Wavelet autoregressive forecasting of climatic parameters for photovoltaic systems

In this paper wavelet decomposition is combined with autoregressive models to analyze and predict climate time series such as solar radiation and photovoltaic cell temperature. The method is tested on climate parameters for analysis, and solar radiation and cell temperature for prediction. The work effectiveness is evaluated by the prediction of the electric energy produced by a 100 Wp photovoltaic panel. Finally, the performance of predictor is measured by standardized error.

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