Anticipating the emergence of infectious diseases
暂无分享,去创建一个
[1] S. Carpenter,et al. Early Warnings of Regime Shifts: A Whole-Ecosystem Experiment , 2011, Science.
[2] Wolfgang Lucht,et al. Tipping elements in the Earth's climate system , 2008, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.
[3] T. E. Harris,et al. The Theory of Branching Processes. , 1963 .
[4] Thomas M. Cover,et al. Elements of Information Theory , 2005 .
[5] N. Kampen,et al. Stochastic processes in physics and chemistry , 1981 .
[6] A. McKane,et al. Stochastic formulation of ecological models and their applications. , 2012, Trends in ecology & evolution.
[7] J. Drake,et al. Early warning signals of extinction in deteriorating environments , 2010, Nature.
[8] Carl Boettiger,et al. Quantifying limits to detection of early warning for critical transitions , 2012, Journal of The Royal Society Interface.
[9] W. Getz,et al. Utility of R0 as a predictor of disease invasion in structured populations , 2007, Journal of The Royal Society Interface.
[10] James O. Lloyd-Smith,et al. Inference of R 0 and Transmission Heterogeneity from the Size Distribution of Stuttering Chains , 2013, PLoS Comput. Biol..
[11] Lei Dai,et al. Generic Indicators for Loss of Resilience Before a Tipping Point Leading to Population Collapse , 2012, Science.
[12] Edward L. Ionides,et al. Plug-and-play inference for disease dynamics: measles in large and small populations as a case study , 2009, Journal of The Royal Society Interface.
[13] O. Pybus,et al. Unifying the Epidemiological and Evolutionary Dynamics of Pathogens , 2004, Science.
[14] Norman T. J. Bailey. The Elements of Stochastic Processes with Applications to the Natural Sciences , 1964 .
[15] A. King,et al. Can vaccine legacy explain the British pertussis resurgence? , 2013, Vaccine.
[16] S. Carpenter,et al. Early-warning signals for critical transitions , 2009, Nature.
[17] F. Mooi,et al. Pertussis resurgence: waning immunity and pathogen adaptation – two sides of the same coin , 2013, Epidemiology and Infection.
[18] S. Carpenter,et al. Catastrophic regime shifts in ecosystems: linking theory to observation , 2003 .
[19] N. Stollenwerk,et al. Measles Outbreaks in a Population with Declining Vaccine Uptake , 2003, Science.
[20] J. Drake,et al. The decline and resurgence of pertussis in the US. , 2011, Epidemics.
[21] Barney S. Graham,et al. Major increase in human monkeypox incidence 30 years after smallpox vaccination campaigns cease in the Democratic Republic of Congo , 2010, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.
[22] M. Scheffer,et al. Slowing down as an early warning signal for abrupt climate change , 2008, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.
[23] R. May,et al. Infectious Diseases of Humans: Dynamics and Control , 1991, Annals of Internal Medicine.
[24] John M. Drake,et al. Leading indicators of mosquito-borne disease elimination , 2015, Theoretical Ecology.
[25] David F Anderson,et al. A modified next reaction method for simulating chemical systems with time dependent propensities and delays. , 2007, The Journal of chemical physics.
[26] T. Galla,et al. Pattern formation in individual-based systems with time-varying parameters. , 2013, Physical review. E, Statistical, nonlinear, and soft matter physics.
[27] Michael A. Gibson,et al. Efficient Exact Stochastic Simulation of Chemical Systems with Many Species and Many Channels , 2000 .
[28] John M. Drake,et al. Theory of early warning signals of disease emergenceand leading indicators of elimination , 2013, Theoretical Ecology.
[29] M. Keeling,et al. Modeling Infectious Diseases in Humans and Animals , 2007 .
[30] B J Cowling,et al. Preliminary epidemiological assessment of MERS-CoV outbreak in South Korea, May to June 2015. , 2015, Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin.
[31] Lisa E. Gralinski,et al. A SARS-like cluster of circulating bat coronaviruses shows potential for human emergence , 2015, Nature Medicine.
[32] M. Rietkerk,et al. Spatial vegetation patterns and imminent desertification in Mediterranean arid ecosystems , 2007, Nature.
[33] P. E. Kopp,et al. Superspreading and the effect of individual variation on disease emergence , 2005, Nature.
[34] J. Drake,et al. Waiting time to infectious disease emergence , 2016, Journal of The Royal Society Interface.
[35] R. Ostfeld,et al. Climate Change and Infectious Diseases: From Evidence to a Predictive Framework , 2013, Science.
[36] M. Quail,et al. Global Population Structure and Evolution of Bordetella pertussis and Their Relationship with Vaccination , 2014, mBio.
[37] C. Myers,et al. Outbreak statistics and scaling laws for externally driven epidemics. , 2013, Physical review. E, Statistical, nonlinear, and soft matter physics.
[38] Pejman Rohani,et al. Host―parasitoid metapopulations : the consequences of parasitoid aggregation on spatial dynamics and searching efficiency , 1995, Proceedings of the Royal Society of London. Series B: Biological Sciences.
[39] Klaus Dietz,et al. The concept of RO in epidemic theory , 1996 .
[40] Schuster,et al. Easily calculable measure for the complexity of spatiotemporal patterns. , 1987, Physical review. A, General physics.
[41] David K. Smith,et al. The genesis and source of the H7N9 influenza viruses causing human infections in China , 2013, Nature.