Climate Statistics in Global Simulations of the Atmosphere, from 80 to 2.5 km Grid Spacing

Basic climate statistics, such as water and energy budgets, location and width of the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ), trimodal tropical cloud distribution, position of the polar jet, and land sea contrast, remain either biased in coarse-resolution general circulation models or are tuned. Here, we examine the horizontal resolution dependency of such statistics in a set of global convection-permitting simulations integrated with the ICOsahedral Non-hydrostatic (ICON) model, explicit convection, and grid spacings ranging from 80 km down to 2.5 km. The impact of resolution is quantified by comparing the resolution-induced differences to the spread obtained in an ensemble of eight distinct global storm-resolving models. Using this metric, we find that, at least by 5 km, the resolution-induced differences become smaller than the spread in 26 out of the 27 investigated statistics. Even for nine (18) of these statistics, a grid spacing of 80 (10) km does not lead to significant differences. Resolution down to 5 km matters especially for net shortwave radiation, which systematically increases with the resolution because of reductions in the low cloud amount over the subtropical oceans. Further resolution dependencies can be found in the land-to-ocean precipitation ratio, in the latitudinal position and width of the Pacific ITCZ, and in the longitudinal position of the Atlantic ITCZ. In addition, in the tropics, the deep convective cloud population systematically increases at the expense of the shallow one, whereas the partition of congestus clouds remains fairly constant. Finally, refining the grid spacing systematically moves the simulations closer to observations, but climate statistics exhibiting weaker resolution dependencies are not necessarily associated with smaller biases. Corresponding author: Cathy Hohenegger, Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Bundesstrasse 53, 20146 Hamburg, Germany E-mail: cathy.hohenegger@mpimet.mpg.de J-stage Advance Published Date: 10 November 2019 Journal of the Meteorological Society of Japan Vol. 98, No. 1 74

[1]  Shian-Jiann Lin,et al.  DYAMOND: the DYnamics of the Atmospheric general circulation Modeled On Non-hydrostatic Domains , 2019, Progress in Earth and Planetary Science.

[2]  C. J. Morcrette,et al.  Finding plausible and diverse variants of a climate model. Part 1: establishing the relationship between errors at weather and climate time scales , 2019, Climate Dynamics.

[3]  William M. Putman,et al.  Global Cloud-Resolving Models , 2019, Current Climate Change Reports.

[4]  R. Schiemann,et al.  Multi-model evaluation of the sensitivity of the global energy budget and hydrological cycle to resolution , 2018, Climate Dynamics.

[5]  G. Zängl,et al.  ICON‐A, the Atmosphere Component of the ICON Earth System Model: I. Model Description , 2018, Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems.

[6]  C. Schär,et al.  Convergence behavior of idealized convection-resolving simulations of summertime deep moist convection over land , 2018, Climate Dynamics.

[7]  Philip G. Sansom,et al.  The Impact of Parameterized Convection on Climatological Precipitation in Atmospheric Global Climate Models , 2018 .

[8]  Daniel Klocke,et al.  Rediscovery of the doldrums in storm-resolving simulations over the tropical Atlantic , 2017, Nature Geoscience.

[9]  Torsten Hoefler,et al.  Near-global climate simulation at 1 km resolution: establishing a performance baseline on 4888 GPUs with COSMO 5.0 , 2017 .

[10]  Andrew Gettelman,et al.  The Art and Science of Climate Model Tuning , 2017 .

[11]  Hideaki Ohtake,et al.  Stalled Improvement in a Numerical Weather Prediction Model as Horizontal Resolution Increases to the Sub-Kilometer Scale , 2017 .

[12]  Hartwig Deneke,et al.  Large‐eddy simulations over Germany using ICON: a comprehensive evaluation , 2017 .

[13]  N. Jeevanjee Vertical Velocity in the Gray Zone , 2016 .

[14]  Tsuyoshi Yamaura,et al.  Resolution dependence of deep convections in a global simulation from over 10-kilometer to sub-kilometer grid spacing , 2016, Progress in Earth and Planetary Science.

[15]  Tsuyoshi Yamaura,et al.  Resolution Dependence of the Diurnal Cycle of Precipitation Simulated by a Global Cloud-System Resolving Model , 2016 .

[16]  R. Vautard,et al.  Precipitation in the EURO-CORDEX $$0.11^{\circ }$$0.11∘ and $$0.44^{\circ }$$0.44∘ simulations: high resolution, high benefits? , 2016 .

[17]  J. Cole,et al.  A quantitative assessment of precipitation associated with the ITCZ in the CMIP5 GCM simulations , 2016, Climate Dynamics.

[18]  Sarah M. Kang,et al.  The impact of parametrized convection on cloud feedback , 2015, Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences.

[19]  Tsuyoshi Yamaura,et al.  Does convection vary in different cloud disturbances? , 2015 .

[20]  L. Leung,et al.  Toward the Dynamical Convergence on the Jet Stream in Aquaplanet AGCMs , 2015 .

[21]  R. Leung,et al.  A review on regional convection‐permitting climate modeling: Demonstrations, prospects, and challenges , 2015, Reviews of geophysics.

[22]  G. Zängl,et al.  The ICON (ICOsahedral Non‐hydrostatic) modelling framework of DWD and MPI‐M: Description of the non‐hydrostatic dynamical core , 2015 .

[23]  B. Stevens,et al.  The Atlantic ITCZ bias in CMIP5 models , 2015, Climate Dynamics.

[24]  A. Prein Precipitation in the EURO-CORDEX 0.11° and 0.44° simulations: high resolution, high benefits? , 2014 .

[25]  C. Schär,et al.  Evaluation of the convection‐resolving regional climate modeling approach in decade‐long simulations , 2014 .

