Testing the Neoclassical Theory of Economic Growth; A Panel Data Approach

Several recent empirical studies have examined determinants of economic growth using country average (cross-section) data. In contrast, this paper employs a technique for using a panel of both cross-section and time-series data for 98 industrial and developing countries over 1960-85 to determine the quantitative importance for economic growth of both country-specific and time-varying factors such as human capital, public investment, and outward-oriented trade policies. The empirical results provide support for the view that these factors exert a positive and significant influence on economic growth. They also provide estimates of the speed at which the gap in real per capita income between rich and poor countries is likely to be reduced over the longer term.

[1]  Sebastian Edwards,et al.  Trade Orientation, Distortions and Growth in Developing Countries , 1991 .

[2]  Y. Mundlak On the Pooling of Time Series and Cross Section Data , 1978 .

[3]  X. Sala-i-Martin,et al.  Financial Repression and Economic Growth , 1991 .

[4]  S. Rebelo,et al.  Long-Run Policy Analysis and Long-Run Growth , 1990, Journal of Political Economy.

[5]  D. Keesing Outward-Looking Policies and Economic Development , 1967 .

[6]  Gershon Feder On exports and economic growth , 1983 .

[7]  Kevin M. Murphy,et al.  Human Capital, Fertility, and Economic Growth , 1990, Journal of Political Economy.

[8]  R. Solow A Contribution to the Theory of Economic Growth , 1956 .

[9]  E. Domar,et al.  CAPITAL EXPANSION, RATE OF GROWTH AND EMPLOYMENT , 1946 .

[10]  G. Chamberlain Multivariate regression models for panel data , 1982 .

[11]  R. Summers,et al.  The Penn World Table (Mark 5): An Expanded Set of International Comparisons, 1950-1987 , 1991 .

[12]  H. White,et al.  Instrumental Variables Regression with Independent Observations , 1982 .

[13]  D. Weil,et al.  A Contribution to the Empirics of Economic Growth Author ( s ) : , 2008 .

[14]  De Long,et al.  Productivity Growth, Convergence, and Welfare: Comment , 1988 .

[15]  T. Swan,et al.  ECONOMIC GROWTH and CAPITAL ACCUMULATION , 1956 .

[16]  Z. Griliches ERRORS IN VARIABLES AND OTHER UNOBSERVABLES , 1974 .

[17]  Roy Harrod AN ESSAY IN DYNAMIC THEORY , 1939 .

[18]  Thomas MaCurdy,et al.  The use of time series processes to model the error structure of earnings in a longitudinal data analysis , 1982 .

[19]  F. Ramsey,et al.  THE MATHEMATICAL THEORY OF SAVING , 1928 .

[20]  Graham Hacche,et al.  The Theory of Economic Growth , 1979 .

[21]  P. Bardhan,et al.  Models of Growth with Imported Inputs , 1970 .

[22]  Gary Chamberlain,et al.  Chapter 22 Panel data , 1984 .

[23]  I. Ōtani,et al.  Long-term growth in developing countries and its determinants: An empirical analysis , 1990 .

[24]  R. Easterlin Why Isn't the Whole World Developed? , 1981, The Journal of Economic History.