A seasonal agricultural drought forecast system for food-insecure regions of East Africa
暂无分享,去创建一个
Amy McNally | Chris Funk | Gregory Husak | Shraddhanand Shukla | C. Funk | S. Shukla | G. Husak | A. McNally
[1] F. Rembold,et al. Assessing drought probability for agricultural areas in Africa with coarse resolution remote sensing imagery , 2011 .
[2] R. Seager,et al. Multidecadal variability in East African hydroclimate controlled by the Indian Ocean , 2013, Nature.
[3] Eric F. Wood,et al. Predicting the Discharge of Global Rivers , 2001, Journal of Climate.
[4] Dennis P. Lettenmaier,et al. Skill in streamflow forecasts derived from large-scale estimates of soil moisture and snow , 2010 .
[5] J. Whitaker,et al. NOAA's Second-Generation Global Medium-Range Ensemble Reforecast Dataset , 2013 .
[6] Ranga B. Myneni,et al. Estimation of global leaf area index and absorbed par using radiative transfer models , 1997, IEEE Trans. Geosci. Remote. Sens..
[7] N. Batjes. A world dataset of derived soil properties by FAO–UNESCO soil unit for global modelling , 1997 .
[8] Eric F. Wood,et al. An efficient calibration method for continental‐scale land surface modeling , 2008 .
[9] David G. DeWitt,et al. A recent and abrupt decline in the East African long rains , 2012 .
[10] D. Lettenmaier,et al. A Long-Term Hydrologically Based Dataset of Land Surface Fluxes and States for the Conterminous United States* , 2002 .
[11] E. Wood,et al. A multiple model assessment of seasonal climate forecast skill for applications , 2009 .
[12] Sujay V. Kumar,et al. Land information system: An interoperable framework for high resolution land surface modeling , 2006, Environ. Model. Softw..
[13] E. Wood,et al. Probabilistic Seasonal Forecasting of African Drought by Dynamical Models , 2013 .
[14] Yi Y. Liu,et al. Trend-preserving blending of passive and active microwave soil moisture retrievals , 2012 .
[15] Wade T. Crow,et al. On the utility of land surface models for agricultural drought monitoring , 2012 .
[16] E. Todini. The ARNO rainfall-runoff model , 1996 .
[17] Narcisa G. Pricope,et al. The climate-population nexus in the East African Horn: Emerging degradation trends in rangeland and pastoral livelihood zones , 2013 .
[18] E. Wood,et al. CFSv2-Based Seasonal Hydroclimatic Forecasts over the Conterminous United States , 2013 .
[19] C. Funk. A climate trend analysis of Kenya-August 2010 , 2010 .
[20] A. Hoell,et al. The ENSO-Related West Pacific Sea Surface Temperature Gradient , 2013 .
[21] E. Wood,et al. Development of a 50-Year High-Resolution Global Dataset of Meteorological Forcings for Land Surface Modeling , 2006 .
[22] Eric A. Rosenberg,et al. A Long-Term Hydrologically Based Dataset of Land Surface Fluxes and States for the Conterminous United States: Update and Extensions* , 2002 .
[23] J. Michaelsen,et al. ATTRIBUTION OF 2012 AND 2003 – 12 RAINFALL DEFICITS IN EASTERN KENYA AND SOUTHERN SOMALIA , 2013 .
[24] G. Hornberger,et al. A Statistical Exploration of the Relationships of Soil Moisture Characteristics to the Physical Properties of Soils , 1984 .
[25] D. Lettenmaier,et al. Surface soil moisture parameterization of the VIC-2L model: Evaluation and modification , 1996 .
[26] Praveen Kumar,et al. A catchment‐based approach to modeling land surface processes in a general circulation model: 1. Model structure , 2000 .
[27] Xing Yuan,et al. CFSv 2-Based Seasonal Hydroclimatic Forecasts over the Conterminous United States , 2013 .
[28] John A. Dracup,et al. The Quantification of Drought: An Evaluation of Drought Indices , 2002 .
[29] J. D. Tarpley,et al. Implementation of Noah land surface model advances in the National Centers for Environmental Prediction operational mesoscale Eta model , 2003 .
[30] D. Lettenmaier,et al. Hydrologic Sensitivity of Global Rivers to Climate Change , 2001 .
[31] A. Hoell,et al. Indo-Pacific sea surface temperature influences on failed consecutive rainy seasons over eastern Africa , 2013, Climate Dynamics.
