Impacts of Noah model physics on catchment‐scale runoff simulations

Noah model physics options validated for the source region of the Yellow River (SRYR) are applied to investigate their ability in reproducing runoff at the catchment scale. Three sets of augmentations are implemented affecting descriptions of (i) turbulent and soil heat transport (Noah-H), (ii) soil water flow (Noah-W), and (iii) frozen ground processes (Noah-F). Five numerical experiments are designed with the three augmented versions, a control run with default model physics and a run with all augmentations (Noah-A). Each experiment is set up with vegetation and soil parameters from Weather Research and Forecasting data set, soil organic matter content from China Soil Database, 0.1° atmospheric forcing data from Institute of Tibetan Plateau Research (Chinese Academy of Sciences), and initial equilibrium model states achieved using a single-year recurrent spin-up. In situ heat flux, soil temperature (Ts), and soil moisture (θ) profile measurements are available for point-scale assessment, whereas monthly streamflow is utilized for the catchment-scale evaluation. The comparison with point measurements shows that the augmentations invoked with Noah-H resolve issues with the heat flux and Ts simulation and Noah-W mitigates deficiencies in the θ simulation, while Noah-A yields improvements for both simulated surface energy and water budgets. In contrast, Noah-F has a minor effect. Also, at catchment scale, the best model performance is found for Noah-A leading to a base flow-dominated runoff regime, whereby the surface runoff contribution remains significant. This study highlights the need for a complete description of vertical heat and water exchanges to correctly simulate the runoff in the seasonally frozen and high-altitude SRYR at the catchment scale.

[1]  Arjen Ysbert Hoekstra,et al.  Augmentations to the Noah Model Physics for Application to the Yellow River Source Area. Part II: Turbulent Heat Fluxes and Soil Heat Transport , 2015 .

[2]  J. D. Tarpley,et al.  The multi‐institution North American Land Data Assimilation System (NLDAS): Utilizing multiple GCIP products and partners in a continental distributed hydrological modeling system , 2004 .

[3]  Jeffrey P. Walker,et al.  THE GLOBAL LAND DATA ASSIMILATION SYSTEM , 2004 .

[4]  Jie He,et al.  On downward shortwave and longwave radiations over high altitude regions: Observation and modeling in the Tibetan Plateau , 2010 .

[5]  W. Genxu,et al.  Effects of changes in alpine grassland vegetation cover on hillslope hydrological processes in a permafrost watershed , 2012 .

[6]  Yaoming Ma,et al.  The Tibetan plateau observatory of plateau scale soil moisture and soil temperature, Tibet - Obs, for quantifying uncertainties in coarse resolution satellite and model products , 2011 .

[7]  Laj R. Ahuja,et al.  Macroporosity to characterize spatial variability of hydraulic conductivity and effects of land management , 1984 .

[8]  Jingyun Fang,et al.  Above- and belowground biomass allocation in Tibetan grasslands. , 2009 .

[9]  Jun Qin,et al.  Some practical notes on the land surface modeling in the Tibetan Plateau , 2009 .

[10]  Y. Hong,et al.  The TRMM Multisatellite Precipitation Analysis (TMPA): Quasi-Global, Multiyear, Combined-Sensor Precipitation Estimates at Fine Scales , 2007 .

[11]  A. Slater,et al.  A multimodel simulation of pan-Arctic hydrology , 2007 .

[12]  Zhongbo Su,et al.  Maqu network for validation of satellite-derived soil moisture products , 2012, Int. J. Appl. Earth Obs. Geoinformation.

[13]  X. Zeng,et al.  Surface Skin Temperature and the Interplay between Sensible and Ground Heat Fluxes over Arid Regions , 2012 .

[14]  Zong-Liang Yang,et al.  Effects of Frozen Soil on Snowmelt Runoff and Soil Water Storage at a Continental Scale , 2006 .

[15]  Y. Pachepsky,et al.  Estimating water retention of sandy soils using the additivity hypothesis. , 2000 .

[16]  Jinkyu Hong,et al.  Spin-up behavior of soil moisture content over East Asia in a land surface model , 2012, Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics.

[17]  T. Koike,et al.  GAME-Tibet IOP Summary Report. , 1999 .

[18]  M. Ek,et al.  Influence of thermodynamic soil and vegetation parameterizations on the simulation of soil temperature states and surface fluxes by the Noah LSM over a Tibetan plateau site , 2009 .

[19]  J. Pomeroy,et al.  Comparison of Algorithms and Parameterisations for Infiltration into Organic-Covered Permafrost Soils , 2009 .

[20]  G. Cheng,et al.  Responses of permafrost to climate change and their environmental significance, Qinghai‐Tibet Plateau , 2007 .

