International Trade, Factor Mobility and the Persistence of Cultural-Institutional Diversity

Cultural and institutional differences among nations may result in differences in the ratios of marginal costs of goods in autarchy and thus be the basis of specialization and comparative advantage, as long as these differences are not eliminated by trade. We provide an evolutionary model of endogenous preferences and institutions under autarchy, trade and factor mobility in which multiple asymptotically stable cultural-institutional conventions may exist, among which transitions may occur as a result of decentralized and un-coordinated actions of employers or employees. We show that: i) specialization and trade may arise and enhance welfare even when the countries are identical other than their cultural-institutional equilibria; ii) trade liberalization does not lead to convergence, it reinforces the cultural-institutional differences upon which comparative advantage is based and may thus impede even Pareto-improving cultural-institutional transitions; and iii) by contrast, greater mobility of factors of production favors decentralized transitions to a superior cultural-institutional convention by reducing the minimum number of cultural or institutional innovators necessary to induce a transition.

[1]  Samuel Bowles,et al.  Policies Designed for Self-Interested Citizens May Undermine "The Moral Sentiments": Evidence from Economic Experiments , 2008, Science.

[2]  J. V. Reenen,et al.  The Organization of Firms Across Countries , 2009 .

[3]  E. Fehr,et al.  Reciprocity as a contract enforcement device: experimental evidence , 1997 .

[4]  B. Frey,et al.  A Multiplicity of Approaches to Institutional Analysis - Applications to the Government and the Arts , 2009 .

[5]  Daron Acemoglu,et al.  Economic Origins of Dictatorship and Democracy , 2005 .

[6]  Chaim Fershtman,et al.  The Limit of Public Policy: Endogenous Preferences , 2000 .

[7]  H. Young,et al.  Competition and Custom in Economic Contracts: A Case Study of Illinois Agriculture , 2001 .

[8]  Jonathan Vogel Institutions and moral hazard in open economies , 2007 .

[9]  Alberto Bisin,et al.  The Economics of Cultural Transmission and the Dynamics of Preferences , 2001, J. Econ. Theory.

[10]  A. Levchenko International Trade and Institutional Change , 2011 .

[11]  Michael E. Alvarez,et al.  Democracy and Development: Political Institutions and Well-Being in the World, 1950–1990 , 2000 .

[12]  F. Caliendo,et al.  Is Social Security Behind the Collapse of Personal Saving? , 2009, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[13]  A. Falk,et al.  The hidden costs of control , 2006 .

[14]  Marc Gronwald,et al.  Investigating the U.S. Oil-Macroeconomy Nexus Using Rolling Impulse Responses , 2009, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[15]  Daniel Trefler,et al.  International Factor Price Differences: Leontief was Right! , 1993, Journal of Political Economy.

[16]  Charles P. Kindleberger,et al.  Foreign Trade and the National Economy , 1962 .

[17]  P. Francois,et al.  Cultivating Trust: Norms, Institutions and the Implications of Scale , 2011 .

[18]  Lawrence A. Weiser,et al.  Determinants of the Commodity Structure of U.S. Trade: Comment , 1972 .

[19]  Klaus M. Schmidt,et al.  Fairness and contract design , 2007 .

[20]  David P. Myatt,et al.  Adaptive play by idiosyncratic agents , 2004, Games Econ. Behav..

[21]  Edward Leamer Testing Trade Theory , 1992 .

[22]  Globalization and the Dynamics of Cultural Identity , 2008 .

[23]  A. Shleifer,et al.  Regulation and Distrust , 2009 .

[24]  Inmaculada Martínez-Zarzoso,et al.  Driving Factors of Carbon Dioxide Emissions and the Impact from Kyoto Protocol , 2009, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[25]  P. Legros,et al.  Trade Liberalization and Organizational Change , 2008 .

[26]  S. Wei,et al.  Endowment Versus Finance: A Wooden Barrel Theory of International Trade , 2005, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[27]  R. Inglehart The Silent revolution: Changing values and political styles among western publics , 1977 .

[28]  R. Rob,et al.  Learning, Mutation, and Long Run Equilibria in Games , 1993 .

[29]  Marc J. Melitz,et al.  Volatility, Labor Market Flexibility, and the Pattern of Comparative Advantage , 2007 .

[30]  T. Bewley Why Wages Don't Fall during a Recession , 1999 .

[31]  Paul A. Samuelson,et al.  International factor-price equalisation once again , 1949 .

[32]  David E. Weinstein,et al.  An Account of Global Factor Trade , 1998 .