[32] Eric F. Wood,et al. Multimodel seasonal forecasting of global drought onset , 2013 .
[33] E. Wood,et al. A Drought Monitoring and Forecasting System for Sub-Sahara African Water Resources and Food Security , 2014 .
[34] S. Nicholson. The Predictability of Rainfall over the Greater Horn of Africa. Part I: Prediction of Seasonal Rainfall , 2014 .
[35] Yi Y. Liu,et al. Developing an improved soil moisture dataset by blending passive and active microwave satellite-based retrievals , 2011 .
[36] M. Verstraete,et al. Early detection of biomass production deficit hot-spots in semi-arid environment using FAPAR time series and a probabilistic approach , 2014 .
[37] A. P. Williams,et al. A westward extension of the warm pool leads to a westward extension of the Walker circulation, drying eastern Africa , 2011 .
[38] Debbie Hillier,et al. A Dangerous Delay: The cost of late response to early warnings in the 2011 drought in the Horn of Africa , 2013 .
[39] K. Mitchell,et al. Simple water balance model for estimating runoff at different spatial and temporal scales , 1996 .
[40] L. Ogallo,et al. Linkages between the Indian Ocean Dipole and East African Seasonal Rainfall anomalies , 2007 .
[41] Arnold Schwarzenegger. DOWNSCALING WITH CONSTRUCTED ANALOGUES: DAILY PRECIPITATION AND TEMPERATURE FIELDS OVER THE UNITED STATES , 2008 .
[42] K. Mo,et al. Do Climate Forecast System (CFSv2) forecasts improve seasonal soil moisture prediction? , 2012 .
[43] James P. Verdin,et al. Characterization of yield reduction in Ethiopia using a GIS-based crop water balance model , 2003 .
[44] G. Senay,et al. Climate science and famine early warning , 2005, Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences.
[45] G. Senay. Recent Drought Tendencies in Ethiopia and Equatorial Subtropical Eastern Africa FEWS NET FAMINE EARLY WARNING SYSTEM NETWORK , 2006 .
[46] Dennis P. Lettenmaier,et al. Seasonal hydrologic prediction in the United States: understanding the role of initial hydrologic conditions and seasonal climate forecast skill , 2011 .
[47] D. Lettenmaier,et al. A simple hydrologically based model of land surface water and energy fluxes for general circulation models , 1994 .
[48] S. Shukla,et al. On the sources of global land surface hydrologic predictability , 2013 .
[49] Wade T. Crow,et al. A land surface data assimilation framework using the land information system : Description and applications , 2008 .
[50] Renate Hagedorn,et al. The rationale behind the success of multi-model ensembles in seasonal forecasting — I. Basic concept , 2005 .
[51] C. Funk,et al. Predicting East African spring droughts using Pacific and Indian Ocean sea surface temperature indices , 2014 .
[52] D. Lettenmaier,et al. Streamflow simulation for continental‐scale river basins , 1997 .
[53] Martha C. Anderson,et al. Towards an integrated soil moisture drought monitor for East Africa , 2012 .
[54] D. Lettenmaier,et al. Simulation of reservoir influences on annual and seasonal streamflow changes for the Lena, Yenisei, and Ob' rivers , 2007 .
[55] D. Lettenmaier,et al. Assimilating remotely sensed snow observations into a macroscale hydrology model , 2006 .
[56] James P. Verdin,et al. Grid‐cell‐based crop water accounting for the famine early warning system , 2002 .
[57] F. Pappenberger,et al. Forecasting droughts in East Africa , 2013 .
[58] D. Lettenmaier,et al. An ensemble approach for attribution of hydrologic prediction uncertainty , 2008 .
[59] J. Michaelsen,et al. Developing seasonal rainfall scenarios for food security early warning , 2013, Theoretical and Applied Climatology.
[60] J. Michaelsen,et al. Warming of the Indian Ocean threatens eastern and southern African food security but could be mitigated by agricultural development , 2008, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.
[61] A. Barnston,et al. The North American multimodel ensemble: Phase-1 seasonal-to-interannual prediction; phase-2 toward developing intraseasonal prediction , 2014 .
[62] Arun Kumar,et al. Long‐range experimental hydrologic forecasting for the eastern United States , 2002 .
[63] Dennis P. Lettenmaier,et al. Multimodel Ensemble Reconstruction of Drought over the Continental United States , 2009 .