Complexity and Uncertainty: Rethinking The Modelling Activity

[1]  S. Levin.  Ecosystems and the Biosphere as Complex Adaptive Systems , 1998, Ecosystems.

[2]  Peter Checkland,et al.  Soft Systems Methodology: a 30-year retrospective , 1999 .

[3]  M. V. D. Belt,et al.  Mediated Modeling: A System Dynamics Approach To Environmental Consensus Building , 2004 .

[4]  C. Pahl-Wostl,et al.  A broadened view on the role for models in natural resource management: Implications for model development , 2008 .

[5]  C. Pahl-Wostl,et al.  Published online in Wiley InterScience (www.interscience.wiley.com). DOI: 10.1002/casp.774 Processes of Social Learning in Integrated Resources Management , 2022 .

[6]  M. Hare,et al.  Stakeholder Categorisation in Participatory Integrated Assessment Processes , 2002 .

[7]  John D. Sterman,et al.  System Dynamics: Systems Thinking and Modeling for a Complex World , 2002 .

[8]  Wim J. de Lange,et al.  Uncertainty Matters: Computer Models at the Science–Policy Interface , 2007 .

[9]  Claudia Pahl-Wostl,et al.  Adaptive and integrated water management , 2008 .

[10]  C. Pahl-Wostl,et al.  The Implications of Complexity for Integrated Resources Management , 2004 .

[11]  Arjen Ysbert Hoekstra,et al.  Incorporating qualitative indicators to support river managers : Application of fuzzy sets , 2006 .

[12]  Marcela Brugnach.  Process level sensitivity analysis for complex ecological models , 2005 .

[13]  Stephen R. Carpenter,et al.  Ecological and Social Dynamics in Simple Models of Ecosystem Management , 1999 .

[14]  Karl-Erich Lindenschmidt,et al.  Testing for the transferability of a water quality model to areas of similar spatial and temporal scale based on an uncertainty vs. complexity hypothesis , 2006 .

[15]  W. Walker,et al.  Defining Uncertainty: A Conceptual Basis for Uncertainty Management in Model-Based Decision Support , 2003 .

[16]  Claudia Pahl-Wostl,et al.  An information tool for citizens to assess impacts of climate change from a regional perspective , 2001 .

[17]  Bernd Klauer,et al.  Conceptualising imperfect knowledge in public decision-making: ignorance, uncertainty, error and risk situations , 2004 .

[18]  C Pahl-Wostl,et al.  Integrated management of natural resources: dealing with ambiguous issues, multiple actors and diverging frames. , 2005, Water science and technology : a journal of the International Association on Water Pollution Research.

[19]  Lutz E. Schlange.  Scenarios: The art of strategic conversation , 1997 .

[20]  F. Ward,et al.  Integrated economic, hydrologic, and institutional analysis of policy responses to mitigate drought impacts in Rio Grande Basin , 2006 .

[21]  M. Clark,et al.  Supporting complex decisions for sustainable river management in England and Wales , 2002 .

[22]  Hans-Jürgen Zimmermann,et al.  An application-oriented view of modeling uncertainty , 2000, Eur. J. Oper. Res..

[23]  Anthony Patt,et al.  Assessing model-based and conflict-based uncertainty , 2007 .

[24]  Karl-Erich Lindenschmidt,et al.  The Effects of Scaling and Model Complexity in Simulating the Transport of Inorganic Micropollutants in a Lowland River Reach , 2006 .

[25]  Simon Peck,et al.  Group Model Building: Facilitating Team Learning Using System Dynamics , 1996, J. Oper. Res. Soc..