Benefits of integrating complementarity into priority threat management

Conservation decision tools based on cost-effectiveness analysis are used to assess threat management strategies for improving species persistence. These approaches rank alternative strategies by their benefit to cost ratio but may fail to identify the optimal sets of strategies to implement under limited budgets because they do not account for redundancies. We devised a multiobjective optimization approach in which the complementarity principle is applied to identify the sets of threat management strategies that protect the most species for any budget. We used our approach to prioritize threat management strategies for 53 species of conservation concern in the Pilbara, Australia. We followed a structured elicitation approach to collect information on the benefits and costs of implementing 17 different conservation strategies during a 3-day workshop with 49 stakeholders and experts in the biodiversity, conservation, and management of the Pilbara. We compared the performance of our complementarity priority threat management approach with a current cost-effectiveness ranking approach. A complementary set of 3 strategies: domestic herbivore management, fire management and research, and sanctuaries provided all species with >50% chance of persistence for $4.7 million/year over 20 years. Achieving the same result cost almost twice as much ($9.71 million/year) when strategies were selected by their cost-effectiveness ranks alone. Our results show that complementarity of management benefits has the potential to double the impact of priority threat management approaches.

[1]  Matthias Ehrgott,et al.  Multiple criteria decision analysis: state of the art surveys , 2005 .

[2]  K. Mengersen,et al.  Eliciting Expert Knowledge in Conservation Science , 2012, Conservation biology : the journal of the Society for Conservation Biology.

[3]  Mark E Hauber,et al.  Spatial heterogeneity of mesopredator release within an oceanic island system , 2007, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

[4]  Paul H. Williams,et al.  What to protect?—Systematics and the agony of choice , 1991 .

[5]  Sahotra Sarkar,et al.  The principle of complementarity in the design of reserve networks to conserve biodiversity: A preliminary history , 2002, Journal of Biosciences.

[6]  P. Doughty,et al.  A new species of Underwoodisaurus (Squamata: Gekkota: Carphodactylidae) from the Pilbara region of Western Australia , 2011 .

[7]  Hugh P. Possingham,et al.  Prioritizing threat management for biodiversity conservation , 2012 .

[8]  S. Andelman,et al.  Conserving Biodiversity Efficiently: What to Do, Where, and When , 2007, PLoS biology.

[9]  David M. Watson,et al.  Structured elicitation of expert judgments for threatened species assessment: a case study on a continental scale using email , 2012 .

[10]  S. Ruzika,et al.  Approximation Methods in Multiobjective Programming , 2005 .

[11]  Hugh P Possingham,et al.  Accounting for Complementarity to Maximize Monitoring Power for Species Management , 2013, Conservation biology : the journal of the Society for Conservation Biology.

[12]  Hugh P Possingham,et al.  Informed actions: where to cost effectively manage multiple threats to species to maximize return on investment. , 2014, Ecological Applications.

[13]  H. Levin,et al.  Cost-Effectiveness Analysis: Methods and Applications , 2000 .

[14]  Fiona Fidler,et al.  Reducing Overconfidence in the Interval Judgments of Experts , 2010, Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis.

[15]  J. Firn,et al.  Impacts of Invasive Plants on Australian Rangelands , 2010 .

[16]  D. MacKenzie Getting the biggest bang for our conservation buck. , 2009, Trends in ecology & evolution.

[17]  I. Chades,et al.  Growing biodiverse carbon‐rich forests , 2014, Global change biology.

[18]  Robert Costanza,et al.  Economic Reasons for Conserving Wild Nature , 2002, Science.

[19]  Liana N. Joseph,et al.  Optimal Allocation of Resources among Threatened Species: a Project Prioritization Protocol , 2009, Conservation biology : the journal of the Society for Conservation Biology.

[20]  Miguel B. Araújo,et al.  Systematic Conservation Planning Comes of Age , 2009 .

[21]  S. Lavorel,et al.  Mechanisms underlying the impacts of exotic plant invasions , 2003, Proceedings of the Royal Society of London. Series B: Biological Sciences.

[22]  Atte Moilanen,et al.  Generalized Complementarity and Mapping of the Concepts of Systematic Conservation Planning , 2008, Conservation biology : the journal of the Society for Conservation Biology.

[23]  A. Grice,et al.  The impacts of invasive plant species on the biodiversity of Australian rangelands. , 2006 .

[24]  H. Possingham,et al.  Spatial conservation prioritization: Quantitative methods and computational tools , 2009, Environmental Conservation.

[25]  Andrew Reeson,et al.  Priority Threat Management For Pilbara Species Of Conservation Significance , 2014 .

[26]  G. Nemhauser,et al.  Discrete Dynamic Programming and Capital Allocation , 1969 .

[27]  Christina C. Hicks,et al.  A social–ecological approach to conservation planning: embedding social considerations , 2013 .

[28]  Ross Cullen,et al.  Integrating Economics into Priority Setting and Evaluation in Conservation Management , 2003 .

[29]  Matthew E. Watts,et al.  Marxan and relatives: Software for spatial conservation prioritization , 2009 .

[30]  Jamie B. Kirkpatrick,et al.  An iterative method for establishing priorities for the selection of nature reserves: An example from Tasmania , 1983 .

[31]  Hugh P. Possingham,et al.  Balancing phylogenetic diversity and species numbers in conservation prioritization, using a case study of threatened species in New Zealand , 2014 .

[32]  P. Ehrlich,et al.  Where does biodiversity go from here? A grim business-as-usual forecast and a hopeful portfolio of partial solutions , 2008, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.