Critical network effect induces business oscillations in multi-level marketing systems

The "social-networking revolution" of late (e.g., with the advent of social media, Facebook, and the like) has been propelling the crusade to elucidate the embedded networks that underlie economic activity. An unexampled synthesis of network science and economics uncovers how the web of human interactions spurred by familiarity and similarity could potentially induce the ups and downs ever so common to our economy. Zeroing in on the million-strong global industry known as multi-level marketing, this study finds that such a socially-powered enterprise can only work stably through discrimination about who to make entrepreneurial connections with.

[1]  D. Gillespie A General Method for Numerically Simulating the Stochastic Time Evolution of Coupled Chemical Reactions , 1976 .

[2]  G. Albaum,et al.  Multilevel (network) marketing: An objective view , 2011 .

[3]  Mark S. Granovetter The Impact of Social Structure on Economic Outcomes Social Networks and Economic Outcomes: Core Principles , 2022 .

[4]  K. Dopfer The origins of meso economics , 2012 .

[5]  T. D. Matteo,et al.  Multi-scaling in finance , 2007 .

[6]  James Webb Game Theory: Decisions, Interaction and Evolution , 2006 .

[7]  Javier Gimeno,et al.  Competition within and Between Networks: The Contingent Effect of Competitive Embeddedness on Alliance Formation , 2004 .

[8]  A. Coughlan,et al.  Network marketing organizations: Compensation plans, retail network growth, and profitability , 1998 .

[9]  Minsky,et al.  Monetary Systems and Accelerator Models , 1957 .

[10]  N. Biggart,et al.  Mesoeconomics: Business cycles, entrepreneurship, and economic crisis in commercial building markets , 2010 .

[11]  E. H. Simpson Measurement of Diversity , 1949, Nature.

[12]  Wolfram Elsner Why Meso? On “Aggregation” and “Emergence”, and Why and How the Meso Level is Essential in Social Economics , 2007 .

[13]  M. McPherson,et al.  Birds of a Feather: Homophily in Social Networks , 2001 .

[14]  Lawrence E. Blume,et al.  Optimality and Natural Selection in Markets , 2002, J. Econ. Theory.

[15]  L. Borland Option pricing formulas based on a non-Gaussian stock price model. , 2002, Physical review letters.

[16]  Arun Sundararajan,et al.  Local Network Effects and Complex Network Structure , 2006 .

[17]  C. Sims MACROECONOMICS AND REALITY , 1977 .

[18]  D. Koehn Ethical Issues Connected with Multi-Level Marketing Schemes , 2001 .

[19]  Karen E. Campbell,et al.  SOCIAL RESOURCES AND SOCIOECONOMIC STATUS , 1986 .

[20]  Arun Sundararajan,et al.  Distinguishing influence-based contagion from homophily-driven diffusion in dynamic networks , 2009, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

[21]  M. Jackson,et al.  Diffusion of Behavior and Equilibrium Properties in Network Games , 2007 .

[22]  N. Christakis,et al.  Social Networks and Cooperation in Hunter-Gatherers , 2011, Nature.

[23]  Leeat Yariv,et al.  The 1/d Law of Giving , 2010 .

[24]  T. D. Matteo,et al.  Dynamical generalized Hurst exponent as a tool to monitor unstable periods in financial time series , 2011, 1109.0465.

[25]  R. Thurik Entrepreneurship and the business cycle , 2014 .

[26]  N. Eagle,et al.  Network Diversity and Economic Development , 2010, Science.

[27]  Leeat Yariv,et al.  Network Games , 2007 .

[28]  David Colander,et al.  Beyond DSGE Models: Toward an Empirically Based Macroeconomics , 2008 .