The projection of species distribution models and the problem of non-analog climate

[1]  M. Araújo,et al.  BIOMOD – a platform for ensemble forecasting of species distributions , 2009 .

[2]  A. Gove,et al.  Climate change, plant migration, and range collapse in a global biodiversity hotspot: the Banksia (Proteaceae) of Western Australia , 2008 .

[3]  Hans Tømmervik,et al.  Prediction of the distribution of Arctic‐nesting pink‐footed geese under a warmer climate scenario , 2007 .

[4]  Wilfried Thuiller,et al.  Prediction and validation of the potential global distribution of a problematic alien invasive species — the American bullfrog , 2007 .

[5]  John E. Kutzbach,et al.  Projected distributions of novel and disappearing climates by 2100 AD , 2006, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

[6]  Mark New,et al.  Ensemble forecasting of species distributions. , 2007, Trends in ecology & evolution.

[7]  Jake F. Weltzin,et al.  The biogeography of prediction error: why does the introduced range of the fire ant over-predict its native range? , 2006 .

[8]  M. Sykes,et al.  Methods and uncertainties in bioclimatic envelope modelling under climate change , 2006 .

[9]  T. Dawson,et al.  Model‐based uncertainty in species range prediction , 2006 .

[10]  M. Araújo,et al.  How Does Climate Change Affect Biodiversity? , 2006, Science.

[11]  Robert P. Anderson,et al.  Maximum entropy modeling of species geographic distributions , 2006 .

[12]  M. Williamson Explaining and predicting the success of invading species at different stages of invasion , 2006, Biological Invasions.

[13]  W. Thuiller,et al.  Predicting species distribution: offering more than simple habitat models. , 2005, Ecology letters.

[14]  A. Peterson,et al.  Geographical potential of Argentine ants (Linepithema humile Mayr) in the face of global climate change , 2004, Proceedings of the Royal Society of London. Series B: Biological Sciences.

[15]  W. Hargrove,et al.  Mapping environments at risk under different global climate change scenarios , 2004 .

[16]  W. Thuiller Patterns and uncertainties of species' range shifts under climate change , 2004 .

[17]  S. Lavorel,et al.  Effects of restricting environmental range of data to project current and future species distributions , 2004 .

[18]  R. Scachetti-Pereira,et al.  Potential Geographic Distribution of Anoplophora glabripennis (Coleoptera: Cerambycidae) in North America , 2004 .

[19]  W. Hargrove,et al.  Potential of Multivariate Quantitative Methods for Delineation and Visualization of Ecoregions , 2004, Environmental management.

[20]  W. Thuiller BIOMOD – optimizing predictions of species distributions and projecting potential future shifts under global change , 2003 .

[21]  T. Dawson,et al.  Predicting the impacts of climate change on the distribution of species: are bioclimate envelope models useful? , 2003 .

[22]  T. Dawson,et al.  SPECIES: A Spatial Evaluation of Climate Impact on the Envelope of Species , 2002 .

[23]  H. J. B. Birks,et al.  Predicting changes in Fennoscandian vascular‐plant species richness as a result of future climatic change , 1998 .