论文信息 - Combining Qualitative Forecasts Using Logit - 字舞流文

Combining Qualitative Forecasts Using Logit

This paper introduces a computationally-convenient means of combining qualitative forecasts, through use of logit regression, applicable in dichotomous, polychotomous and ordered poluchotomous contexts.

Peter E. Kennedy | Mark J. Kamstra | M. Kamstra

[1] Robert T. Clemen,et al. The use of probability elicitation in the high-level nuclear waste regulation program , 1995 .

[2] R. Clemen. Combining forecasts: A review and annotated bibliography , 1989 .

[3] R. Hogarth,et al. Unit weighting schemes for decision making , 1975 .

[4] C. Granger,et al. Improved methods of combining forecasts , 1984 .

[5] Christian Genest,et al. Combining Probability Distributions: A Critique and an Annotated Bibliography , 1986 .

[6] David C. Schmittlein,et al. Combining Forecasts: Operational Adjustments to Theoretically Optimal Rules , 1990 .

[7] Ray C. Fair,et al. Comparing Information in Forecasts from Econometric Models , 1990 .

[8] Robert C. Blattberg,et al. Database Models And Managerial Intuition: 50% Model + 50% Manager , 1990 .

[9] G. Brier. VERIFICATION OF FORECASTS EXPRESSED IN TERMS OF PROBABILITY , 1950 .

[10] Pui Lam Leung,et al. Combining ordinal forecasts with an application in a financial market , 1996 .

[11] R. Dawes,et al. Heuristics and Biases: Clinical versus Actuarial Judgment , 2002 .

[12] Heejoon Kang. Unstable Weights in the Combination of Forecasts , 1986 .

[13] Robert L. Winkler,et al. Combining forecasts: A philosophical basis and some current issues , 1989 .

[14] M. S. Kaylen,et al. Conditional Qualitative Forecasting , 1989 .

[15] Peter E. Kennedy. A Guide to Econometrics , 1979 .

[16] J. M. Bates,et al. The Combination of Forecasts , 1969 .