Risk management on application of minimum-cost feed ration for nitrogen and phosphorus reduction on dairy farm

The traditional mathematical programming model with the objective function of feed ration cost minimization is used to accommodate risk management responses to price variability associated with feeding a particular feed ration over time. The model incorporated biophysical simulation data using Cornell Net Carbohydrate and Protein System (CNCPS) software in addressing nutrient requirements and excretions. In addition, it used historic feedstuff prices in a mean-variance (E-V) framework analysis. The optimized seasonal feeding indicated to have a lower mean ration cost and lowest nutrient loading followed by optimized uniform feeding program. The feed cost optimization proved to be a better strategy in minimizing ration cost and reducing excretions both manure and nutrients. The results in this study can be used as guidelines for making nutrient. The information in this study can be used by a producer facing feed price risk to select optimal ration while reducing environmental pollution.

[1]  D G Fox,et al.  Economic comparison of nutritional management strategies for Venezuelan dual-purpose cattle systems. , 1994, Journal of animal science.

[2]  J. Neumann,et al.  Theory of games and economic behavior , 1945, 100 Years of Math Milestones.

[3]  J. Shelford,et al.  Use of the Cornell net carbohydrate and protein system and rumen-protected lysine and methionine to reduce nitrogen excretion from lactating dairy cows. , 1998, Journal of dairy science.

[4]  T. P. Tylutki,et al.  Application of the Cornell Nutrient Management Planning System: optimizing herd nutrition. , 1997 .

[5]  L O Tedeschi,et al.  Whole-herd optimization with the Cornell Net Carbohydrate and Protein System. I. Predicting feed biological values for diet optimization with linear programming. , 2000, Journal of dairy science.

[6]  Brian K. Coffey An Analysis of the Effects of Feed Ingredient Price Risk on the Selection of Minimum Cost Backgrounding Feed Rations , 2001, Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics.

[7]  J. P. McNamara,et al.  An integrated cattle and crop production model to develop whole-farm nutrient management plans. , 2000 .

[8]  J. Dillon,et al.  Agricultural Decision Analysis , 1977 .

[9]  E. T. Kornegay Environmental Challenges as Related to Animal Agriculture — Poultry , 1996 .

[10]  Bruce A. McCarl,et al.  APPLIED MATHEMATICAL PROGRAMMING USING ALGEBRAIC SYSTEMS by , 1997 .

[11]  R. E. Pitt,et al.  Improving Dairy Farm Sustainability II: Environmental Losses and Nutrient Flows , 1998 .

[12]  A. Stuart,et al.  Portfolio Selection: Efficient Diversification of Investments , 1959 .

[13]  D. Fox,et al.  Application of the Cornell Net Carbohydrate and Protein model for cattle consuming forages. , 1995, Journal of animal science.

[14]  Carl R. Dillon,et al.  Microeconomic Effects Of Reduced Yield Variability Cultivars Of Soybeans And Wheat , 1992, Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics.

[15]  S. Klausner,et al.  Mass nutrient balances on dairy farms , 1993 .

[16]  Bruce A. McCarl,et al.  ESTIMATING AN UPPER BOUND ON THE PRATT RISK A VERSION COEFFICIENT WHEN THE UTILITY FUNCTION IS UNKNOWN , 1989 .

[17]  Bruce A. McCarl,et al.  Agricultural Risk Modeling Using Mathematical Programming , 1990 .

[18]  Thomas H. Spreen,et al.  Predicting Daily Feed Costs for Dairy Management Models , 1992 .

[19]  J. S. Radcliffe,et al.  Animal management to reduce phosphorus losses to the environment. , 2004, Journal of Animal Science.

[20]  Carl R. Dillon,et al.  Production Practice Alternatives for Income and Suitable Field Day Risk Management , 1999, Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics.

[21]  L O Tedeschi,et al.  Whole-herd optimization with the Cornell Net Carbohydrate and Protein System. II. Allocating homegrown feeds across the herd for optimum nutrient use. , 2000, Journal of dairy science.

[22]  R. Christopherson,et al.  The effect of cold exposure of sheep on digestion, rumen turnover time and efficiency of microbial synthesis. , 1976, The British journal of nutrition.

[23]  H. Levy Two-Moment Decision Models and Expected Utility Maximization: Comment , 1989 .

[24]  C. Rotz,et al.  Feeding strategy, nitrogen cycling, and profitability of dairy farms. , 1999, Journal of dairy science.

[25]  R. Freund THE INTRODUCTION OF RISK INTO A PROGRAMMING MODEL , 1956 .

[26]  Thomas H. Spreen,et al.  The Economics of Carcass Beef Production: An Appraisal of Florida's Feedlot Potential , 1978, Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics.

[27]  J W West,et al.  Interactions of energy and bovine somatotropin with heat stress. , 1994, Journal of dairy science.