How Risky are Banks' Risk Weighted Assets? Evidence from the Financial Crisis

We study how investors account for the riskiness of banks' risk-weighted assets (RWA) by examining the determinants of stock returns and market measures of risk. We find that banks with higher RWA had lower stock returns over the US and European crises. This relationship is weaker in Europe where banks can use Basel II internal risk models. For large banks, investors paid less attention to RWA and rewarded instead lower wholesale funding and better asset quality. RWA do not, in general, predict market measures of risk although there is evidence of a positive relationship before the US crisis which becomes negative afterwards.

[1]  M. King The Cost of Equity for Global Banks: A CAPM Perspective from 1990 to 2009 , 2009 .

[2]  Allen N. Berger,et al.  Risk-based capital and deposit insurance reform , 1991 .

[3]  H. Huizinga,et al.  Bank Activity and Funding Strategies: The Impact on Risk and Return , 2009 .

[4]  R. C. Merton,et al.  Financial Innovation and the Management and Regulation of Financial Institutions , 1995 .

[5]  M. Flannery,et al.  Market Forces at Work in the Banking Industry: Evidence from the Capital Buildup of the 1990s , 2002 .

[6]  J. M. Blanco,et al.  The effectiveness of bank capital adequacy regulation: A theoretical and empirical approach , 2003 .

[7]  Asli Demirgüç-Kunt,et al.  Bank Capital: Lessons from the Financial Crisis , 2010, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[8]  Gustavo A. Suarez,et al.  Securitization Without Risk Transfer , 2010 .

[9]  David A. Whidbee,et al.  Risk weights, risk-based capital and deposit insurance , 1991 .

[10]  K. King,et al.  The implementation of prompt corrective action , 1992 .

[11]  René M. Stulz,et al.  The Credit Crisis Around the Globe: Why Did Some Banks Perform Better? , 2011 .

[12]  Vanessa Le Leslé,et al.  Revisiting Risk-Weighted Assets , 2012, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[13]  Adam B. Ashcraft Does the Market Discipline Banks? New Evidence from the Regulatory Capital Mix , 2006 .

[14]  Market Discipline in the Governance of U.S. Bank Holding Companies , 2001 .

[15]  Rafael Rob,et al.  The Impact of Capital-Based Regulation on Bank Risk-Taking☆ , 1999 .

[16]  K. King,et al.  The implementation of prompt corrective action: An assessment , 1995 .

[17]  Joseph V. Rizzi Slapped by the Invisible Hand , 2011 .

[18]  R. Aggarwal,et al.  The impact of FDICIA and prompt corrective action on bank capital and risk: Estimates using a simultaneous equations model , 2001 .

[19]  Larry Cordell,et al.  A market evaluation of the risk-based capital standards for the U.S. financial system , 1995 .

[20]  R. Bliss,et al.  Market Discipline in the Governance of U.S. Bank Holding Companies: Monitoring vs. Influencing , 2001 .