Development of data-driven models for wind speed forecasting in Australia

Abstract To provide a modeling framework for wind energy harnessing, there are several data-driven models used for wind speed prediction at a global scale but the accuracy of one particular model in a specific location does not guarantee its applicability in the others, in the climatologically diverse wind farm locations. Therefore, to resolve this challenge, it is important to develop and implement advance machine learning models for wind speed forecasting in a specific location. This chapter is based on the development and comparison of data-driven modeling for short (6 hourly) and medium-term (daily) wind speed forecasting horizons in wind potential regions in Australia. In this chapter, artificial neural networks, multiple linear regressions, random forests, M5 tree, and autoregressive integrated moving-average models are developed. The research literature shows that these models have not been used comparatively for wind speed forecasting in specific wind belt locations in Australia and, most importantly, for multiple forecasting horizons, including short-term and daily scales that this chapter aims to undertake. Thus this chapter makes an important contribution to the wind speed forecasting area, and in particular, the future opportunity for renewable energy researchers to explore these data-driven models to generate wind speed predictions with artificial intelligence techniques. It emphasizes the important implications for renewable energy feasibility studies, and several other applications in the climate dynamics and modeling areas where a prior knowledge of the future wind regimes is required.

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