[26]  R. Schiemann,et al.  The sensitivity of the tropical circulation and Maritime Continent precipitation to climate model resolution , 2014, Climate Dynamics.

[27]  Paul Berrisford,et al.  The role of horizontal resolution in simulating drivers of the global hydrological cycle , 2014, Climate Dynamics.

[28]  H. Yashiro,et al.  Deep moist atmospheric convection in a subkilometer global simulation , 2013 .

[29]  Chuntao Liu,et al.  A climatology of tropical congestus using CloudSat , 2013 .

[30]  P. Knippertz,et al.  The role of moist convection in the West African monsoon system: Insights from continental‐scale convection‐permitting simulations , 2013 .

[31]  G. Georgievski,et al.  Added value of convection permitting seasonal simulations , 2013, Climate Dynamics.

[32]  R. Hogan,et al.  Mixing‐length controls on high‐resolution simulations of convective storms , 2013 .

[33]  N. Swart The Southern Hemisphere Westerlies and the ocean carbon cycle: the influence of climate model wind biases and human induced changes. , 2013 .

[34]  Hayley J. Fowler,et al.  Does increasing the spatial resolution of a regional climate model improve the simulated daily precipitation? , 2013, Climate Dynamics.

[35]  Francis Codron,et al.  Southern Hemisphere Jet Variability in the IPSL GCM at Varying Resolutions , 2012 .

[36]  J. Fyfe,et al.  Observed and simulated changes in the Southern Hemisphere surface westerly wind‐stress , 2012 .

[37]  H. Tomita,et al.  Quantitative Assessment of Diurnal Variation of Tropical Convection Simulated by a Global Nonhydrostatic Model without Cumulus Parameterization , 2012 .

[38]  C. Schär,et al.  Bulk Convergence of Cloud-Resolving Simulations of Moist Convection over Complex Terrain , 2012 .

[39]  D. Klocke,et al.  Tuning the climate of a global model , 2012 .

[40]  M. Baldauf,et al.  Operational Convective-Scale Numerical Weather Prediction with the COSMO Model: Description and Sensitivities , 2011 .

[41]  J. Dudhia,et al.  High resolution coupled climate-runoff simulations of seasonal snowfall over Colorado: A process study of current and warmer climate , 2011 .

[42]  B. Stevens,et al.  Revealing differences in GCM representations of low clouds , 2011 .

[43]  J. Dudhia,et al.  Simulation of seasonal snowfall over Colorado , 2010 .

[44]  H. Tomita,et al.  Importance of the subgrid-scale turbulent moist process: Cloud distribution in global cloud-resolving simulations , 2010 .

[45]  S. J. Weiss,et al.  Next-Day Convection-Allowing WRF Model Guidance: A Second Look at 2-km versus 4-km Grid Spacing , 2009 .

[46]  Hiroaki Miura,et al.  Diurnal Cycle of Precipitation in the Tropics Simulated in a Global Cloud-Resolving Model , 2009 .

[47]  A. Dörnbrack,et al.  Entrainment in Cumulus Clouds: What Resolution is Cloud-Resolving? , 2008 .

[48]  M. Satoh,et al.  Resolution Dependency of the Diurnal Cycle of Convective Clouds over the Tibetan Plateau in a Mesoscale Model( The International Workshop on High-Resolution and Cloud Modeling, 2006) , 2008 .

[49]  C. Frei,et al.  SAL—A Novel Quality Measure for the Verification of Quantitative Precipitation Forecasts , 2008 .

[50]  C. Schär,et al.  Towards climate simulations at cloud-resolving scales , 2008 .

[51]  Kevin W. Manning,et al.  Experiences with 0–36-h Explicit Convective Forecasts with the WRF-ARW Model , 2008 .

[52]  J. Qian,et al.  Why Precipitation Is Mostly Concentrated over Islands in the Maritime Continent , 2008 .

[53]  Masaki Satoh,et al.  Nonhydrostatic icosahedral atmospheric model (NICAM) for global cloud resolving simulations , 2008, J. Comput. Phys..

[54]  N. Roberts,et al.  Scale-Selective Verification of Rainfall Accumulations from High-Resolution Forecasts of Convective Events , 2008 .

[55]  B. Stevens,et al.  Impact Mechanisms of Shallow Cumulus Convection on Tropical Climate Dynamics , 2007 .

[56]  G. Zängl,et al.  Quantitative precipitation forecasting in the Alps: The advances achieved by the Mesoscale Alpine Programme , 2007 .

[57]  H. Tomita,et al.  A short‐duration global cloud‐resolving simulation with a realistic land and sea distribution , 2007 .

[58]  H. Tomita,et al.  A global cloud‐resolving simulation: Preliminary results from an aqua planet experiment , 2005 .

[59]  David L. Williamson,et al.  Evaluating Parameterizations in General Circulation Models: Climate Simulation Meets Weather Prediction , 2004 .

[60]  J. Wyngaard,et al.  Resolution Requirements for the Simulation of Deep Moist Convection , 2003 .

[61]  V. Pope,et al.  The processes governing horizontal resolution sensitivity in a climate model , 2002 .

[62]  A. Brown,et al.  The impact of horizontal resolution on the simulations of convective development over land , 2002 .

[63]  Kenneth J. Westrick,et al.  Does Increasing Horizontal Resolution Produce More Skillful Forecasts , 2002 .

[64]  E. Mlawer,et al.  Radiative transfer for inhomogeneous atmospheres: RRTM, a validated correlated-k model for the longwave , 1997 .

[65]  W. Skamarock,et al.  The resolution dependence of explicitly modeled convective systems , 1997 .