Effects of Street Patterns on Injury Risks in Two-Vehicle Crashes

Road crashes not only claim lives and inflict injuries but also create an economic burden on society because of lost productivity. Many studies have identified factors affecting the frequency and severity of crashes. However, few, if any, studies have explored the effect of street pattern on injury risks in urban crashes. In this study, street pattern or urban form is classified into four categories: gridiron, warped parallel, loops and lollipops, and mixed patterns. Their effects on injury risk are examined together with other factors including road features, drivers’ characteristics, crash characteristics, environmental conditions, and vehicle attributes. Calgary, Alberta, Canada, is chosen as the case study, and the logistic regression model is applied with reported crash data from 2003 to 2005 to investigate various factors. The results suggest that current popular patterns, including the loops and lollipops design, are safer than the conventional gridiron pattern from an injury risk perspective in the event of a crash.

[1]  G. Guyatt,et al.  The independent contribution of driver, crash, and vehicle characteristics to driver fatalities. , 2002, Accident; analysis and prevention.

[2]  R. Whitfield,et al.  Predicting injury risk with "New Car Assessment Program" crashworthiness ratings. , 1988, Accident; analysis and prevention.

[3]  F M Streff,et al.  An experimental test of risk compensation: between-subject versus within-subject analyses. , 1988, Accident; analysis and prevention.

[4]  Kung-Jong Lui,et al.  An application of a conditional logistic regression to study the effects of safety belts, principal impact points, and car weights on drivers' fatalities , 1988 .

[5]  Eric Dumbaugh,et al.  Safe Streets, Livable Streets , 2005 .

[6]  A. Khattak,et al.  Injury Effects of Rollovers and Events Sequence in Single-Vehicle Crashes , 2000 .

[7]  Patrick S. McCarthy,et al.  Evidence on risk compensation and safety behaviour , 1999 .

[8]  Shakil Mohammad Rifaat,et al.  A logistic model of the effects of roadway, environmental, vehicle, crash and driver characteristics on hit-and-run crashes. , 2008, Accident; analysis and prevention.

[9]  Gudmundur F. Ulfarsson,et al.  Differences in male and female injury severities in sport-utility vehicle, minivan, pickup and passenger car accidents. , 2004, Accident; analysis and prevention.

[10]  M. Southworth,et al.  Streets and the Shaping of Towns and Cities , 1996 .

[11]  E R Braver,et al.  Drinking histories of fatally injured drivers , 2002, Injury prevention : journal of the International Society for Child and Adolescent Injury Prevention.

[12]  John N Ivan,et al.  Factors influencing injury severity of motor vehicle-crossing pedestrian crashes in rural Connecticut. , 2003, Accident; analysis and prevention.

[13]  Lei Li,et al.  DRIVERS AT FAULT: INFLUENCES OF AGE, SEX, AND VEHICLE TYPE , 1998 .

[14]  Shakil Mohammad Rifaat,et al.  Accident severity analysis using ordered probit model , 2007 .

[15]  Mohamed Abdel-Aty,et al.  Comprehensive analysis of vehicle-pedestrian crashes at intersections in Florida. , 2005, Accident; analysis and prevention.

[16]  S. Dissanayake,et al.  Analysis of Severity of Young Driver Crashes: Sequential Binary Logistic Regression Modeling , 2002 .

[17]  Michael D Keall,et al.  The influence of alcohol, age and number of passengers on the night-time risk of driver fatal injury in New Zealand. , 2004, Accident; analysis and prevention.

[18]  Toshiyuki Yamamoto,et al.  Bivariate ordered-response probit model of driver's and passenger's injury severities in collisions with fixed objects. , 2004, Accident; analysis and prevention.

[19]  Richard Tay,et al.  Factors contributing to hit-and-run in fatal crashes. , 2009, Accident; analysis and prevention.

[20]  Eran Ben-Joseph,et al.  Street Standards and the Shaping of Suburbia , 1995 .

[21]  H Marks SUBDIVIDING FOR TRAFFIC SAFETY , 1957 .

[22]  Shakil Mohammad Rifaat,et al.  Factors contributing to the severity of intersection crashes , 2007 .

[23]  L Evans,et al.  Car mass and fatality risk: has the relationship changed? , 1994, American journal of public health.

[24]  Richard Tay,et al.  Ageing drivers: storm in a teacup? , 2006, Accident; analysis and prevention.

[25]  Gudmundur F. Ulfarsson,et al.  Bicyclist injury severities in bicycle-motor vehicle accidents. , 2007, Accident; analysis and prevention.

[26]  Hoong Chor Chin,et al.  An analysis of motorcycle injury and vehicle damage severity using ordered probit models. , 2002, Journal of safety research.

[27]  Fred Mannering,et al.  Impact of roadside features on the frequency and severity of run-off-roadway accidents: an empirical analysis. , 2002, Accident; analysis and prevention.

[28]  S. Peltzman The Effects of Automobile Safety Regulation , 1975, Journal of Political Economy.

[29]  J. Zhang,et al.  Factors affecting the severity of motor vehicle traffic crashes involving elderly drivers in Ontario. , 2000, Accident; analysis and prevention.

[30]  Fred L. Mannering,et al.  An exploratory multinomial logit analysis of single-vehicle motorcycle accident severity , 1996 .

[31]  Sunanda Dissanayake,et al.  Factors influential in making an injury severity difference to older drivers involved in fixed object-passenger car crashes. , 2002, Accident; analysis and prevention.

[32]  Young-Jun Kweon,et al.  Driver injury severity: an application of ordered probit models. , 2002, Accident; analysis and prevention.

[33]  Fred L. Mannering,et al.  Predicting Vehicle Occupancies from Accident Data: An Accident Severity Approach , 1998 .

[34]  Asad J. Khattak,et al.  Applying the Ordered Probit Model to Injury Severity in Truck-Passenger Car Rear-End Collisions , 1998 .

[35]  M C Frick,et al.  Mass ratio and relative driver fatality risk in two-vehicle crashes. , 1993, Accident; analysis and prevention.

[36]  Silvio Brusaferro,et al.  Risk factors for fatal road traffic accidents in Udine, Italy. , 2002, Accident; analysis and prevention.

[37]  Viswanathan Shankar,et al.  Modeling the Simultaneity in Injury Causation in Multivehicle Collisions , 2002 .

[38]  M Simoncic Road accidents in Slovenia involving a pedestrian, cyclist or motorcyclist and a car. , 2001, Accident; analysis and prevention.