Mode Choice Model for Public Transport with Categorized Latent Variables

Mode choice model for public transport, which integrates structural equation model (SEM) and discrete choice model (DCM) with categorized latent variables, was presented in this paper. Apart from identifying those important latent variables that affect mode choice for public transport, the objective of this study was also to develop an improved disaggregative model that better explains travel behavior of those decision-makers in choosing public transport. After extensive observations, selective latent variable sets which consist of latent variable components were chosen together with explicit variables in formulating the utility functions. Data collected in Chengdu city, China, were used to calibrate and validate the model. Results showed that the impact of fare on mode choice of public transport escalated in the SEM-DCM integrated model compared with the traditional logit model. The goodness of fit for the integrated model with latent variable sets is 0.201 higher than that of the traditional logit model, which proves that latent variables have an obvious impact on mode choice behavior, and the SEM-DCM integrated model has higher accuracy and stronger explanatory ability. The results are especially helpful for public transport operators to achieve higher mode share split by improving the service quality of public transport in terms of providing more convenience and better service environment for public transport users.

[1]  F. Koppelman,et al.  Alternative nested logit models: structure, properties and estimation , 1998 .

[2]  Maria Kamargianni,et al.  Hybrid Choice Model to Investigate Effects of Teenagers' Attitudes toward Walking and Cycling on Mode Choice Behavior , 2013 .

[3]  Maura Mezzetti,et al.  Bayesian correlated factor analysis of socio-demographic indicators , 2005, Stat. Methods Appl..

[4]  Ioannis Politis,et al.  Integrated Choice and Latent Variable Models for evaluating Flexible Transport Mode choice , 2012 .

[5]  Maria Johansson,et al.  The effects of attitudes and personality traits on mode choice , 2006 .

[6]  T. Gerber Market, State, or Don't Know? Education, Economic Ideology, and Voting in Contemporary Russia , 2000 .

[7]  D. McFadden The Choice Theory Approach to Market Research , 1986 .

[8]  Simon Washington,et al.  Governors Highway Safety Associations and Transportation Planning: Exploratory Factor Analysis and Structural Equation Modeling , 2005 .

[9]  F. Koppelman,et al.  TRAVEL-CHOICE BEHAVIOR: MODELS OF PERCEPTIONS, FEELINGS, PREFERENCE, AND CHOICE , 1980 .

[10]  Chandra R. Bhat,et al.  A New Estimation Approach to Integrate Latent Psychological Constructs in Choice Modeling , 2014 .

[11]  D. Hensher,et al.  Trip chaining as a barrier to the propensity to use public transport , 2000 .

[12]  Moshe Ben-Akiva,et al.  Discrete choice models incorporating revealed preferences and psychometric data , 2002 .

[13]  A. Daly,et al.  Using ordered attitudinal indicators in a latent variable choice model: a study of the impact of security on rail travel behaviour , 2012 .

[14]  Joan L. Walker,et al.  Integration of Choice and Latent Variable Models , 1999 .

[15]  Tim Schwanen,et al.  The determinants of shopping duration on workdays in The Netherlands , 2004 .

[16]  Juan de Dios Ortúzar,et al.  Practical and empirical identifiability of hybrid discrete choice models , 2012 .

[17]  Linwood Pendleton,et al.  Valuing Bundled Attributes: A Latent Characteristics Approach , 2001, Land Economics.

[18]  Dinesh Ambat Gopimatj Modeling heterogeneity in discrete choice processes: Application to travel demand. , 1997 .

[19]  C. Spearman General intelligence Objectively Determined and Measured , 1904 .

[20]  Ricardo A. Daziano,et al.  Incorporating pro-environmental preferences towards green automobile technologies through a Bayesian hybrid choice model , 2013 .

[21]  Thomas F. Golob,et al.  Joint Models of Attitudes and Behavior in Evaluation of the San Diego I-15 Congestion Pricing Project , 1999 .

[22]  H. Timmermans,et al.  Expanding scope of hybrid choice models allowing for mixture of social influences and latent attitudes: Application to intended purchase of electric cars , 2014 .

[23]  K. Bollen Latent variables in psychology and the social sciences. , 2002, Annual review of psychology.

[24]  David C. Parkes,et al.  Generalized Random Utility Models with Multiple Types , 2013, NIPS.

[25]  Till Dannewald,et al.  Incorporating Latent Variables into Discrete Choice Models — A Simultaneous Estimation Approach Using SEM Software , 2008 .

[26]  Carey Curtis,et al.  Modeling Household Residential Location Choice and Travel Behavior and Its Relationship with Public Transport Accessibility , 2012 .

[27]  Moshe Ben-Akiva,et al.  Hybrid Choice Models with Logit Kernel: Applicability to Large Scale Models1 , 2005 .

[28]  A. Palma,et al.  Mode choices for trips to work in Geneva: an empirical analysis , 2000 .

[29]  Anders Karlström,et al.  The influence of weather characteristics variability on individual’s travel mode choice in different seasons and regions in Sweden , 2015 .

[30]  Thomas F. Golob,et al.  Structural Equation Modeling For Travel Behavior Research , 2001 .

[31]  Jin-Hyuk Chung,et al.  Analysis of traffic accident size for Korean highway using structural equation models. , 2008, Accident; analysis and prevention.

[32]  Michel Wedel,et al.  Solving and Testing for Regressor-Error (in)Dependence When no Instrumental Variables are Available: With New Evidence for the Effect of Education on Income , 2005 .

[33]  Joan L. Walker,et al.  Generalized random utility model , 2002, Math. Soc. Sci..

[34]  Kalidas Ashok,et al.  Extending Discrete Choice Models to Incorporate Attitudinal and Other Latent Variables , 2002 .

[35]  K. Goulias,et al.  Modeling travel behavior and sense of place using a structural equation model , 2013 .

[36]  André de Palma,et al.  Dynamic Model of Peak Period Traffic Congestion with Elastic Arrival Rates , 1986, Transp. Sci..

[37]  Y. Shiftan,et al.  Transit market research using structural equation modeling and attitudinal market segmentation , 2008 .

[38]  Joan L. Walker,et al.  Extended Framework for Modeling Choice Behavior , 1999 .

[39]  Maya Abou Zeid,et al.  Attitudes and Value of Time Heterogeneity , 2010 .

[40]  Sebastián Raveau,et al.  Inclusion of latent variables in Mixed Logit models: Modelling and forecasting , 2010 .

[41]  R. Buliung,et al.  Exploring differences in school travel mode choice behaviour between children and youth , 2015 .

[42]  Duane T. Wegener,et al.  Evaluating the use of exploratory factor analysis in psychological research. , 1999 .