A MODEL FOR PRICING AN OPTION WITH A FUZZY PAYOFF

This paper sets up a one period model for pricing an option with a fuzzy payoff. The option is written on an underlying asset that has a fuzzy price at the end of the period, modelled by means of triangular fuzzy numbers. The pricing methodology used is the standard one for pricing derivatives, i.e. the so called risk neutral valuation. Combining the standard Binomial Option Pricing Model with a fuzzy representation of the option payoff offers some advantages. First it provides an intuitive way of looking at the future price of an asset. Second it includes the results of the Standard Binomial Model, allowing the market to have different levels of information.

[1]  C. Magni Pictures, language and research: the case of finance and financial mathamatics , 1998 .

[2]  Maria Cristina Marcuzzo La relazione salari occupazione tra rigidità reali e rigidità nominali , 1993 .

[3]  C. Magni Opzioni reali d'investimento e interazione competitiva: programmazione dinamica stocastica in optimal stopping , 1996 .

[4]  Salih N. Neftçi,et al.  An Introduction to the Mathematics of Financial Derivatives , 1996 .

[5]  Paolo Silvestri Frammenti di politica della scuola: le tasse scolastiche e universitarie , 1986 .

[6]  Graziella Bertocchi Trade, Wages and the Persistence of Underdevelopment , 1996 .

[7]  G. Marotta Does Trade Credit Redistribution Thwart Monetary Policy? Evidence from Italy , 1997 .

[8]  Mauro Dell'Amico,et al.  New bounds for optimum traffic assignment in satellite communication , 1998, Comput. Oper. Res..

[9]  Gian Paolo Caselli,et al.  Following the Tracks of Atkinson and Micklewright: the Changing Distribution of Income and Earnings in Poland from 1989 to 1995 , 1997 .

[10]  N. Rossi,et al.  Non-marketable assets and households' portfolio choices: A case study of Italy , 1993 .

[11]  D. Dubois,et al.  Operations on fuzzy numbers , 1978 .

[12]  Fabio Canova,et al.  Does Detrending Matter for the Determination of the Reference Cycle and the Selection of Turning Points , 1999 .

[13]  D. Dubois,et al.  Fuzzy real algebra: Some results , 1979 .

[14]  Paolo Bosi,et al.  Nuovi strumenti per l'assistenza sociale , 1997 .

[15]  Giovanni Bonifati Progresso tecnico, concorrenza e decisioni di investimento , 1997 .

[16]  A systemic rule for investment decisions: generalizations of the traditional DCF criteria and new conceptions , 1998 .

[17]  Alberto Rinaldi Lo sviluppo dell'industria metalmeccanica in provincia di Modena: 1945-1990 , 1993 .

[18]  Paolo Bosi Aumentare l'età pensionabile fa diminuire la spesa pensionistica? Ancora sulle caratteristiche di lungo periodo della riforma Dini , 1997 .

[19]  Marcello D'Amato,et al.  Persistence of relative unemployment rates across Italian regions , 1997 .

[20]  Giovanni Bonifati Cambiamento tecnico e crescita endogena: una valutazione critica delle ipotesi del modello di Romer , 1995 .

[21]  Michele Lalla,et al.  La progressione delle carriere: i percorsi in cardiologia , 1998 .

[22]  Michele Lalla Sampling, Maintenance, and Weighting Schemes for Longitudinal Surveys: a Case Study of the Textile and Clothing Industry , 1999 .

[23]  Enrico Giovannetti Efficienza ed innovazione: il modello "fondi e flussi" applicato ad una fiera agro - industriale , 1991 .

[24]  Ferdinando Vianello,et al.  Effective Demand and the Rate of Profits: Some Thoughts on Marx, Kalecki and Sraffa , 1989 .

[25]  Paolo Siconolfi,et al.  Extrinsic Uncertainty and the Informational Role of Prices , 1997 .

[26]  Stéphane Lhuillery,et al.  Organisation industrielle et gestion de l’innovation des entreprises , 1999 .

[27]  Mario Forni Storie familiari e storie di proprieta': la scomparsa della mezzadria in Italia , 1987 .

[28]  Scattered Notes on the Prisoner's Dilemma (and Others) [Note Sparse Sul Dilemma Del Prigioniero (E Non Solo)] , 1998 .

[29]  F. Canova,et al.  STOCK RETURNS, TERM STRUCTURE, INFLATION, AND REAL ACTIVITY: AN INTERNATIONAL PERSPECTIVE , 2000, Macroeconomic Dynamics.

[30]  Carlo Alberto Magni Un semplice modello di opzione di investimento e di vendita in àmbito discreto , 1996 .