Monetary Policy and Business Cycles with Endogenous Entry and Product Variety [with Comments and Discussion]

This paper studies the role of endogenous producer entry and product creation for monetary policy analysis and business cycle dynamics in a general equilibrium model with imperfect price adjustment. Optimal monetary policy stabilizes product prices, but lets the consumer price index vary to accommodate changes in the number of available products. The free-entry condition links the price of equity (the value of products) with marginal cost and markups and hence with inflation dynamics. No-arbitrage between bonds and equity links the expected return on shares, and thus the financing of product creation, with the return on bonds, affected by monetary policy via interest rate setting. This new channel of monetary policy transmission through asset prices restores the Taylor Principle in the presence of capital accumulation (in the form of new production lines) and forward-looking interest rate setting, unlike in models with traditional physical capital. We also study the implications of endogenous variety for the New Keynesian Phillips curve and business cycle dynamics more generally, and we document the effects of technology, deregulation, and monetary policy shocks, as well as the second moment properties of our model, by means of numerical examples.

[1]  Virgiliu Midrigan Menu Costs, Multi-Product Firms and Aggregate Fluctuations , 2011 .

[2]  Nir Jaimovich,et al.  Firm Dynamics, Markup Variations, and the Business Cycle , 2008 .

[3]  David E. Weinstein,et al.  Product Creation and Destruction: Evidence and Price Implications , 2007 .

[4]  Vivien Lewis,et al.  Macroeconomic Fluctuations and Firm Entry: Theory and Evidence , 2006 .

[5]  R. Kalra Expansionary Fiscal Shocks and the US Trade Deficit , 2006 .

[6]  Johannes Hoffmann,et al.  Consumer Price Adjustment Under the Microscope: Germany in a Period of Low Inflation , 2006, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[7]  Peter K. Schott,et al.  Multi-Product Firms and Product Switching , 2006 .

[8]  G. Corsetti,et al.  Towards a Theory of Firm Entry and Stabilization Policy , 2005 .

[9]  A. Scott INTEREST AND PRICES: FOUNDATIONS OF A THEORY OF MONETARY POLICY , 2005, Macroeconomic Dynamics.

[10]  Marc J. Melitz,et al.  International Trade and Macroeconomic Dynamics with Heterogeneous Firms , 2004 .

[11]  David E. Weinstein,et al.  Globalization and the Gains from Variety , 2004 .

[12]  Charles T. Carlstrom,et al.  Investment and Interest Rate Policy: A Discrete Time Analysis , 2003, J. Econ. Theory.

[13]  J. Rotemberg Stochastic Technical Progress, Smooth Trends, and Nearly Distinct Business Cycles , 2003 .

[14]  Mark J. Gertler,et al.  Medium Term Business Cycles , 2003 .

[15]  David E. Cook Time to enter and business cycles , 2001 .

[16]  Bill Dupor,et al.  Investment and Interest Rate Policy , 2001, J. Econ. Theory.

[17]  S. Rebelo,et al.  Resuscitating Real Business Cycles , 2000 .

[18]  P. Ireland Sticky-Price Models of the Business Cycle: Specification and Stability , 2000 .

[19]  J. Galí,et al.  Inflation Dynamics: A Structural Econometric Analysis , 1999 .

[20]  J. Galí,et al.  The Science of Monetary Policy: A New Keynesian Perspective , 1999 .

[21]  S. Ambler,et al.  The Cyclical Behaviour of Wages and Profits Under Imperfect Competition. , 1998 .

[22]  Jeffrey R. Campbell Entry, Exit, Embodied Technology, and Business Cycles , 1997 .

[23]  Miles S. Kimball,et al.  Cyclical Productivity with Unobserved Input Variation , 1997 .

[24]  J. Galí,et al.  Technology, Employment, and the Business Cycle: Do Technology Shocks Explain Aggregate Fluctuations , 1996 .

[25]  Allen C. Head,et al.  Aggregate fluctuations with increasing returns to specialization and scale , 1996 .

[26]  Tack Yun,et al.  Nominal price rigidity, money supply endogeneity, and business cycles , 1996 .

[27]  Satyajit Chatterjee,et al.  Entry and Exit, Product Variety, and the Business Cycle , 1993 .

[28]  T. Devinney New Products Over the Business Cycle , 1990 .

[29]  G. Calvo Staggered prices in a utility-maximizing framework , 1983 .

[30]  A. Dixit,et al.  Monopolistic competition and optimum product diversity , 1977 .

[31]  Christopher J. Waller Optimal Stabilization with Endogenous Firm Entry , 2009 .

[32]  Viktors Stebunovs Finance as a barrier to entry in dynamic, stochastic, general equilibrium models , 2007 .

[33]  Florin O. Bilbiie,et al.  Monopoly Power and Endogenous Variety in Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium: Distortions and Remedies , 2006 .

[34]  Kostas Axarloglou The Cyclicality of New Product Introductions , 2003 .

[35]  Robert C. Feenstra,et al.  A homothetic utility function for monopolistic competition models, without constant price elasticity , 2003 .

[36]  R. King,et al.  Limits on Interest Rate Rules in the IS Model , 1996 .

[37]  F. Franklin Cost of living , 1915 .

[38]  Florin O. Bilbiie,et al.  Endogenous Entry, Product Variety, and Business Cycles , 2022 .