modelling , 2009 .

[23]  Yang Hong,et al.  Global intercomparison and regional evaluation of GPM IMERG Version-03, Version-04 and its latest Version-05 precipitation products: Similarity, difference and improvements , 2018, Journal of Hydrology.

[24]  Bin Zhao,et al.  The Modern-Era Retrospective Analysis for Research and Applications, Version 2 (MERRA-2). , 2017, Journal of climate.

[25]  T. N. Krishnamurti,et al.  The status of the tropical rainfall measuring mission (TRMM) after two years in orbit , 2000 .

[26]  G. Huffman,et al.  Validation of IMERG precipitation in Africa. , 2017, Journal of hydrometeorology.

[27]  R. Schumer,et al.  Rain or Snow: Hydrologic Processes, Observations, Prediction, and Research Needs , 2016 .

[28]  Erin Jones,et al.  NASA’s Remotely Sensed Precipitation: A Reservoir for Applications Users , 2017 .

[29]  Chris Kidd,et al.  Global Precipitation Estimates from Cross-Track Passive Microwave Observations Using a Physically Based Retrieval Scheme , 2016 .

[30]  P. Xie,et al.  Kalman Filter–Based CMORPH , 2011 .

[31]  Eric F. Wood,et al.  MSWEP V2 Global 3-Hourly 0.1° Precipitation: Methodology and Quantitative Assessment , 2018, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society.

[32]  L. Jia,et al.  Correcting GPM IMERG precipitation data over the Tianshan Mountains in China , 2019, Journal of Hydrology.

[33]  T. Link,et al.  Potential trends in snowmelt‐generated peak streamflows in a warming climate , 2016 .

[34]  R. Lan,et al.  Diurnal Variations of Rainfall in Surface and Satellite Observations at the Monsoon Coast (South China) , 2017 .

[35]  J. Thepaut,et al.  The ERA‐Interim reanalysis: configuration and performance of the data assimilation system , 2011 .

[36]  A. Barrett,et al.  Northern High-Latitude Precipitation as Depicted by Atmospheric Reanalyses and Satellite Retrievals , 2005 .

[37]  Liguang Jiang,et al.  How do GPM IMERG precipitation estimates perform as hydrological model forcing? Evaluation for 300 catchments across Mainland China , 2019, Journal of Hydrology.

[38]  L. Gandin Objective Analysis of Meteorological Fields , 1963 .

[39]  G. Huffman,et al.  The TRMM Multi-Satellite Precipitation Analysis (TMPA) , 2010 .

[40]  Ross Woods,et al.  A precipitation shift from snow towards rain leads to a decrease in streamflow , 2014 .

[41]  N. Molotch,et al.  Spatial variation of the rain–snow temperature threshold across the Northern Hemisphere , 2018, Nature Communications.

[42]  Y. Hong,et al.  Global View Of Real-Time Trmm Multisatellite Precipitation Analysis: Implications For Its Successor Global Precipitation Measurement Mission , 2015 .

[43]  Chris Kidd,et al.  Global Precipitation Measurement , 2008 .

[44]  A. Stoffelen Toward the true near-surface wind speed: Error modeling and calibration using triple collocation , 1998 .

[45]  Hamidreza Norouzi,et al.  Systematic and random error components in satellite precipitation data sets , 2012 .

[46]  Wim G.M. Bastiaanssen,et al.  First results from Version 7 TRMM 3B43 precipitation product in combination with a new downscaling–calibration procedure , 2013 .

[47]  W. Wagner,et al.  SM2RAIN-CCI: a new global long-term rainfall data set derived from ESA CCI soil moisture , 2017 .

[48]  J. Michaelsen,et al.  The climate hazards infrared precipitation with stations—a new environmental record for monitoring extremes , 2015, Scientific Data.

[49]  Giulia Panegrossi,et al.  CloudSat-Based Assessment of GPM Microwave Imager Snowfall Observation Capabilities , 2017, Remote. Sens..

[50]  C. Kummerow,et al.  The Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) Sensor Package , 1998 .

[51]  Yang Hong,et al.  Cross-evaluation of ground-based, multi-satellite and reanalysis precipitation products: Applicability of the Triple Collocation method across Mainland China , 2018, Journal of Hydrology.

[52]  Sadiq I. Khan,et al.  The coupled routing and excess storage (CREST) distributed hydrological model , 2011 .

[53]  Yudong Tian,et al.  Modeling errors in daily precipitation measurements: Additive or multiplicative? , 2013 .

[54]  Robert F. Adler,et al.  Global Precipitation: Means, Variations and Trends During the Satellite Era (1979–2014) , 2017, Surveys in Geophysics.

[55]  F. Pappenberger,et al.  Global-Scale Evaluation of 22 Precipitation Datasets Using Gauge Observations and Hydrological Modeling , 2017, Advances in Global Change Research.

[56]  M. Bierkens,et al.  Climate Change Will Affect the Asian Water Towers , 2010, Science.

[57]  K. Taylor Summarizing multiple aspects of model performance in a single diagram , 2001 .

[58]  Markus Disse,et al.  Evaluation of eight high spatial resolution gridded precipitation products in Adige Basin (Italy) at multiple temporal and spatial scales. , 2016, The Science of the total environment.

[59]  Yang Hong,et al.  Exploring Deep Neural Networks to Retrieve Rain and Snow in High Latitudes Using Multisensor and Reanalysis Data , 2018, Water Resources Research.

[60]  J. Janowiak,et al.  CMORPH: A Method that Produces Global Precipitation Estimates from Passive Microwave and Infrared Data at High Spatial and Temporal Resolution , 2004 .

[61]  Riko Oki,et al.  THE GLOBAL PRECIPITATION MEASUREMENT (GPM) MISSION FOR SCIENCE AND SOCIETY. , 2017, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society.

[62]  Paul J. Roebber,et al.  Visualizing Multiple Measures of Forecast Quality , 2009 .

[63]  Kaicun Wang,et al.  Contrasting Daytime and Nighttime Precipitation Variability between Observations and Eight Reanalysis Products from 1979 to 2014 in China , 2017 .

[64]  F. Pappenberger,et al.  Global-scale evaluation of 22 precipitation datasets using gauge observations and hydrological modeling , 2017 .

[65]  Yaning Chen,et al.  Changes of snowfall under warming in the Tibetan Plateau , 2017 .

[66]  Misako Kachi,et al.  Gauge adjusted global satellite mapping of precipitation (GSMaP_Gauge) , 2013, 2014 XXXIth URSI General Assembly and Scientific Symposium (URSI GASS).

[67]  H. Kling,et al.  Runoff conditions in the upper Danube basin under an ensemble of climate change scenarios , 2012 .

[68]  C. Willmott ON THE VALIDATION OF MODELS , 1981 .

[69]  J. Janowiak,et al.  The Global Precipitation Climatology Project (GPCP) combined precipitation dataset , 1997 .

[70]  Jefferson S. Wong,et al.  Evaluation of Integrated Multisatellite Retrievals for GPM (IMERG) over Southern Canada against Ground Precipitation Observations: A Preliminary Assessment , 2017 .

[71]  A. Hou,et al.  The Global Precipitation Measurement Mission , 2014 .

[72]  Kevin E. Trenberth,et al.  Observed and model‐simulated diurnal cycles of precipitation over the contiguous United States , 1999 .

[73]  Y. Hong,et al.  Similarities and differences between three coexisting spaceborne radars in global rainfall and snowfall estimation , 2017 .

[74]  Ali Tokay,et al.  A Novel Approach to Identify Sources of Errors in IMERG for GPM Ground Validation , 2016 .