Cellular Neural Networks Based Time-Series Approximation for Real Time Systems' Modeling-and-Identification and Behavior Forecast in Transportation: Motivation, Problem Formulation, and Some Research Avenues

This paper discusses the potential of using “time series approximation” for mathematical modeling, online system identification and forecasting of the dynamical behavior of scenarios in the field of traffic and transportation. The tremendous attention devoted to both modeling and forecasting (in transportation) is justified whereby some challenges and unsolved research issues are discussed. Due to the time-varying dynamics experienced by transportation related systems/scenarios, an appropriate identification process is necessary and should be applied to determine the parameter settings of the corresponding mathematical models in real time. The concept of a simulation and computing platform design based on the cellular neural network (CNN) paradigm will be presented. Then the capability to study the spatio-temporal and time-varying dynamics exhibited by time-varying transportation systems/scenarios will be demonstrated. In the essence, we develop a concept that uses the CNN model as a universal mathematical system-model and/or system-model approximator.

[1]  P. Arena,et al.  Cellular neural networks : chaos, complexity and VLSI processing , 1999 .

[2]  G. Dimitrakopoulos,et al.  Intelligent Transportation Systems , 2010, IEEE Vehicular Technology Magazine.

[3]  C. Finney,et al.  Observing and modeling nonlinear dynamics in an internal combustion engine , 1998 .

[4]  I. Cock Encyclopedia of Life Support Systems (EOLSS) , 2011 .

[5]  Andreas Daffertshofer,et al.  Deterministic and stochastic features of rhythmic human movement , 2006, Biological Cybernetics.

[6]  J. A. Scott Kelso,et al.  Modeling experimental time series with ordinary differential equations , 2004, Biological Cybernetics.

[7]  E. Lorenz Predictability of Weather and Climate: Predictability – a problem partly solved , 2006 .

[8]  Dag Wedelin,et al.  Benchmarks for identification of ordinary differential equations from time series data , 2009, Bioinform..

[9]  Ervin Y. Rodin,et al.  Traffic Prediction and Management via RBF Neural Nets and Semantic Control , 1998 .

[10]  V. I. Shvetsov,et al.  Mathematical Modeling of Traffic Flows , 2003 .

[11]  Michael T. Turvey,et al.  Linear and nonlinear stiffness and friction in biological rhythmic movements , 1995, Biological Cybernetics.

[12]  B. G. Cetiner,et al.  A NEURAL NETWORK BASED TRAFFIC-FLOW PREDICTION MODEL , 2010 .

[13]  Srinivas Peeta,et al.  Automatic Real-Time Detection and Correction of Erroneous Detector Data with Fourier Transforms for Online Traffic Control Architectures , 2002 .

[14]  Claudia Bauzer Medeiros,et al.  Managing sensor traffic data and forecasting unusual behaviour propagation , 2010, GeoInformatica.

[15]  H. Abarbanel,et al.  Prediction in chaotic nonlinear systems: Methods for time series with broadband Fourier spectra. , 1990, Physical review. A, Atomic, molecular, and optical physics.

[16]  Xuewei Li,et al.  Chaotic analysis of traffic time series , 2005 .

[17]  Leonard A. Smith Disentangling Uncertainty and Error: On the Predictability of Nonlinear Systems , 2001 .

[18]  Lin-Bao Yang,et al.  Cellular neural networks: theory , 1988 .

[19]  J. J. Hopfield,et al.  “Neural” computation of decisions in optimization problems , 1985, Biological Cybernetics.

[20]  J. D. Farmer,et al.  Nonlinear modeling of chaotic time series: Theory and applications , 1990 .