[21]  W. Rawls,et al.  Soil Water Characteristic Estimates by Texture and Organic Matter for Hydrologic Solutions , 2006 .

[22]  Q. Shao,et al.  Changes in stream flow regime in headwater catchments of the Yellow River basin since the 1950s , 2007 .

[23]  B. Hurk,et al.  A Revised Hydrology for the ECMWF Model: Verification from Field Site to Terrestrial Water Storage and Impact in the Integrated Forecast System , 2009 .

[24]  Keith Beven,et al.  On subsurface stormflow: an analysis of response times , 1982 .

[25]  Yaoming Ma,et al.  Modeling the land surface water and energy cycles of a mesoscale watershed in the central Tibetan Plateau during summer with a distributed hydrological model , 2013 .

[26]  S. Uhlenbrook,et al.  Streamflow trends and climate linkages in the source region of the Yellow River, China , 2011 .

[27]  M. Ek,et al.  Evaluation of multi-model simulated soil moisture in NLDAS-2 , 2014 .

[28]  J. Qin,et al.  Evaluation of AMSR‐E retrievals and GLDAS simulations against observations of a soil moisture network on the central Tibetan Plateau , 2013 .

[29]  Z. Hao,et al.  The impacts of climate change and land cover/use transition on the hydrology in the upper Yellow River Basin, China , 2013 .

[30]  David M. Lawrence,et al.  Incorporating organic soil into a global climate model , 2008 .

[31]  Zong-Liang Yang,et al.  Quantifying parameter sensitivity, interaction, and transferability in hydrologically enhanced versions of the Noah land surface model over transition zones during the warm season , 2010 .

[32]  Rong-hui Huang,et al.  Response of water budget to recent climatic changes in the source region of the Yellow River , 2012 .

[33]  Ying Zhang,et al.  On the coupling strength between the land surface and the atmosphere: From viewpoint of surface exchange coefficients , 2009 .

[34]  Lazhu,et al.  A MULTISCALE SOIL MOISTURE AND FREEZE-THAW MONITORING NETWORK ON THE THIRD POLE , 2013 .

[35]  Hongxing Zheng,et al.  Analysis of long‐term water balance in the source area of the Yellow River basin , 2008 .

[36]  X. Li,et al.  Coupling of a simultaneous heat and water model with a distributed hydrological model and evaluation of the combined model in a cold region watershed , 2013 .

[37]  Zhenchun Hao,et al.  Discharge regime and simulation for the upstream of major rivers over Tibetan Plateau , 2013 .

[38]  G. Hornberger,et al.  A Statistical Exploration of the Relationships of Soil Moisture Characteristics to the Physical Properties of Soils , 1984 .

[39]  Rogier van der Velde,et al.  Augmentations to the Noah Model Physics for Application to the Yellow River Source Area. Part I: Soil Water Flow , 2015 .

[40]  J. Pu,et al.  Modeling the runoff and glacier mass balance in a small watershed on the Central Tibetan Plateau, China, from 1955 to 2008 , 2012 .

[41]  T. Koike,et al.  The Coordinated Enhanced Observing Period-an initial step for integrated global water cycle observation , 2004 .

[42]  Rogier van der Velde,et al.  Decadal variations of land surface temperature anomalies observed over the Tibetan Plateau by the Special Sensor Microwave Imager (SSM/I) from 1987 to 2008 , 2012, Climatic Change.

[43]  R. Dankers,et al.  Simulation of permafrost and seasonal thaw depth in the JULES land surface scheme , 2011 .

[44]  Arjen Ysbert Hoekstra,et al.  Assessment of roughness length schemes implemented within the Noah land surface model for high-altitude regions , 2014 .

[45]  A. Pitman,et al.  Uncertainty in the simulation of runoff due to the parameterization of frozen soil moisture using the Global Soil Wetness Project methodology , 1999 .

[46]  K. Mo,et al.  Continental-scale water and energy flux analysis and validation for the North American Land Data Assimilation System project phase 2 (NLDAS-2): 1. Intercomparison and application of model products , 2012 .

[47]  Y. Xue,et al.  Modeling of land surface evaporation by four schemes and comparison with FIFE observations , 1996 .

[48]  L. Lu,et al.  Large-scale land cover mapping with the integration of multi-source information based on the Dempster–Shafer theory , 2012, Int. J. Geogr. Inf. Sci..

[49]  Donglin Guo,et al.  Simulation of permafrost and seasonally frozen ground conditions on the Tibetan Plateau, 1981–2010 , 2013 .

[50]  R. G. Hills,et al.  Modeling one‐dimensional infiltration into very dry soils: 1. Model development and evaluation , 1989 .

[51]  Guodong Cheng,et al.  Changes in frozen ground in the Source Area of the Yellow River on the Qinghai–Tibet Plateau, China, and their eco-environmental impacts , 2009 .

