On the Information Content of Different Measures of Q

Tobin's q is widely accepted as proxy for an underlying "true" q, which is assumed to characterize a firm's incentive to invest. Researchers have developed numerous methods for computing q. This paper assesses the measurement quality of different proxies for q. We adapt the measurement-error consistent estimators in Erickson and Whited (2002) to estimate the extent to which variation in true unobservable q explains variation in different proxies for q. We find most proxies for q are poor: careful algorithms for calculating q do little to improve measurement quality. However, using elaborate algorithms depletes the number of usable observations and possibly introduces sample selection bias.

[1]  Stephen D. Oliner,et al.  Investment behavior, observable expectations, and internal funds , 1999 .

[2]  Wilbur G. Lewellen,et al.  On the measurement of Tobin's q , 1997 .

[3]  Bronwyn H Hall,et al.  The R&D Master File Documentation , 1988 .

[4]  L. Hansen Large Sample Properties of Generalized Method of Moments Estimators , 1982 .

[5]  René M. Stulz,et al.  Managerial Performance, Tobin's Q, and the Gains from Successful Tender Offers , 1989 .

[6]  Henri Servaes,et al.  The Cost of Diversity: The Diversification Discount and Inefficient Investment , 1999 .

[7]  Atulya Sarin,et al.  Agency Problems, Equity Ownership, and Corporate Diversification , 1997 .

[8]  Toni M. Whited,et al.  TWO-STEP GMM ESTIMATION OF THE ERRORS-IN-VARIABLES MODEL USING HIGH-ORDER MOMENTS , 2002, Econometric Theory.

[9]  René M. Stulz,et al.  Tobin's q, Corporate Diversification, and Firm Performance , 1993, Journal of Political Economy.

[10]  G. Ridder,et al.  Estimation of Nonlinear Models with Measurement Error Using Marginal Information1 , 2004 .

[11]  W. Newey,et al.  Hypothesis Testing with Efficient Method of Moments Estimation , 1987 .

[12]  Donald P. Morgan,et al.  Capital Market Frictions and Deposit Constraints at Banks , 2000 .

[13]  Sheridan Titman,et al.  The Determinants of Capital Structure Choice , 1988 .

[14]  Whitney K. Newey Flexible Simulated Moment Estimation of Nonlinear Errors-in-Variables Models , 2001, Review of Economics and Statistics.

[15]  Douglas W. Diamond Seniority and maturity of debt contracts , 1993 .

[16]  René M. Stulz,et al.  A Test of the Free Cash Flow Hypothesis: The Case of Bidder Returns , 1991 .

[17]  J. Tobin A General Equilibrium Approach to Monetary Theory , 1969 .

[18]  Hidehiko Ichimura,et al.  Identification and estimation of polynomial errors-in-variables models , 1991 .

[19]  Steven B. Perfect,et al.  Alternative constructions of Tobin's q: An empirical comparison , 1994 .

[20]  J. G. Cragg,et al.  Using Higher Moments to Estimate the Simple Errors-in-Variables Model , 1997 .

[21]  Timothy Erickson,et al.  Measurement Error and the Relationship between Investment and q , 2000, Journal of Political Economy.

[22]  Steven M. Fazzari,et al.  Financing Constraints and Corporate Investment , 1987 .

[23]  James G. Tompkins,et al.  A Modified Version of the Lewellen and Badrinath Measure of Tobin\'s Q , 1999 .

[24]  Stephen R. Bond,et al.  Noisy share prices and the Q model of investment , 2001 .

[25]  Tim Adam,et al.  The Investment Opportunity Set and its Proxy Variables , 2007 .

[26]  S. Myers Determinants of corporate borrowing , 1977 .

[27]  Ricardo J. Caballero,et al.  Fixed Costs: The Demise of Marginal Q , 1996 .

[28]  Janice C. Eberly,et al.  A Unified Model of Investment Under Uncertainty , 1993 .

[29]  Cheolbeom Park Monitoring and Structure of Debt Contracts , 2000 .

[30]  H. Servaes Tobin's Q and the Gains from Takeovers , 1991 .

[31]  Annette B. Poulsen,et al.  Consolidating corporate control*1: Dual-class recapitalizations versus leveraged buyouts , 1990 .

[32]  David R. Peterson,et al.  Self-tender offers: The effects of free cash flow, cash flow signalling, and the measurement of Tobin's q , 1995 .

[33]  Amado P. Saquido Determinants of Corporate Investment , 2003 .

[34]  H. White A Heteroskedasticity-Consistent Covariance Matrix Estimator and a Direct Test for Heteroskedasticity , 1980 .

[35]  E. Fama,et al.  Risk, Return, and Equilibrium: Empirical Tests , 1973, Journal of Political Economy.