Training decision-makers in flood response with system dynamics

Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to present a training model for decision makers that covers the complexity which is inherent in decision-making processes in times of floods. Design/methodology/approach – Through literature review, case study analysis and iterative interviews with decision-makers, the model was established. It enables one to simulate different scenarios depending on selected influencing factors and was implemented with Stella 9.1. Findings – Flood events are highly complex and their development process is significantly influenced by various conditions. The findings show that the most important factor is the water level which determines the time available to respond. The presented System Dynamics (SD) model has the capability to capture such complex settings. Through what-if analysis and the comparison of different scenarios, learning effects are achieved by using the model. Research limitations/implications – The level of abstraction is high. Not all influencing variables can be inc...

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