[33]  M. Rabin Published by: American , 2022 .

[34]  Lars P. Feld,et al.  Fiscal Decentralization and Economic Growth in OECD Countries , 2009 .

[35]  Norms and Institution Formation , 2008 .

[36]  Daniel A. Kaufmann,et al.  The Worldwide Governance Indicators: Methodology and Analytical Issues , 2010 .

[37]  James E. Rauch,et al.  Adaptation and the Boundary of Multinational Firms , 2009, The Review of Economics and Statistics.

[38]  Michele Moretto,et al.  Investing in Biogas: Timing, Technological Choice and the Value of Flexibility from Inputs Mix , 2009, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[39]  M. Hollis The Cunning of Reason: Norms and institutions , 1988 .

[40]  F. Ortiz Contrapunteo cubano del tabaco y el azúcar , 1941 .

[41]  Leif Danziger,et al.  Endogenous Monopsony and the Perverse Effect of the Minimum Wage in Small Firms , 2009, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[42]  Daniel Trefler,et al.  The Case of the Missing Trade and Other Mysteries , 2002 .

[43]  Pierre Mohnen,et al.  Innovative Sales, R&D and Total Innovation Expenditures: Panel Evidence on Their Dynamics , 2009, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[44]  A. Levchenko,et al.  Institutional Quality and International Trade , 2004, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[45]  Lawrence E. Blume,et al.  How noise matters , 2003, Games Econ. Behav..

[46]  P. Kenen Nature, Capital, and Trade , 1965, Journal of Political Economy.

[47]  Hawaii,et al.  Supporting Online Material Materials and Methods Figs. S1 to S6 Tables S1 and S2 Database S1 Antisocial Punishment across Societies , 2022 .

[48]  Occupational Choice and the Spirit of Capitalism , 2007 .

[49]  D. Acemoglu Why Not a Political Coase Theorem? Social Conflict, Commitment and Politics , 2002 .

[50]  Nicholas Scott Baker The economy of Renaissance Florence , 2011 .

[51]  W. Lewis Economic Development with Unlimited Supplies of Labour , 1954 .

[52]  Oliver Hülsewig,et al.  Monetary Policy Transmission and House Prices: European Cross-Country Evidence , 2009, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[53]  O. Bandiera,et al.  Social preferences and the response to incentives: Evidence from personnel data , 2005 .

[54]  Paul A. Samuelson,et al.  International trade and the equalisation of factor prices , 1948 .

[55]  Andrei A. Levchenko,et al.  Trade, Inequality, and the Political Economy of Institutions , 2006, J. Econ. Theory.

[56]  Giovanni Villani,et al.  A Strategic R&D Investment with Flexible Development Time in Real Option Game Analysis , 2009, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[57]  Oliver Hülsewig,et al.  Price Dispersion in the Euro Area: The Case of a Symmetric Oil Price Shock , 2009, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[58]  E. Fehr,et al.  Relational Contracts and the Nature of Market Interactions , 2003, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[59]  B. Donald,et al.  LABOR SKILLS AND INTERNATIONAL TRADE: EVALUATING MANY TRADE FLOWS WITH A SINGLE MEASURING DEVICE , 1965 .

[60]  Marianna Belloc Cross-Cultural Trade and Internal Institutional Stability , 2009 .

[61]  H. Svaleryd,et al.  Financial markets, the pattern of industrial specialization and comparative advantage: Evidence from OECD countries , 2005 .

[62]  Christian Kanzow,et al.  Effort Maximization in Asymmetric N-Person Contest Games , 2009, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[63]  P. Gourevitch International Trade, Domestic Coalitions, and Liberty: Comparative Responses to the Crisis of 1873–1896 , 1977 .

[64]  Alberto Bisin,et al.  The Economics of Cultural Transmission and Socialization , 2010 .

[65]  Bram Smeets,et al.  Government Deficits in the European Union: An Analysis of Entry and Exit Dynamics , 2009, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[66]  Daron Acemoglu,et al.  Incomplete Contracts and the Product Cycle , 2005 .

[67]  Arnaud Costinot,et al.  On the origins of comparative advantage , 2009 .

[68]  C. I. Jones,et al.  The New Kaldor Facts: Ideas, Institutions, Population, and Human Capital , 2009 .

[69]  T. Beck Financial Development and International Trade: Is There a Link? , 1999 .

[70]  P. Bardhan,et al.  Credit Markets and Patterns of International Trade , 1986 .

[71]  Oded Galor,et al.  Trading Population for Productivity: Theory and Evidence , 2008, The Review of economic studies.

