Lane-Change Intention Estimation for Car-Following Control in Autonomous Driving

Car-following is the most general behavior in highway driving. It is crucial to recognize the cut-in intention of vehicles from an adjacent lane for safe and cooperative driving. In this paper, a method of behavior estimation is proposed to recognize and predict the lane change intentions based on the contextual traffic information. A model predictive controller is designed to optimize the acceleration sequences by incorporating the lane-change intentions of other vehicles. The public data set of next generation simulation is labeled and then published as a benchmarking platform for the research community. Experimental results demonstrate that the proposed method can accurately estimate vehicle behavior and therefore outperform the traditional car-following control.

[1]  Mohan M. Trivedi,et al.  On the Roles of Eye Gaze and Head Dynamics in Predicting Driver's Intent to Change Lanes , 2009, IEEE Transactions on Intelligent Transportation Systems.

[2]  D. Findley Counterexamples to parsimony and BIC , 1991 .

[3]  Tom Fawcett,et al.  An introduction to ROC analysis , 2006, Pattern Recognit. Lett..

[4]  Takayoshi Yoshimura,et al.  Efficient vehicle driving on multi-lane roads using model predictive control under a connected vehicle environment , 2015, 2015 IEEE Intelligent Vehicles Symposium (IV).

[5]  Fen Wang,et al.  Modeling Drivers' Dynamic Decision-Making Behavior During the Phase Transition Period: An Analytical Approach Based on Hidden Markov Model Theory , 2016, IEEE Transactions on Intelligent Transportation Systems.

[6]  Margaret M. Peden,et al.  World Report on Road Traffic Injury Prevention , 2004 .

[7]  L. A. Pipes An Operational Analysis of Traffic Dynamics , 1953 .

[8]  Harald Waschl,et al.  Scenario model predictive control for robust adaptive cruise control in multi-vehicle traffic situations , 2016, 2016 IEEE Intelligent Vehicles Symposium (IV).

[9]  Philip Chan,et al.  Learning States and Rules for Detecting Anomalies in Time Series , 2005, Applied Intelligence.

[10]  Atsushi Yamashita,et al.  Dynamic potential-model-based feature for lane change prediction , 2016, 2016 IEEE International Conference on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics (SMC).

[11]  Lawrence R. Rabiner,et al.  A tutorial on hidden Markov models and selected applications in speech recognition , 1989, Proc. IEEE.

[12]  Helbing,et al.  Congested traffic states in empirical observations and microscopic simulations , 2000, Physical review. E, Statistical physics, plasmas, fluids, and related interdisciplinary topics.

[13]  Yi Lu Murphey,et al.  MTS-DeepNet for lane change prediction , 2016, 2016 International Joint Conference on Neural Networks (IJCNN).

[14]  Huiyan Chen,et al.  A model predictive-based approach for longitudinal control in autonomous driving with lateral interruptions , 2017, 2017 IEEE Intelligent Vehicles Symposium (IV).

[15]  S. Paul Sathiyan,et al.  Optimised fuzzy controller for improved comfort level during transitions in Cruise and Adaptive Cruise Control Vehicles , 2015, 2015 International Conference on Signal Processing and Communication Engineering Systems.

[16]  Fang Chen,et al.  Lane change maneuver recognition via vehicle state and driver operation signals — Results from naturalistic driving data , 2015, 2015 IEEE Intelligent Vehicles Symposium (IV).

[17]  Jeff A. Bilmes,et al.  A gentle tutorial of the em algorithm and its application to parameter estimation for Gaussian mixture and hidden Markov models , 1998 .

[18]  Jinwoo Lee,et al.  A probability model for discretionary lane changes in highways , 2016 .

[19]  Bin Ran,et al.  Modeling of decision-making behavior for discretionary lane-changing execution , 2016, 2016 IEEE 19th International Conference on Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITSC).

[20]  D. Rubin,et al.  Maximum likelihood from incomplete data via the EM - algorithm plus discussions on the paper , 1977 .

[21]  Harald Waschl,et al.  Extension and experimental validation of fuel efficient predictive adaptive cruise control , 2015, 2015 American Control Conference (ACC).

[22]  Alex Pentland,et al.  Modeling and Prediction of Human Behavior , 1999, Neural Computation.

[23]  Dieter Schramm,et al.  Learning lane change intentions through lane contentedness estimation from demonstrated driving , 2016, 2016 IEEE 19th International Conference on Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITSC).

[24]  Andreas Lüdtke,et al.  Developing a model of driver's uncertainty in lane change situations for trustworthy lane change decision aid systems , 2016, 2016 IEEE Intelligent Vehicles Symposium (IV).

[25]  Fang Zhang,et al.  Analysis of Chinese driver's lane change characteristic based on real vehicle tests in highway , 2013, 16th International IEEE Conference on Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITSC 2013).

[26]  Wolfram Burgard,et al.  Probabilistic situation recognition for vehicular traffic scenarios , 2009, 2009 IEEE International Conference on Robotics and Automation.

[27]  Zhigang Deng,et al.  A data-driven model for lane-changing in traffic simulation , 2016, Symposium on Computer Animation.

[28]  Mathias Perrollaz,et al.  Learning-based approach for online lane change intention prediction , 2013, 2013 IEEE Intelligent Vehicles Symposium (IV).

[29]  Sicco Verwer,et al.  A data-driven behavior generation algorithm in car-following scenarios , 2017 .

[30]  H Lum,et al.  Interactive Highway Safety Design Model: accident predictive module , 1994 .

[31]  Volker Willert,et al.  An Integrated Approach to Maneuver-Based Trajectory Prediction and Criticality Assessment in Arbitrary Road Environments , 2016, IEEE Transactions on Intelligent Transportation Systems.

[32]  D. Gazis,et al.  Nonlinear Follow-the-Leader Models of Traffic Flow , 1961 .

[33]  Rajesh Rajamani Adaptive Cruise Control , 2015, Encyclopedia of Systems and Control.

[34]  Meng Lu,et al.  Driver Intention Recognition Method Using Continuous Hidden Markov Model , 2011, Int. J. Comput. Intell. Syst..

[35]  Ruey Long Cheu,et al.  A binary decision model for discretionary lane changing move based on fuzzy inference system , 2016 .

[36]  Rajesh Rajamani,et al.  Vehicle dynamics and control , 2005 .

[37]  Anup Doshi,et al.  Lane change intent prediction for driver assistance: On-road design and evaluation , 2011, 2011 IEEE Intelligent Vehicles Symposium (IV).