Anomalous Stock Returns Around Internet Firms' Earnings Announcements

This paper presents evidence of persistent anomalies in internet firms' stock returns surrounding their quarterly earnings announcements. There is a general run-up in prices in the days prior to the earnings announcement, which extends through the market opening on the day subsequent to the release. This is followed by a price reversal lasting for several days. The magnitude of the market-adjusted returns associated with these price movements exceeds 11 percent over a 10-day period. There is little evidence to suggest that these returns can be explained either by the earnings news disclosed or by changes in risk around the earnings announcements. Additional analyses suggest that these return patterns are driven, at least in part, by price pressure which exists in the days before internet firms' earnings announcements. A trading strategy designed to exploit these price patterns would have generated a daily return of more than 1 percent over the sample period.

[1]  E. Fama,et al.  Common risk factors in the returns on stocks and bonds , 1993 .

[2]  Brett Trueman,et al.  The Eyeballs Have it: Searching for the Value in Internet Stocks , 2000 .

[3]  David Mayers,et al.  The effect of large block transactions on security prices: A cross-sectional analysis , 1987 .

[4]  Charles M. C. Lee,et al.  Earnings news and small traders : An intraday analysis , 1992 .

[5]  Bing Liang Price Pressure: Evidence from the "Dartboard" Column , 1999 .

[6]  B. Lev,et al.  A Rude Awakening: Internet Shakeout in 2000 , 2000 .

[7]  Victor L. Bernard,et al.  POST-EARNINGS-ANNOUNCEMENT DRIFT - DELAYED PRICE RESPONSE OR RISK PREMIUM , 1989 .

[8]  Maureen O'Hara,et al.  The Accuracy of Trade Classification Rules: Evidence from NASDAQ , 2000 .

[9]  J. Patell,et al.  The Ex Ante And Ex Post Price Effects Of Quarterly Earnings Announcements Reflected In Option And Stock-Prices , 1981 .

[10]  W. Beaver The Information Content Of Annual Earnings Announcements , 1968 .

[11]  Pricing an Emerging Industry: Evidence from Internet Subsidiary Carve-Outs , 1999 .

[12]  P. Pope Post-Earnings Announcement Drift? , 1996 .

[13]  Ravi Jagannathan,et al.  Seasonalities in security returns: The case of earnings announcements , 1988 .

[14]  Brad M. Barber,et al.  Detecting Long-Run Abnormal Stock Returns: The Empirical Power and Specification of Test Statistics , 1997 .

[15]  M. Richardson,et al.  Dotcom Mania: A Survey of Market Efficiency in the Internet Sector , 2001 .

[16]  Brad M. Barber,et al.  Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors , 2000 .

[17]  John R. M. Hand The Role of Book Income, Web Traffic, and Supply and Demand in the Pricing of U.S. Internet Stocks , 2001 .

[18]  Charles M. C. Lee,et al.  Inferring Trade Direction from Intraday Data , 1991 .

[19]  R. Panush,et al.  A Rude Awakening , 1997 .

[20]  Xiao-Jun Zhang,et al.  Back to Basics: Forecasting the Revenues of Internet Firms , 2000 .

[21]  P. Frost,et al.  Tests for Price Effects of New Issues of Seasoned Securities , 1982 .

[22]  Michael J. Cooper,et al.  A Rose.Com by Any Other Name , 2000 .

[23]  John R. M. Hand Profits, Losses and the Non-Linear Pricing of Internet Stocks , 2000 .

[24]  Stephen H. Penman,et al.  Timeliness Of Reporting And The Stock-Price Reaction To Earnings Announcements , 1984 .

[25]  Douglas A. Schroeder,et al.  An Empirical-Investigation Of The Effect Of Quarterly Earnings Announcement Timing On Stock Returns , 1984 .

[26]  Mark M. Carhart On Persistence in Mutual Fund Performance , 1997 .

[27]  Angela K. Davis The Value Relevance of Revenue for Internet Firms: Does Reporting Grossed-up or Barter Revenue Make a Difference? , 2001 .

[28]  Roger G. Ibbotson,et al.  Price performance of common stock new issues , 1975 .

[29]  Suresh Kotha,et al.  The Value-Relevance of Network Advantages: The Case of E-Commerce Firms , 2003 .

[30]  B. Barber,et al.  The “Dartboard” Column: Second-Hand Information and Price Pressure , 1993, Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis.

[31]  Lawrence Harris,et al.  Price and Volume Effects Associated with Changes in the S&P 500 List: New Evidence for the Existence of Price Pressures , 1986 .

[32]  H. White A Heteroskedasticity-Consistent Covariance Matrix Estimator and a Direct Test for Heteroskedasticity , 1980 .