[72]  Mirco Tonin,et al.  Disentangling the Sources of Pro-Social Behavior in the Workplace: A Field Experiment , 2009, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[73]  A. Gerschenkron Bread and democracy in Germany , 1943 .

[74]  Fabian Kindermann,et al.  Pension Funding and Individual Accounts in Economies with Life-Cyclers and Myopes , 2009, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[75]  Robert C. Merton,et al.  Samuelson, Paul A. , 2010 .

[76]  Volker Nitsch,et al.  Fly or Cry: Is Airport Noise Costly? , 2009, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[77]  Dan Kovenock,et al.  Suicide Terrorism and the Weakest Link , 2009, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[78]  Barton L. Lipman,et al.  Evolution with State-Dependent Mutations , 1996 .

[79]  L. Cameron,et al.  Raising the Stakes in the Ultimatum Game: Experimental Evidence From Indonesia , 1999 .

[80]  Daron Acemoglu,et al.  Contracts and Technology Adoption , 2007 .

[81]  Nathan Nunn,et al.  The Slave Trade and the Origins of Mistrust in Africa , 2009 .

[82]  Stanley L. Engerman,et al.  History Lessons Institutions, Factor Endowments, and Paths of Development in the New World , 2000 .

[83]  Paul Krugman,et al.  The narrow moving band, the Dutch disease, and the competitive consequences of Mrs. Thatcher : Notes on trade in the presence of dynamic scale economies , 1987 .

[84]  Pamela Campa,et al.  Gender Culture and Gender Gap in Employment , 2009, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[85]  B. Heijdra,et al.  Annuity Market Imperfection, Retirement and Economic Growth , 2009, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[86]  Canice Prendergast Intrinsic Motivation and Incentives , 2008 .

[87]  Jakob de Haan,et al.  Does central bank communication really lead to better forecasts of policy decisions? New evidence based on a Taylor rule model for the ECB , 2009 .

[88]  Matthias Doepke,et al.  Occupational Choice and the Spirit of Capitalism , 2007 .

[89]  A. Casella,et al.  Public Goods in Trade on the Formation of Markets and Jurisdictions , 2002 .

[90]  A. Schotter,et al.  Endogenous Preferences : The Cultural Consequences of Markets and other Economic Institutions , 1999 .

[91]  Felix J. Bierbrauer,et al.  Optimal Income Taxation and Public Goods Provision in a Large Economy with Aggregate Uncertainty , 2009, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[92]  H. Young,et al.  The Evolution of Conventions , 1993 .

[93]  Yu-Fu Chen,et al.  Booms, Recessions and Financial Turmoil: A Fresh Look at Investment Decisions Under Cyclical Uncertainty , 2009, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[94]  Olaf Posch,et al.  Explaining Output Volatility: The Case of Taxation , 2009, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[95]  Elhanan Helpman,et al.  The Structure of Foreign Trade , 1998 .

[96]  Marianna Belloc Cross-Cultural Trade and Institutional Stability , 2009 .

[97]  A. Greif Contract Enforceability and Economic Institutions in Early Trade: the Maghribi Traders' Coalition , 1993 .

[98]  H. Young An Evolutionary Model of Bargaining , 1993 .

[99]  John Whalley,et al.  A Third Benefit of Joint Non-OPEC Carbon Taxes: Transferring OPEC Monopoly Rent , 2009, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[100]  Kiminori Matsuyama,et al.  Credit Market Imperfections and Patterns of International Trade and Capital Flows , 2005 .

[101]  F. Lichtenberg,et al.  Response to Baker and Fugh-Berman’s Critique of My Paper, 'Why Has Longevity Increased More in Some States than in Others?' , 2009 .

[102]  Jon H. Fiva,et al.  Do re-election probabilities influence public investment? , 2009, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[103]  Samuel Bowles,et al.  Economic Incentives and Social Preferences: A Preference-Based Lucas Critique of Public Policy , 2009, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[104]  Ernst Fehr,et al.  Detrimental effects of sanctions on human altruism , 2003, Nature.

[105]  D. Levine Modeling Altruism and Spitefulness in Experiments , 1998 .

[106]  J. Goldstone Coercion, Capital, and European States, AD 990-1990 , 1991 .

[107]  H. Peyton Young,et al.  Individual Strategy and Social Structure , 2020 .

[108]  A. Greif,et al.  Cultural and Institutional Bifurcation: China and Europe Compared , 2010 .

[109]  J. Ivery,et al.  Organizational Ecology , 2007 .

