Disability, more than multimorbidity, was predictive of mortality among older persons aged 80 years and older.

OBJECTIVE In this study, we evaluate the impact of disability and multimorbidity on the risk of all-cause death in a population of frail older persons living in community. STUDY DESIGN AND SETTING We analyzed data from the Aging and Longevity Study in the Sirente geographic area, a prospective cohort study that collected data on all subjects aged 80 years and older (n=364). The main outcome measure was all-cause mortality over 4-year follow-up. RESULTS A total of 150 deaths occurred. Sixty-seven subjects (44.6%) died in the nondisabled group compared with 83 subjects (55.3%) in the disabled group (P<0.01). Thirty-nine subjects (31.7%) died among subjects without multimorbidity compared with 111 subjects (46.0%) with two or more diseases (P<0.01). When examining the combined effect of multimorbidity and disability, the effect of disability on the risk of death was higher than that of multimorbidity. After adjusting for potential confounders, relative to those without disability and multimorbidity, disabled subjects showed an increased risk of death when multimorbidity was associated (hazard ratio [HR]=3.91; 95% confidence interval [CI]=1.53-10.00) and in absence of multimorbidity (HR=2.36; 95% CI=0.63-8.83). CONCLUSION Our results show that disability exerts an important influence on mortality, independently of age and other clinical and functional variables.

[1]  Matteo Cesari,et al.  Physical activity and mortality in frail, community-living elderly patients. , 2004, The journals of gerontology. Series A, Biological sciences and medical sciences.

[2]  R. Suzman,et al.  Longitudinal study of physical ability in the oldest-old. , 1989, American journal of public health.

[3]  N. Ikegami,et al.  Comprehensive Clinical Assessment in Community Setting: Applicability of the MDS‐HC , 1997, Journal of the American Geriatrics Society.

[4]  J Concato,et al.  Importance of functional measures in predicting mortality among older hospitalized patients. , 1998, JAMA.

[5]  S. Ho,et al.  Predictors of mobility decline: the Hong Kong old-old study. , 1997, The journals of gerontology. Series A, Biological sciences and medical sciences.

[6]  J W Rowe,et al.  Predicting changes in physical performance in a high-functioning elderly cohort: MacArthur studies of successful aging. , 1994, Journal of gerontology.

[7]  L. Bouter,et al.  How to measure comorbidity. a critical review of available methods. , 2003, Journal of clinical epidemiology.

[8]  D. Mehr,et al.  MDS Cognitive Performance Scale. , 1994, Journal of gerontology.

[9]  H Nazirah,et al.  THE APPLICATIONS OF INTERNATIONAL CLASSIFICATION OF FUNCTIONING, DISABILITY AND HEALTH (ICF) BY WORLD HEALTH ORGANIZATION(WHO) IN REHABILITATION MEDICINE PRACTICE , 2007 .

[10]  F. Landi,et al.  The interaction between age and comorbidity contributes to predicting the mortality of geriatric patients in the acute‐care hospital , 1997, Journal of internal medicine.

[11]  H. Cohen,et al.  Comorbidity of five chronic health conditions in elderly community residents: determinants and impact on mortality. , 2000, The journals of gerontology. Series A, Biological sciences and medical sciences.

[12]  L. Ferrucci,et al.  Value of combined assessment of physical health and functional status in community-dwelling aged: a prospective study in Florence, Italy. , 1991, Journal of gerontology.

[13]  K Bandeen-Roche,et al.  Association of comorbidity with disability in older women: the Women's Health and Aging Study. , 1999, Journal of clinical epidemiology.

[14]  G. Onder,et al.  Minimum Data Set for Home Care: A Valid Instrument to Assess Frail Older People Living in the Community , 2000, Medical care.

[15]  L. Ferrucci,et al.  Untangling the concepts of disability, frailty, and comorbidity: implications for improved targeting and care. , 2004, The journals of gerontology. Series A, Biological sciences and medical sciences.

[16]  M. Inzitari,et al.  Predictive Validity of Measures of Comorbidity in Older Community Dwellers: The Insufficienza Cardiaca negli Anziani Residenti a Dicomano Study , 2006, Journal of the American Geriatrics Society.

[17]  A. Ahlbom,et al.  How to evaluate interaction between causes: a review of practices in cardiovascular epidemiology , 1996, Journal of internal medicine.