[52]  Marc F. P. Bierkens,et al.  Consistent increase in High Asia's runoff due to increasing glacier melt and precipitation , 2014 .

[53]  R. Dickinson,et al.  Effects of frozen soil on soil temperature, spring infiltration, and runoff: Results from the PILPS 2(d) experiment at Valdai, Russia , 2003 .

[54]  Hua Yuan,et al.  A soil particle-size distribution dataset for regional land and climate modelling in China , 2012 .

[55]  O. Johansen Thermal Conductivity of Soils , 1977 .

[56]  A heterogeneous land surface model initialization study , 2010 .

[57]  Jan Polcher,et al.  Multi-scale validation of a new soil freezing scheme for a land-surface model with physically-based hydrology , 2011 .

[58]  W. Genxu,et al.  The influence of freeze-thaw cycles of active soil layer on surface runoff in a permafrost watershed , 2009 .

[59]  Y. Xue,et al.  Analyses and development of a hierarchy of frozen soil models for cold region study , 2010 .

[60]  D. Lettenmaier,et al.  Development of a Unified Land Model for Prediction of Surface Hydrology and Land–Atmosphere Interactions , 2011 .

[61]  Yijian Zeng,et al.  Evaluation of ECMWF's soil moisture analyses using observations on the Tibetan Plateau , 2013 .

[62]  D. Verseghy,et al.  Parametrization of peatland hydraulic properties for the Canadian land surface scheme , 2000, Data, Models and Analysis.

[63]  Lin Zhao,et al.  Recent ground surface warming and its effects on permafrost on the central Qinghai‐Tibet Plateau , 2013 .

[64]  Kevin W. Manning,et al.  The community Noah land surface model with multiparameterization options (Noah-MP): 1. Model description and evaluation with local-scale measurements , 2011 .

[65]  E. Blyth,et al.  Improved modelling of Siberian river flow through the use of an alternative frozen soil hydrology scheme in a land surface model , 2012 .

[66]  T. W. Horst,et al.  Description and Evaluation of the Characteristics of the NCAR High-Resolution Land Data Assimilation System , 2007 .

[67]  Jean-François Mahfouf,et al.  The representation of soil moisture freezing and its impact on the stable boundary layer , 1999 .

[68]  Qingbai Wu,et al.  Changes in active layer thickness over the Qinghai‐Tibetan Plateau from 1995 to 2007 , 2010 .

[69]  Eric F. Wood,et al.  The Effect of Soil Thermal Conductivity Parameterization on Surface Energy Fluxes and Temperatures , 1998 .

[70]  Gaylon S. Campbell,et al.  A SIMPLE METHOD FOR DETERMINING UNSATURATED CONDUCTIVITY FROM MOISTURE RETENTION DATA , 1974 .

[71]  J. D. Tarpley,et al.  Implementation of Noah land surface model advances in the National Centers for Environmental Prediction operational mesoscale Eta model , 2003 .

[72]  H. Pan,et al.  Interaction between soil hydrology and boundary-layer development , 1987 .

[73]  George R. Blake,et al.  Thermal Properties of Soils , 1950 .

[74]  M. Bierkens,et al.  Climate Change Will Affect the Asian Water Towers , 2010, Science.

[75]  K. Mitchell,et al.  Simple water balance model for estimating runoff at different spatial and temporal scales , 1996 .

[76]  Tandong Yao,et al.  ROOF OF THE WORLD: Tibetan Observation and Research Platform , 2008 .

[77]  S. Carey,et al.  Evaluation of the algorithms and parameterizations for ground thawing and freezing simulation in permafrost regions , 2008 .

[78]  Cédric H. David,et al.  Hydrological evaluation of the Noah‐MP land surface model for the Mississippi River Basin , 2014 .

[79]  R. B. Jackson,et al.  A global analysis of root distributions for terrestrial biomes , 1996, Oecologia.

[80]  H. Pan,et al.  A two-layer model of soil hydrology , 1984 .

[81]  K. Mitchell,et al.  A parameterization of snowpack and frozen ground intended for NCEP weather and climate models , 1999 .

[82]  Jie He,et al.  Improving land surface temperature modeling for dry land of China , 2011 .

[83]  Kun Yang,et al.  Inverse analysis of the role of soil vertical heterogeneity in controlling surface soil state and energy partition , 2005 .

[84]  M. Ek,et al.  The Influence of Atmospheric Stability on Potential Evaporation , 1984 .

[85]  Dennis P. Lettenmaier,et al.  Hydrologic effects of frozen soils in the upper Mississippi River basin , 1999 .

[86]  A. Zhu,et al.  A China data set of soil properties for land surface modeling , 2013 .