[110]  Oded Galor,et al.  Natural Selection and the Origin of Economic Growth , 2001 .

[111]  Christina Felfe,et al.  The Willingness to Pay for Job Amenities: Evidence from Mothers' Return to Work , 2009, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[112]  Samuel Bowles,et al.  Microeconomics: Behavior, Institutions, and Evolution , 2003 .

[113]  J. Keynes National Self-Sufficiency , 1933 .

[114]  M. Feldman,et al.  Cultural transmission and evolution: a quantitative approach. , 1981, Monographs in population biology.

[115]  H. Peyton Young,et al.  Stochastic Evolutionary Game Dynamics , 1990 .

[116]  Jukka Pirttila,et al.  The Impact of Dividend Taxation on Dividends and Investment: New Evidence Based on a Natural Experiment , 2009, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[117]  A. Greif Institutions and Impersonal Exchange: From Communal to Individual Responsibility , 2002 .

[118]  S. Fenoaltea Slavery and Supervision in Comparative Perspective: A Model , 1984, The Journal of Economic History.

[119]  Antonio Afonso,et al.  Spend-and-Tax: A Panel Data Investigation for the EU , 2009 .

[120]  Avinash Dixit,et al.  Trade Expansion and Contract Enforcement , 2003, Journal of Political Economy.

[121]  G. Tabellini Culture and Institutions: Economic Development in the Regions of Europe , 2005, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[122]  Colin Camerer,et al.  “Economic man” in cross-cultural perspective: Behavioral experiments in 15 small-scale societies , 2005, Behavioral and Brain Sciences.

[123]  Josef Zweimüller,et al.  Does Culture Affect Unemployment? Evidence from the Röstigraben , 2009, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[124]  Ken Binmore,et al.  Equilibrium Selection in Bargaining Models , 2003, Games Econ. Behav..

[125]  Lakshmi Iyer,et al.  History, Institutions and Economic Performance: The Legacy of Colonial Land Tenure Systems in India , 2002 .

[126]  G. Burtless,et al.  Lessons of the Financial Crisis for the Design of National Pension Systems , 2009, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[127]  Nathan Nunn,et al.  Relationship Specificity, Incomplete Contracts and the Pattern of Trade , 2007 .

[128]  Jonas Vlachos,et al.  Financial markets, the pattern of specialization and comparative advantage: Evidence from OECD countries , 2001 .

[129]  Melissa Dell,et al.  The Persistent Effects of Peru's Mining Mita , 2010 .

[130]  C. Moriguchi Implicit Contracts, the Great Depression, and Institutional Change: A Comparative Analysis of U.S. and Japanese Employment Relations, 1920–1940 , 2003, The Journal of Economic History.

[131]  Dilip Mookherjee,et al.  Productivity, contracting modes, and development , 1995 .

[132]  Kevin McCabe,et al.  When Punishment Fails: Research on Sanctions, Intentions and Non-Cooperation , 2005, Games Econ. Behav..

[133]  Eric A. Nilsson Empirical Evidence that the Social Relations of Production Matter: The Case of the Ante-bellum U.S. South , 1994 .

[134]  G. Tabellini The Scope of Cooperation: Values and Incentives , 2007 .

[135]  C. Tilly Coercion, Capital, and European States, A.D. 990-1990 , 1990 .

[136]  E. Fehr,et al.  Psychological Foundations of Incentives , 2002 .

[137]  Ugo Pagano Cultural Globalisation, Institutional Diversity and the Unequal Accumulation of Intellectual Capital , 2007 .

[138]  D. Acemoglu Why Not A Political Coase Theorem ? Social , 2002 .

[139]  A. Greif Institutions and the Path to the Modern Economy: Lessons from Medieval Trade , 2006 .

[140]  Joseph Zeira Globalization and Divergence , 2011 .

[141]  Hans Jarle Kind,et al.  Business Models for Media Firms: Does Competition Matter for How They Raise Revenue? , 2009, Mark. Sci..

[142]  A. Greif Cultural Beliefs and the Organization of Society: A Historical and Theoretical Reflection on Collectivist and Individualist Societies , 1994, Journal of Political Economy.

[143]  Marianna Belloc Institutions and International Trade: A Reconsideration of Comparative Advantage , 2006 .

[144]  S. B. Linder,et al.  An essay on trade and transformation , 1964 .

[145]  Mark P. Taylor,et al.  The Crisis in the Foreign Exchange Market , 2009, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[146]  J. McLaren,et al.  Trade, Offshoring, and the Invisible Handshake , 2009 .