Clinical value of the 20% logistic EuroSCORE cut-off for selecting TAVI candidates: a single-centre cohort study analysis

Background A logistic European System for Cardiac Operative Risk Evaluation (logEuroSCORE) ≥20% is frequently recognised as a finite criteria for transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TAVI) reimbursement, despite guideline modifications to reflect the appropriacy of TAVI in selected lower-risk patients. The aim was to evaluate the clinical value of this threshold cut-off in TAVI patients and to identify factors associated with mortality in those below this threshold. Methods We analysed data from a single-centre, German, observational, TAVI-patient registry, gathered between 2008 and 2016. Patients were stratified by logEuroSCORE (≥ or <20%) for comparisons. Logistic regression was performed to identify predictors of mortality at 1 year, with this analysis used to generate a calculated (‘real’) risk value for each patient. Results 1679 patients (logEuroSCORE <20%: n=789; logEuroSCORE ≥20%: n=890) were included. LogEuroSCORE <20% patients were significantly younger (80.1 vs 81.6 years; p<0.001) and less comorbid than logEuroSCORE ≥20% patients, with a higher rate of transfemoral TAVI (35.6% vs 26.1%; p<0.001) and predilation (70.0% vs 63.3%; p=0.004). Patients with a logEuroSCORE <20% experienced more vascular complications (3.4% vs 1.5%; p=0.010). One-year survival was 88.3% in the logEuroSCORE <20% and 81.8% in the logEuroSCORE ≥20% group (p=0.005), with the calculated mortality risk falling within 2% of the logEuroSCORE in just 12.9% of patients. In the logEuroSCORE <20% group, only coronary artery disease was significantly predictive of 1-year mortality (OR 2.408; 95% CI 1.361 to 4.262; p=0.003). Conclusions At our institution, patients with a logEuroSCORE <20% selected for TAVI have excellent outcomes. The decision not to reimburse TAVI in such patients may be viewed as inappropriate.

[1]  J. Leipsic,et al.  Transcatheter Aortic‐Valve Replacement with a Balloon‐Expandable Valve in Low‐Risk Patients , 2019, The New England journal of medicine.

[2]  Andrew S. Mugglin,et al.  Transcatheter Aortic‐Valve Replacement with a Self‐Expanding Valve in Low‐Risk Patients , 2019, The New England journal of medicine.

[3]  H. Warnecke,et al.  Transapical transcatheter aortic valve implantation in patients with a low ejection fraction. , 2018, Interactive cardiovascular and thoracic surgery.

[4]  H. Warnecke,et al.  Transcatheter aortic valve implantation at a high-volume center: the Bad Rothenfelde experience , 2017, Kardiochirurgia i torakochirurgia polska = Polish journal of cardio-thoracic surgery.

[5]  J. Szecsenyi,et al.  The German Aortic Valve Score II , 2017, European journal of cardio-thoracic surgery : official journal of the European Association for Cardio-thoracic Surgery.

[6]  Jeroen J. Bax,et al.  2017 ESC/EACTS Guidelines for the management of valvular heart disease. , 2017, European heart journal.

[7]  J. Kostis,et al.  Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement Versus Surgical Valve Replacement in Low-Intermediate Surgical Risk Patients: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis. , 2017, The Journal of invasive cardiology.

[8]  Andrew S. Mugglin,et al.  Surgical or Transcatheter Aortic‐Valve Replacement in Intermediate‐Risk Patients , 2017, The New England journal of medicine.

[9]  G. Tarantini,et al.  Atrial fibrillation in patients undergoing transcatheter aortic valve implantation: epidemiology, timing, predictors, and outcome , 2016, European heart journal.

[10]  G. Guyatt,et al.  Transcatheter versus surgical aortic valve replacement in patients with severe aortic stenosis at low and intermediate risk: systematic review and meta-analysis , 2016, British Medical Journal.

[11]  B. Kiaii,et al.  Transcatheter Aortic Valve Implantation With or Without Preimplantation Balloon Aortic Valvuloplasty: A Systematic Review and Meta‐Analysis , 2016, Journal of the American Heart Association.

[12]  J. Leipsic,et al.  Transcatheter aortic valve replacement versus surgical valve replacement in intermediate-risk patients: a propensity score analysis , 2016, The Lancet.

[13]  Sophia L. Dellis,et al.  Off‐Pump Coronary Artery Bypass Grafting and Transaortic Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement , 2016, Journal of cardiac surgery.

[14]  M. Mack,et al.  Transcatheter or Surgical Aortic-Valve Replacement in Intermediate-Risk Patients. , 2016, The New England journal of medicine.

[15]  E. Fleck,et al.  In-hospital outcome of transcatheter vs. surgical aortic valve replacement in patients with aortic valve stenosis: complete dataset of patients treated in 2013 in Germany , 2016, Clinical Research in Cardiology.

[16]  I. Barbash,et al.  Outcomes of Patients at Estimated Low, Intermediate, and High Risk Undergoing Transcatheter Aortic Valve Implantation for Aortic Stenosis. , 2015, The American journal of cardiology.

[17]  M. Pencina,et al.  Risk scores and biomarkers for the prediction of 1-year outcome after transcatheter aortic valve replacement. , 2015, American heart journal.

[18]  M. Beach,et al.  Predictors of Permanent Pacemaker Implantation After Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement. , 2015, Journal of cardiothoracic and vascular anesthesia.

[19]  Shinya Motohashi,et al.  Hybrid procedures for an infant with hypoplastic left heart syndrome with intact atrial septum , 2015, General Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery.

