Computers and Economic Growth: Firm-leyel Evidence Computers and Economic Growth: Firm-level Evidence

We would like to thank Michael Sullivan-Trainor and International Data Group for providing essential data. We alone are responsible for any remaining errors in the paper. ABSTRACT In advanced economies, computers are a promising source of output growth. This paper assesses the value added by computer equipment and information systems labor by estimating several production functions that also include ordinary capital, ordinary labor and R&D capital. Our study employs recent firm-level data for 367 large firms which generated approximately $1.8 trillion dollars in output per year for the period 1988 to 1992. We find evidence that computers are correlated with significantly higher output at the firm level, although simultaneity makes it difficult to prove a causal relationship. Considering the rapid growth of computer capital stock, our estimates imply that computers were associated with more output growth in the sample period than all other types of capital combined, despite the fact that they accounted for less than 2% of the total capital stock.

[1]  D. W. Cartwright Improved Deflation of Purchases of Computers , 2013 .

[2]  Erik Brynjolfsson,et al.  Does Information Technology Lead to Smaller Firms , 2011 .

[3]  Timothy F. Bresnahan,et al.  General Purpose Technologies , 2010 .

[4]  M. C. Jensen,et al.  The Modern Industrial Revolution, Exit, and the Failure of Internal Control Systems , 1993, A Theory of the Firm.

[5]  C. Morrison Assessing the Productivity of Information Technology Equipment in U.S. Manufacturing Industries , 1991, Review of Economics and Statistics.

[6]  D. Jorgenson,et al.  Computers and Economic Growth , 1995 .

[7]  Neil Gandal Hedonic Price Indexes for Spreadsheets and an Empirical Test for Network Externalities , 1994 .

[8]  T. Allen,et al.  Information Technology and the Corporation of the 1990s: Research Studies , 1994 .

[9]  Erik Brynjolfsson,et al.  The productivity paradox of information technology , 1993, CACM.

[10]  F. Lichtenberg The Output Contributions of Computer Equipment and Personnel: A Firm- Level Analysis , 1993 .

[11]  Michael Gort,et al.  Decomposing Learning by Doing in New Plants , 1993, Journal of Political Economy.

[12]  Linda Duxbury The corporation of the 1990s: Information technology and organizational transformation , 1993 .

[13]  R. Lester,et al.  The Effect of Industrial Structure on Learning by Doing in Nuclear Power Plant Operation , 1993 .

[14]  Steven M. Fazzari,et al.  Working Capital and Fixed Investment: New Evidence on Financing Constraints , 1993 .

[15]  Diane Wilson Assessing the impact of information technology on organizational performance , 1993 .

[16]  D. Howell,et al.  Changes in the Information-Intensity of the U.S. Workplace Since 1950: Has Information Technology Made a Difference , 1993 .

[17]  Lorin M. Hitt,et al.  Is Information Systems Spending Productive? New Evidence and New Results , 1993, ICIS.

[18]  Ernst R. Berndt,et al.  The Practice of Econometrics: Classic and Contemporary. , 1992 .

[19]  Peter Weill,et al.  The Relationship Between Investment in Information Technology and Firm Performance: A Study of the Valve Manufacturing Sector , 1992, Inf. Syst. Res..

[20]  Ernst R. Berndt,et al.  High-Tech Capital Formation and Labor Composition in U.S. Manufacturing Industries: An Exploratory Analysis , 1992 .

[21]  C. Hulten,et al.  Growth Accounting When Technical Change is Embodied in Capital , 1992 .

[22]  E. Berndt,et al.  High-tech capital formation and economic performance in U.S. manufacturing industries : an exploratory analysis , 1992 .

[23]  A. Krueger How Computers Have Changed the Wage Structure: Evidence from Microdata, 1984-1989 , 1991 .

[24]  John F. Rockart,et al.  Computers, networks, and the corporation , 1991 .

[25]  Zvi Griliches,et al.  Purchased Services, Outsourcing, Computers, and Productivity in Manufacturing , 1991 .

[26]  Eric K. Clemons,et al.  Evaluation of strategic investments in information technology , 1991, CACM.

[27]  Robert J. Gordon,et al.  The measurement of durable goods prices , 1991 .

[28]  Zvi Griliches,et al.  Price Indexes for Microcomputers: an Exploratory Study , 1990 .

[29]  Bronwyn H Hall,et al.  The Manufacturing Sector Master File: 1959-1987 , 1990 .

[30]  Vijay Gurbaxani,et al.  An Integrative Model of Information Systems Spending Growth , 1990, Inf. Syst. Res..

[31]  Paul R. Milgrom,et al.  The Economics of Modern Manufacturing: Technology, Strategy, and Organization , 1990 .

[32]  Paul A. David,et al.  COMPUTER AND DYNAMO: The Modern Productivity Paradox in a Not-Too Distant Mirror , 1989 .

[33]  M. Baily,et al.  The Productivity Slowdown, Measurement Issues, and the Explosion of Computer Power , 1989 .

[34]  Zvi Griliches,et al.  Productivity Puzzles and R&D: Another Nonexplanation , 1988 .

[35]  Robert J. Kauffman,et al.  Strategic Contributions of Information Technology: An Empirical Study of Atm Networks , 1988, ICIS.

[36]  M. Baily Productivity Growth and Materials Use in U. S. Manufacturing , 1986 .

[37]  T. Bresnahan Measuring the Spillovers from Technical Advance: Mainframe Computers inFinancial Services , 1986 .

[38]  M. Porter,et al.  How Information Gives You Competitive Advantage , 1985 .

[39]  Zvi Griliches,et al.  Productivity, R&D, and Basic Research at the Firm Level in the 1970s , 1985 .

[40]  Jerry A. Hausman,et al.  Errors in Variables in Panel Data , 1984 .

[41]  M. Bruno World Shocks, Macroeconomic Response, and the Productivity Puzzle (Rev) , 1982 .

[42]  Zvi Griliches,et al.  Issues in Assessing the Contribution of Research and Development to Productivity Growth , 1979 .

[43]  Richard Schmalensee,et al.  The Economics Of Advertising , 1972 .

[44]  Dale W. Jorgenson,et al.  The Measurement of U.S. Real Capital Input, 1929-1967 , 1969 .

[45]  R. Solow TECHNICAL CHANGE AND THE AGGREGATE PRODUCTION FUNCTION , 1957 .