First Hitting Time Distributions for Brownian Motion and Regions with Piecewise Linear Boundaries

Explicit formulas for the first hitting time distributions for a standard Brownian motion and different regions including rectangular, triangle, quadrilateral and a region with piecewise linear boundaries are derived. Moreover, approximations to the first hitting time distribution of a standard Brownian motion with respect to regions with general nonlinear continuous boundaries are also obtained. The rules for assessing the accuracies of the approximations are given. We generalize the results of one-sided boundaries which include the general nonlinear continuous boundaries, piecewise linear boundaries, linear boundaries and constant boundaries to a region and give the relationships among the first hitting time distributions. Some numerical examples are presented to illustrate the results obtained in the paper. These formulas can be further extended to compute the first hitting time distributions of a Brownian motion with linear drift with respect to regions.

[1]  A. Novikov,et al.  Approximations of boundary crossing probabilities for a Brownian motion , 1999 .

[2]  Lirong Cui,et al.  Degradation Models With Wiener Diffusion Processes Under Calibrations , 2016, IEEE Transactions on Reliability.

[3]  On the Brownian First-Passage Time Overa One-Sided Stochastic Boundary , 1997 .

[4]  Liqun Wang,et al.  Boundary crossing probability for Brownian motion and general boundaries , 1997, Journal of Applied Probability.

[5]  Harald Niederreiter,et al.  Random number generation and Quasi-Monte Carlo methods , 1992, CBMS-NSF regional conference series in applied mathematics.

[6]  J. Durbin Boundary-crossing probabilities for the Brownian motion and Poisson processes and techniques for computing the power of the Kolmogorov-Smirnov test , 1971, Journal of Applied Probability.

[7]  Brooks Ferebee,et al.  An asymptotic expansion for one-sided Brownian exit densities , 1983 .

[8]  H. Daniels,et al.  Approximating the first crossing-time density for a curved boundary , 1996 .

[9]  Liqun Wang,et al.  First Passage Time for Brownian Motion and Piecewise Linear Boundaries , 2015, Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability.

[10]  H. D. Miller,et al.  The Theory Of Stochastic Processes , 1977, The Mathematical Gazette.

[11]  Amilcare Porporato,et al.  First passage time statistics of Brownian motion with purely time dependent drift and diffusion , 2010, 1009.0557.

[12]  Lirong Cui,et al.  Two-Phase Degradation Process Model With Abrupt Jump at Change Point Governed by Wiener Process , 2017, IEEE Transactions on Reliability.

[13]  J. Doob Heuristic Approach to the Kolmogorov-Smirnov Theorems , 1949 .

[14]  Liqun Wang,et al.  Boundary crossing probability for Brownian motion , 2001, Journal of Applied Probability.

[15]  D. Donchev Brownian Motion Hitting Probabilities for General Two-Sided Square-Root Boundaries , 2010 .

[16]  Lirong Cui,et al.  Reliability analysis for a Wiener degradation process model under changing failure thresholds , 2018, Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf..

[17]  Stochastic Boundary Crossing Probabilities for the Brownian Motion , 2013, Journal of Applied Probability.

[18]  Asymptotics of First-Passage Time Over a One-Sided Stochastic Boundary , 2000 .

[19]  Ioannis Karatzas,et al.  Brownian Motion and Stochastic Calculus , 1987 .

[20]  L. Sacerdote,et al.  An improved technique for the simulation of first passage times for diffusion processes , 1999 .

[21]  C. Zucca,et al.  A Monte Carlo Method for the Simulation of First Passage Times of Diffusion Processes , 2001 .

[22]  J. Fu,et al.  Linear and Nonlinear Boundary Crossing Probabilities for Brownian Motion and Related Processes , 2010, Journal of Applied Probability.

[23]  Mario Abundo,et al.  Some conditional crossing results of Brownian motion over a piecewise-linear boundary , 2002 .

[24]  H. E. Daniels The minimum of a stationary Markov process superimposed on a U-shaped trend , 1969 .

[25]  Brian D. Ripley,et al.  Stochastic Simulation , 2005 .

[26]  Xiaoxin Guo,et al.  Reliability and maintenance policies for a two-stage shock model with self-healing mechanism , 2018, Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf..

[27]  J. Durbin,et al.  The first-passage density of the Brownian motion process to a curved boundary , 1992, Journal of Applied Probability.

[28]  Liqun Wang,et al.  Crossing Probabilities for Diffusion Processes with Piecewise Continuous Boundaries , 2006, math/0612337.

[29]  Xiaoxin Guo,et al.  Analyzing the research subjects and hot topics of power system reliability through the Web of Science from 1991 to 2015 , 2018 .

[30]  Etienne Tanré,et al.  The First-passage Time of the Brownian Motion to a Curved Boundary: an Algorithmic Approach , 2015, SIAM J. Sci. Comput..

[31]  D. Siegmund Boundary Crossing Probabilities and Statistical Applications , 1986 .

[32]  Lirong Cui,et al.  A study on stochastic degradation process models under different types of failure Thresholds , 2019, Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf..