Social restricted Boltzmann Machine: Human behavior prediction in health social networks

Modeling and predicting human behaviors, such as the activity level and intensity, is the key to prevent the cascades of obesity, and help spread wellness and healthy behavior in a social network. The user diversity, dynamic behaviors, and hidden social influences make the problem more challenging. In this work, we propose a deep learning model named Social Restricted Boltzmann Machine (SRBM) for human behavior modeling and prediction in health social networks. In the proposed SRBM model, we naturally incorporate self-motivation, implicit and explicit social influences, and environmental events together into three layers which are historical, visible, and hidden layers. The interactions among these behavior determinants are naturally simulated through parameters connecting these layers together. The contrastive divergence and back-propagation algorithms are employed for training the model. A comprehensive experiment on real and synthetic data has shown the great effectiveness of our deep learning model compared with conventional methods.

[1]  E. Deci,et al.  Intrinsic and Extrinsic Motivations: Classic Definitions and New Directions. , 2000, Contemporary educational psychology.

[2]  N. Christakis,et al.  The Spread of Obesity in a Large Social Network Over 32 Years , 2007, The New England journal of medicine.

[3]  Pedro M. Domingos,et al.  Sum-product networks: A new deep architecture , 2011, 2011 IEEE International Conference on Computer Vision Workshops (ICCV Workshops).

[4]  Yoshua Bengio,et al.  Gradient-based learning applied to document recognition , 1998, Proc. IEEE.

[5]  Xiaolong Jin,et al.  Exploring social influence via posterior effect of word-of-mouth recommendations , 2012, WSDM '12.

[6]  Geoffrey E. Hinton,et al.  Exponential Family Harmoniums with an Application to Information Retrieval , 2004, NIPS.

[7]  Mark S. Ackerman,et al.  Activity Lifespan: An Analysis of User Survival Patterns in Online Knowledge Sharing Communities , 2010, ICWSM.

[8]  A. Marshall,et al.  Exploring the feasibility and acceptability of using internet technology to promote physical activity within a defined community. , 2005, Health promotion journal of Australia : official journal of Australian Association of Health Promotion Professionals.

[9]  Krishna P. Gummadi,et al.  On the evolution of user interaction in Facebook , 2009, WOSN '09.

[10]  Kristina Lerman,et al.  Using proximity to predict activity in social networks , 2011, WWW.

[11]  Simon Haykin,et al.  GradientBased Learning Applied to Document Recognition , 2001 .

[12]  Geoffrey E. Hinton Training Products of Experts by Minimizing Contrastive Divergence , 2002, Neural Computation.

[13]  Paul Smolensky,et al.  Information processing in dynamical systems: foundations of harmony theory , 1986 .

[14]  Jaideep Srivastava,et al.  Churn Prediction in MMORPGs: A Social Influence Based Approach , 2009, 2009 International Conference on Computational Science and Engineering.

[15]  Francis R. Bach,et al.  A Path Following Algorithm for Graph Matching , 2008, ICISP.

[16]  Éva Tardos,et al.  Maximizing the Spread of Influence through a Social Network , 2015, Theory Comput..

[17]  Chris F. Kemerer,et al.  The Illusory Diffusion of Innovation: An Examination of Assimilation Gaps , 1999, Inf. Syst. Res..

[18]  K. Patrick,et al.  Physical Activity and Public Health: A Recommendation From the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and the American College of Sports Medicine , 1995 .

[19]  Hui Li,et al.  A Deep Learning Approach to Link Prediction in Dynamic Networks , 2014, SDM.

[20]  Qiang Yang,et al.  Predicting user activity level in social networks , 2013, CIKM.

[21]  Yelong Shen,et al.  Socialized Gaussian Process Model for Human Behavior Prediction in a Health Social Network , 2012, 2012 IEEE 12th International Conference on Data Mining.

[22]  Masahiro Kimura,et al.  Prediction of Information Diffusion Probabilities for Independent Cascade Model , 2008, KES.

[23]  A. Bandura Human agency in social cognitive theory. , 1989, The American psychologist.

[24]  Geoffrey E. Hinton,et al.  Modeling Human Motion Using Binary Latent Variables , 2006, NIPS.

[25]  Jennifer Lyn Guida STAYING HEALTHY AFTER CANCER: THE HIDDEN INFLUENCE OF SOCIAL NETWORKS , 2017 .

[26]  L. Taylor,et al.  Human Agency in Social Cognitive Theory , 1989 .