Integrating Urban Form and Demographics in Water-Demand Management: An Empirical Case Study of Portland, Oregon

Theories of water-resource management suggest that water demand is mediated by three interacting factors: technological innovations, pricing structures, and individual behaviors and demographics. While these factors provide useful insights for ongoing water conservation strategies, such as outreach and education campaigns, pricing schemes, and incentives aimed at residential developments, few studies examine the relationship between land-use planning and water demand. This paper reports the results of a study on land-use zoning and development-induced water consumption in Portland, Oregon. We used a geographic information system to integrate land-use records, water-consumption data, sociodemographics, and property tax information for over 122 550 parcels of varying land uses, and employed multiregression analyses to measure the effect of urban form—as measured by both the type and the structure of land uses—on regional water demand. While our results corroborate previous studies that link demographic characteristics to water demand, we go further by identifying zoning and structural attributes of the households as explaining over 93% of water use in all parcels. The paper concludes with a discussion of the opportunities and challenges for coordinating water-resource management with land-use planning.

[1]  John L. Bailey,et al.  Paving our way to water shortages: how sprawl aggravates the effects of drought , 2002 .

[2]  P. Gober,et al.  Determinants of Small-Area Water Consumption for the City of Phoenix, Arizona , 2007 .

[3]  The Economics of Watershed Protection , 2000 .

[4]  C. Vörösmarty,et al.  Global water resources: vulnerability from climate change and population growth. , 2000, Science.

[5]  Bruce R. Beattie,et al.  Urban Residential Demand for Water in the United States , 1979 .

[6]  Susan L Handy,et al.  How the built environment affects physical activity: views from urban planning. , 2002, American journal of preventive medicine.

[7]  B. Richter,et al.  Quenching Urban Thirst: Growing Cities and Their Impacts on Freshwater Ecosystems , 2004 .

[8]  S. Guhathakurta,et al.  The Impact of the Phoenix Urban Heat Island on Residential Water Use , 2007 .

[9]  L. Sharp Water demand management in England and Wales: Constructions of the domestic water user , 2006 .

[10]  Richard D. Green,et al.  Do Residential Water Demand Side Management Policies Measure Up? An Analysis of Eight California Water Agencies , 2000 .

[11]  N. Grimm,et al.  Global Change and the Ecology of Cities , 2008, Science.

[12]  V. Shandas An Empirical Study of Streamside Landowners' Interest in Riparian Conservation , 2007 .

[13]  L. Danielson,et al.  An analysis of residential demand for water using micro time‐series data , 1979 .

[14]  Hollis B. Chenery Structural change and development policy , 1979 .

[15]  R. Yin Case Study Research: Design and Methods , 1984 .

[16]  David Butler,et al.  Water demand management , 2006 .

[17]  Pavlos S. Kanaroglou,et al.  Urban Form and Household Activity‐Travel Behavior , 2006 .

[18]  R. Palmer,et al.  The Impacts of Climate Change on Portland's Water Supply: An Investigation of Potential Hydrologic and Management Impacts on the Bull Run System , 2002 .

[19]  A. Vickers,et al.  Creating Economic Incentives for Conservation , 1992 .

[20]  A. Patrinos,et al.  Policy needs robust climate science , 2005, Nature.

[21]  G. Knaap,et al.  Measuring Urban Form: Is Portland Winning the War on Sprawl? , 2004 .

[22]  Gregory M. Perry,et al.  Estimating Irrigation Water Value Using Hedonic Price Analysis: A Case Study in Malheur County, Oregon , 1999 .

[23]  C. V. Jones,et al.  Instrumental Price Estimates and Residential Water Demand , 1984 .

[24]  W. Whyte The social life of small urban spaces , 1980 .

[25]  T. Schueler The importance of imperviousness , 1995 .

[26]  Darren Holloway,et al.  The use of residential water consumption as an urban planning tool: a pilot study in Adelaide , 2004 .

[27]  Charles W. Howe,et al.  The impact of price on residential water demand and its relation to system design and price structure , 1967 .

[28]  A. P. Grima Residential Water Demand: Alternative Choices for Management , 1972 .

[29]  D. Saurí,et al.  Urbanisation and Water Consumption: Influencing Factors in the Metropolitan Region of Barcelona , 2006 .

[30]  B. Babbitt Cities in the Wilderness: A New Vision of Land Use in America , 2008 .

[31]  Nancy L. Barber,et al.  Estimated Use of Water in the United States in 2000 , 2004 .

[32]  Rajiv Bhatia,et al.  Protecting health using an environmental impact assessment: a case study of San Francisco land use decisionmaking. , 2007, American journal of public health.

[33]  S. Kulshreshtha,et al.  Value of Water In Irrigated Crop Production Using Derived Demand Functions , 1991 .

[34]  M. Katzman INCOME AND PRICE ELASTICITIES OF DEMAND FOR WATER IN DEVELOPING COUNTRIES , 1977 .

[35]  W. E. Martin,et al.  Saving Water in a Desert City , 1984 .

[36]  R. Bruce Billings,et al.  STATE-SPACE VERSUS MULTIPLE REGRESSION FOR FORECASTING URBAN WATER DEMAND , 1998 .

[37]  Carl Folke,et al.  Freshwater for resilience: a shift in thinking. , 2003, Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences.

[38]  Stephen D. Rhoades,et al.  Using Regression Analysis to Project Pumpage , 1991 .

[39]  S. Miaou,et al.  Daily Water Use in Nine Cities , 1986 .

[40]  Jakob B. Madsen Book review: Basic Econometrics, Damodar N. Gujarati, McGraw-Hill, New York, 1995 , 1998 .

[41]  J. Lekakis,et al.  Policy analysis for an amicable, efficient and sustainable inter-country fresh water resource allocation , 1997 .

[42]  Paul R. Ehrlich,et al.  Human Appropriation of Renewable Fresh Water , 1996, Science.

[43]  Brian Stone,et al.  Urban sprawl and air quality in large US cities. , 2008, Journal of environmental management.

[44]  M. Renwick,et al.  Demand Side Management Policies for Residential Water Use: Who Bears the Conservation Burden? , 1998 .

[45]  D. Gutzler,et al.  Interannual Variability of Water Demand and Summer Climate in Albuquerque, New Mexico , 2005 .

[46]  S. Hanke,et al.  RESIDENTIAL WATER DEMAND: A POOLED, TIME SERIES, CROSS SECTION STUDY OF MALMÖ, SWEDEN1 , 1982 .

[47]  Jean Hartley,et al.  Case study research , 2004 .

[48]  Susan Clayton,et al.  Domesticated nature: Motivations for gardening and perceptions of environmental impact , 2007 .

[49]  Thomas R. Schueler,et al.  Site planning for urban stream protection , 1995 .