[20]  E. Heist,et al.  Incidence and Predictors of Pacemaker Implantation in Patients Undergoing Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement , 2015, Pacing and clinical electrophysiology : PACE.

[21]  C. Cao,et al.  Systematic review of percutaneous coronary intervention and transcatheter aortic valve implantation for concomitant aortic stenosis and coronary artery disease. , 2015, International journal of cardiology.

[22]  Jeroen J. Bax,et al.  Value of the "TAVI2-SCORe" versus surgical risk scores for prediction of one year mortality in 511 patients who underwent transcatheter aortic valve implantation. , 2015, The American journal of cardiology.

[23]  C. Schmitt,et al.  Long-Term Results of Transapical Versus Transfemoral TAVI in a Real World Population of 1000 Patients With Severe Symptomatic Aortic Stenosis , 2014, Circulation. Cardiovascular interventions.

[24]  P. Stella,et al.  Usefulness and validation of the survival posT TAVI score for survival after transcatheter aortic valve implantation for aortic stenosis. , 2014, The American journal of cardiology.

[25]  R. Schnabel,et al.  Predicting Risk in Transcatheter Aortic Valve Implantation: Comparative Analysis of EuroSCORE II and Established Risk Stratification Tools , 2014, Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgeon.

[26]  Francesco Santini,et al.  A simple risk tool (the OBSERVANT score) for prediction of 30-day mortality after transcatheter aortic valve replacement. , 2014, The American journal of cardiology.

[27]  Pascal Leprince,et al.  Predictive factors of early mortality after transcatheter aortic valve implantation: individual risk assessment using a simple score , 2014, Heart.

[28]  R. Schnabel,et al.  Development of a risk score for outcome after transcatheter aortic valve implantation , 2014, Clinical Research in Cardiology.

[29]  Ralf Kölbel Hrsg Abrechnungsverstöße in der stationären medizinischen Versorgung , 2013 .

[30]  K. Kuck,et al.  Incidence and predictors of permanent pacemaker implantation following transcatheter aortic valve implantation: Analysis from the german transcatheter aortic valve interventions registry , 2013, Catheterization and cardiovascular interventions : official journal of the Society for Cardiac Angiography & Interventions.

[31]  A. Bogers,et al.  Aortic stenosis in the elderly: disease prevalence and number of candidates for transcatheter aortic valve replacement: a meta-analysis and modeling study. , 2013, Journal of the American College of Cardiology.

[32]  A. Moritz,et al.  The STS score is the strongest predictor of long-term survival following transcatheter aortic valve implantation, whereas access route (transapical versus transfemoral) has no predictive value beyond the periprocedural phase. , 2013, Interactive cardiovascular and thoracic surgery.

[33]  G. Nickenig,et al.  The revised EuroSCORE II for the prediction of mortality in patients undergoing transcatheter aortic valve implantation , 2013, Clinical Research in Cardiology.

[34]  M. Morice,et al.  Is euroscore II better than EuroSCORE in predicting mortality after transcatheter aortic valve implantation? , 2013, Catheterization and cardiovascular interventions : official journal of the Society for Cardiac Angiography & Interventions.

[35]  J. Webb,et al.  Adverse Effects Associated With Transcatheter Aortic Valve Implantation , 2013, Annals of Internal Medicine.

[36]  Jennifer Taylor,et al.  ESC/EACTS Guidelines on the management of valvular heart disease. , 2012, European heart journal.

[37]  P. Serruys,et al.  The SURTAVI model: proposal for a pragmatic risk stratification for patients with severe aortic stenosis. , 2012, EuroIntervention : journal of EuroPCR in collaboration with the Working Group on Interventional Cardiology of the European Society of Cardiology.

[38]  S. Hohnloser,et al.  Risk for Permanent Pacemaker After Transcatheter Aortic Valve Implantation: A Comprehensive Analysis of the Literature , 2012, Journal of cardiovascular electrophysiology.

[39]  F. Smit,et al.  Cardiac surgery risk-stratification models , 2012, Cardiovascular journal of Africa.

[40]  Francesco Maisano,et al.  Transcatheter valve implantation for patients with aortic stenosis: a position statement from the European association of cardio-thoracic surgery (EACTS) and the European Society of Cardiology (ESC), in collaboration with the European Association of Percutaneous Cardiovascular Interventions (EAPCI). , 2008, EuroIntervention : journal of EuroPCR in collaboration with the Working Group on Interventional Cardiology of the European Society of Cardiology.

[41]  N. Al-Attar,et al.  Transcatheter valve implantation for patients with aortic stenosis: a position statement from the European Association of Cardio-Thoracic Surgery (EACTS) and the European Society of Cardiology (ESC), in collaboration with the European Association of Percutaneous Cardiovascular Interventions (EAPCI). , 2008, European heart journal.

[42]  J. Cigarroa,et al.  Prevalence of coronary artery disease in patients with aortic stenosis with and without angina pectoris. , 2001, The American journal of cardiology.

[43]  S. Lemeshow,et al.  European system for cardiac operative risk evaluation (EuroSCORE). , 1999, European journal of cardio-thoracic surgery : official journal of the European Association for Cardio-thoracic Surgery.

[44]  Catherine M. Otto,et al.  Clinical Factors Associated With Calcific Aortic Valve Disease , 1997 .

[45]  M. Knudsen,et al.  The influence of coronary artery disease and bypass grafting on early and late survival after valve replacement for aortic stenosis. , 1990, The Journal of thoracic and cardiovascular surgery.