An approach to modelling the dynamics of evolutionary self-organization

We have simulated the dynamics of species evolution in a systems context on a parallel supercomputer. Population dynamics are represented as generalized Lotka-Volterra systems defined as points in a generalized phenotype or character space T. Populations which are closest in T compete most strongly for resources. A variety of systems with varying assumptions, resource distributions, and number of trophic levels were simulated. Starting with a random initial seed proceeding through a complex temporal sequence, most cases converged to essentially the same configuration. The final equilibrium state consisted of a gridwork of localized population clusters in T, representing individual species. The intercluster spacing was roughly equal to the standard deviation of the resource utilization function. Thus the systems self-organize to an array of niches which maximally fills the available volume of resource space while minimizing the overlap of resource utilization functions. The simulations were performed on a Connection Machine (a massively parallel supercomputer) which allowed up to 32 000 distinct points in character space to be modelled in parallel. Simulation allows a more realistic treatment of evolutionary dynamics and greater flexibility in experimental manipulation than previous analytical approaches. We experimented with temporal variations in the resource base. In most cases the niche structure was not affected; species prospered or declined as a function of local resource availability but the niche pattern remained invariant. However, in the case in which each species depends on only one or two resources, increasing randomness in the resource base resulted in a decrease in the number of species.

[1]  R. Macarthur Species packing and competitive equilibrium for many species. , 1970, Theoretical population biology.

[2]  Joel E. Cohen,et al.  Community Food Webs: Data and Theory , 1990 .

[3]  R M May,et al.  On the theory of niche overlap. , 1974, Theoretical population biology.

[4]  P. Allen,et al.  Evolutionary drive: The effect of microscopic diversity, error making, and noise , 1987 .

[5]  R. Macarthur,et al.  The Limiting Similarity, Convergence, and Divergence of Coexisting Species , 1967, The American Naturalist.

[6]  R M May,et al.  Niche overlap as a function of environmental variability. , 1972, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America.

[7]  L. Oksanen Ecosystem Organization: Mutualism and Cybernetics or Plain Darwinian Struggle for Existence? , 1988, The American Naturalist.

[8]  A. J. Lotka,et al.  Elements of Physical Biology. , 1925, Nature.

[9]  J. Yorke,et al.  Chaos, Strange Attractors, and Fractal Basin Boundaries in Nonlinear Dynamics , 1987, Science.

[10]  Robert K. Colwell,et al.  PREDICTABILITY, CONSTANCY, AND CONTINGENCY OF PERIODIC PHENOMENA' , 1974 .

[11]  J. Roughgarden Resource partitioning among competing species--a coevolutionary approach. , 1976, Theoretical population biology.

[12]  R. Ulanowicz,et al.  The Seasonal Dynamics of The Chesapeake Bay Ecosystem , 1989 .

[13]  Bernard C. Patten,et al.  The Cybernetic Nature of Ecosystems , 1981, The American Naturalist.

[14]  R. May,et al.  Stability and Complexity in Model Ecosystems , 1976, IEEE Transactions on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics.