A comparison of artificial intelligence models for the estimation of daily suspended sediment load: a case study on the Telar and Kasilian rivers in Iran

The suspended sediment load estimation of rivers is one of the main issues in hydraulic engineering. Different traditional methods such as sediment rating curve (SRC) can be used to estimate the suspended sediment load of rivers. The main problem of this method is its low accuracy and uncertainty. In this study, the ability of three intelligence models namely Gene Expression Programming (GEP), Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) and Adaptive Neuro Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) were compared to the SRC method. The daily flow discharge and sediment discharge of two hydrometric stations of Kasilian and Telar rivers in the period of 1964–2014 were used to develop intelligence models. The performance of these methods indicated that all intelligence models give reliable results in the estimation of the suspended sediment load and their performance was better than the SRC method. Moreover, results showed that the GEP model with a high coefficient of determination (R 2 ) and a low mean absolute error (MAE) was better than both the ANN and ANFIS models for the estimation of daily suspended sediment load of the two sub-basins of Kasilian and Telar rivers.

[1]  S. M. Bateni,et al.  Estimation of soil cation exchange capacity using Genetic Expression Programming (GEP) and Multivariate Adaptive Regression Splines (MARS) , 2015 .

[2]  Özgür Kisi,et al.  River suspended sediment estimation by climatic variables implication: Comparative study among soft computing techniques , 2012, Comput. Geosci..

[3]  S. Emamgholizadeh NEURAL NETWORK MODELING OF SCOUR CONE GEOMETRY AROUND OUTLET IN THE PRESSURE FLUSHING , 2012 .

[4]  M. Jansson Estimating a sediment rating curve of the Reventazón river at Palomo using logged mean loads within discharge classes , 1996 .

[5]  Scott D. Peckham,et al.  Modeling the temporal variability in the flux of sediment from ungauged river basins , 2003 .

[6]  A. Ahmadi,et al.  Daily suspended sediment load prediction using artificial neural networks and support vector machines , 2013 .

[7]  W. Pitts,et al.  A Logical Calculus of the Ideas Immanent in Nervous Activity (1943) , 2021, Ideas That Created the Future.

[8]  Marjan Kaedi,et al.  Suspended sediment concentration estimation by stacking the genetic programming and neuro-fuzzy predictions , 2016, Appl. Soft Comput..

[9]  H. Nagy,et al.  Prediction of Sediment Load Concentration in Rivers using Artificial Neural Network Model , 2002 .

[10]  A. Horowitz An evaluation of sediment rating curves for estimating suspended sediment concentrations for subsequent flux calculations , 2003 .

[11]  O. Kisi,et al.  A genetic programming approach to suspended sediment modelling , 2008 .

[12]  Zheng Jin-hai,et al.  Estimating suspended sediment loads in the Pearl River Delta region using sediment rating curves , 2012 .

[13]  H. Md. Azamathulla,et al.  Gene-expression programming for transverse mixing coefficient , 2012 .

[14]  Jyh-Shing Roger Jang,et al.  ANFIS: adaptive-network-based fuzzy inference system , 1993, IEEE Trans. Syst. Man Cybern..

[15]  Amir Ahmad Dehghani,et al.  Evaluation of suspended load transport rate using transport formulas and artificial neural network models (Case study: Chelchay Catchment) , 2013 .

[16]  Hamed Kashi,et al.  Prediction of water quality parameters of Karoon River (Iran) by artificial intelligence-based models , 2014, International Journal of Environmental Science and Technology.

[17]  Geoffrey E. Hinton,et al.  Learning representations by back-propagating errors , 1986, Nature.

[18]  Hamed Kashi,et al.  Estimation of Soil Infiltration and Cation Exchange Capacity Based on Multiple Regression, ANN (RBF, MLP), and ANFIS Models , 2014 .

[19]  Yen-Chang Chen,et al.  Estuary water-stage forecasting by using radial basis function neural network , 2003 .

[20]  Joseph R. Harrington,et al.  An assessment of the suspended sediment rating curve approach for load estimation on the Rivers Bandon and Owenabue, Ireland , 2013 .

[21]  Cândida Ferreira,et al.  Gene Expression Programming: Mathematical Modeling by an Artificial Intelligence , 2014, Studies in Computational Intelligence.

[22]  James P. M. Syvitski,et al.  Estimating fluvial sediment transport: The rating parameters , 2000 .

[23]  Muhammad Zaffar Hashmi,et al.  Use of Gene Expression Programming in regionalization of flow duration curve , 2014 .

[24]  A Bahramifar,et al.  An ANFIS-based Approach for Predicting the Manning Roughness Coefficient in Alluvial Channels at the Bank-full Stage , 2013 .

[25]  Ozgur Kisi,et al.  Streamflow Forecasting Using Different Artificial Neural Network Algorithms , 2007 .

[26]  Aytac Guven,et al.  Gene Expression Programing for Estimating Suspended Sediment Yield in Middle Euphrates Basin, Turkey , 2010 .

[27]  Prabhata K. Swamee,et al.  Modeling of Suspended Sediment Concentration at Kasol in India Using ANN, Fuzzy Logic, and Decision Tree Algorithms , 2012 .

[28]  S. Mohyeddin Bateni,et al.  Estimation of soil dispersivity using soft computing approaches , 2017, Neural Computing and Applications.

[29]  S. Emamgholizadeh,et al.  Estimation of Soil Cation Exchange Capacity using Multiple Regression, Artificial Neural Networks, and Adaptive Neuro-fuzzy Inference System Models in Golestan Province, Iran , 2015 .