Radiological assessment schedule for 1p/19q-codeleted gliomas during the surveillance period using parametric modeling

Abstract Background There have been no evidence-based guidelines on the optimal schedule for the radiological assessment of 1p/19q-codeleted glioma. This study aimed to recommend an appropriate radiological evaluation schedule for 1p/19q-codeleted glioma during the surveillance period through parametric modeling of the progression-free survival (PFS) curve. Methods A total of 234 patients with 1p/19q-codeleted glioma (137 grade II and 97 grade III) who completed regular treatment were retrospectively reviewed. The patients were stratified into each layered progression risk group by recursive partitioning analysis. A piecewise exponential model was used to standardize the PFS curves. The cutoff value of the progression rate among the remaining progression-free patients was set to 10% at each scan. Results Progression risk stratification resulted in 3 groups. The optimal magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) interval for patients without a residual tumor was every 91.2 weeks until 720 weeks after the end of regular treatment following the latent period for 15 weeks. For patients with a residual tumor after the completion of adjuvant radiotherapy followed by chemotherapy, the optimal MRI interval was every 37.5 weeks until week 90 and every 132.8 weeks until week 361, while it was every 33.6 weeks until week 210 and every 14.4 weeks until week 495 for patients with a residual tumor after surgery only or surgery followed by radiotherapy only. Conclusions The optimal radiological follow-up schedule for each progression risk stratification of 1p/19q-codeleted glioma can be established from the parametric modeling of PFS.