[18]  L. Ferrucci,et al.  Comorbidity and Physical Function: Results from the Aging and Longevity Study in the Sirente Geographic Area (ilSIRENTE Study) , 2006, Gerontology.

[19]  A. Stuck,et al.  Risk factors for functional status decline in community-living elderly people: a systematic literature review. , 1999, Social science & medicine.

[20]  Liming Cai,et al.  Health, life expectancy, and health care spending among the elderly. , 2003, The New England journal of medicine.

[21]  A. Dobson,et al.  Weighted multimorbidity indexes predicted mortality, health service use, and health-related quality of life in older women. , 2008, Journal of clinical epidemiology.

[22]  J. Mackenbach,et al.  Nondisease factors affected trajectories of disability in a prospective study. , 2005, Journal of clinical epidemiology.

[23]  S Greenland,et al.  Concepts of interaction. , 1980, American journal of epidemiology.

[24]  W. Strawbridge,et al.  The Dynamics of Disability and Functional Change in an Elderly Cohort: Results from the Alameda County Study , 1992, Journal of the American Geriatrics Society.

[25]  M. Cesari,et al.  A new model of integrated home care for the elderly: impact on hospital use. , 2001, Journal of clinical epidemiology.

[26]  W. Satariano,et al.  Causes and consequences of comorbidity: a review. , 2001, Journal of clinical epidemiology.

[27]  Marjan van den Akker,et al.  Multimorbidity's many challenges , 2007, BMJ : British Medical Journal.

[28]  R A Kronmal,et al.  Risk factors for 5-year mortality in older adults: the Cardiovascular Health Study. , 1998, JAMA.

[29]  M. Cesari,et al.  Comorbidity and social factors predicted hospitalization in frail elderly patients. , 2004, Journal of clinical epidemiology.

[30]  Martin Fortin,et al.  Prevalence of Multimorbidity Among Adults Seen in Family Practice , 2005, The Annals of Family Medicine.

[31]  L. Ferrucci,et al.  Progressive versus catastrophic disability: a longitudinal view of the disablement process. , 1996, The journals of gerontology. Series A, Biological sciences and medical sciences.

[32]  M. T. J. Buñuales,et al.  La clasificación internacional del funcionamiento de la discapacidad y de la salud (CIF) 2001 , 2002 .

[33]  James G Wright,et al.  The development of a comorbidity index with physical function as the outcome. , 2005, Journal of clinical epidemiology.

[34]  L. Ferrucci,et al.  The ilSIRENTE study: a prospective cohort study on persons aged 80 years and older living in a mountain community of Central Italy , 2005, Aging clinical and experimental research.

[35]  B. Winblad,et al.  The impact of chronic multimorbidity and disability on functional decline and survival in elderly persons. A community‐based, longitudinal study , 2009, Journal of internal medicine.

[36]  D Kromhout,et al.  Prevalence of morbidity and multimorbidity in elderly male populations and their impact on 10-year all-cause mortality: The FINE study (Finland, Italy, Netherlands, Elderly). , 2001, Journal of clinical epidemiology.

[37]  K. Minematsu,et al.  Long-Term Prognosis, by Stroke Subtypes, after a First-Ever Stroke: A Hospital-Based Study over a 20-Year Period , 2004, Cerebrovascular Diseases.

[38]  R B Wallace,et al.  Lower-extremity function in persons over the age of 70 years as a predictor of subsequent disability. , 1995, The New England journal of medicine.

[39]  Luigi Ferrucci,et al.  Subsystems Contributing to the Decline in Ability to Walk: Bridging the Gap Between Epidemiology and Geriatric Practice in the InCHIANTI Study , 2000, Journal of the American Geriatrics Society.

[40]  John W. Williams,et al.  Common comorbidity scales were similar in their ability to predict health care costs and mortality. , 2004, Journal of clinical epidemiology.

[41]  K. Rockwood,et al.  Responsiveness of goal attainment scaling in a randomized controlled trial of comprehensive geriatric assessment. , 2003, Journal of clinical epidemiology.

[42]  Graziano Onder,et al.  Multidimensional Geriatric Assessment: Back to the Future Second and Third Generation Assessment Instruments: The Birth of Standardization in Geriatric Care , 2008 .