Chaos analysis and prediction of vehicle traffic accidents

A novel accident chaos theory is proposed. The chaos characteristics in vehicle traffic accidents are analyzed by using accident chaos theory and fault tree. Then the predictive model of vehicle traffic accidents is constructed based on accident chaos theory, and the maximal predictable size of the model is analyzed. The chaos attractors in traffic accidents are predicted by using phase space neighbor-equal-distance method. The experiment results show that the accident chaos theory is effective to the analysis and prediction of vehicle traffic accidents.