Adapting to unknown sparsity by controlling the false discovery rate

We attempt to recover an n-dimensional vector observed in white noise, where n is large and the vector is known to be sparse, but the degree of sparsity is unknown. We consider three different ways of defining sparsity of a vector: using the fraction of nonzero terms; imposing power-law decay bounds on the ordered entries; and controlling the lp norm for p small. We obtain a procedure which is asymptotically minimax for l r loss, simultaneously throughout a range of such sparsity classes. The optimal procedure is a data-adaptive thresholding scheme, driven by control of the False Discovery Rate (FDR). FDR control is a relatively recent innovation in simultaneous testing, ensuring that at most a certain fraction of the rejected null hypotheses will correspond to false rejections. In our treatment, the FDR control parameter qn also plays a determining role in asymptotic minimaxity. If q = lim qn ∈ [0,1/2] and also qn > γ/log(n) we get sharp asymptotic minimaxity, simultaneously, over a wide range of sparse parameter spaces and loss functions. On the other hand, q = lim qn ∈ (1/2,1], forces the risk to exceed the minimax risk by a factor growing with q. To our knowledge, this relation between ideas in simultaneous inference and asymptotic decision theory is new. Our work provides a new perspective on a class of model selection rules which has been introduced recently by several authors. These new rules impose complexity penalization of the form 2 � log( potential model size / actual model size ). We exhibit a close connection with FDR-controlling procedures under stringent control of the false discovery rate.