Regret theory-based fuzzy multi-objective portfolio selection model involving DEA cross-efficiency and higher moments

Abstract This paper deals with fuzzy portfolio selection problems under the framework of bounded rationality, in which the higher moments and DEA cross-efficiency are taken into consideration. To this end, a regret cross-efficiency (RCE) evaluation model is first proposed to evaluate cross-efficiency scores of all assets by integrating several important financial information: return on equity, earnings per share, current ratio, price/earnings ratio, price/book ratio, and beta value. Then, by incorporating cross-efficiency into the mean–variance-skewness framework, a regret theory-based multi-objective portfolio selection model is developed. The model aims to maximize investor’s perceived utility (composed of utility, regret, and rejoice functions) with respect to the four objectives, namely mean–variance-skewness-efficiency, bounded by several realistic constraints. Additionally, considering the inherent uncertainty in data, the criteria related to RCE evaluation as well as asset returns are characterized as fuzzy variables. The current study not only empowers investors with an overall control over the preferences regarding all portfolio objectives, but also gives investors an opportunity to tweak their intrinsic behavioral tendencies from the perspective of regret aversion and rejoice preference, thus achieving the results that are compatible with the actual preferences of investors. A real-world empirical application is presented to demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed model.

[1]  Enriqueta Vercher,et al.  A Possibilistic Mean-Downside Risk-Skewness Model for Efficient Portfolio Selection , 2013, IEEE Transactions on Fuzzy Systems.

[2]  Ying Luo,et al.  Cross-efficiency evaluation based on ideal and anti-ideal decision making units , 2011, Expert Syst. Appl..

[3]  T. Sexton,et al.  Data Envelopment Analysis: Critique and Extensions , 1986 .

[4]  David E. Bell,et al.  Regret in Decision Making under Uncertainty , 1982, Oper. Res..

[5]  Alexander E. Gegov,et al.  Selection of alternatives using fuzzy networks with rule base aggregation , 2017, Fuzzy Sets Syst..

[6]  Xiang Li,et al.  An expected regret minimization portfolio selection model , 2012, Eur. J. Oper. Res..

[7]  Constantin Zopounidis,et al.  Robust multiobjective portfolio optimization: A minimax regret approach , 2017, Eur. J. Oper. Res..

[8]  Helu Xiao,et al.  Estimation of portfolio efficiency via DEA , 2015 .

[9]  Guoliang Yang,et al.  Cross-efficiency evaluation in data envelopment analysis based on prospect theory , 2019, Eur. J. Oper. Res..

[10]  Bruno Solnik,et al.  Applying Regret Theory to Investment Choices: Currency Hedging Decisions , 2008 .

[11]  Shouyang Wang,et al.  Portfolio selection under different attitudes in fuzzy environment , 2018, Inf. Sci..

[12]  Jie Wu,et al.  The DEA Game Cross-Efficiency Model and Its Nash Equilibrium , 2008, Oper. Res..

[13]  Kris Boudt,et al.  Higher Order Comoments of Multifactor Models and Asset Allocation , 2014 .

[14]  Rodney H. Green,et al.  Efficiency and Cross-efficiency in DEA: Derivations, Meanings and Uses , 1994 .

[15]  Donya Rahmani,et al.  A constrained multi-period robust portfolio model with behavioral factors and an interval semi-absolute deviation , 2020, J. Comput. Appl. Math..

[16]  Yong Yang,et al.  Algorithms for interval-valued fuzzy soft sets in stochastic multi-criteria decision making based on regret theory and prospect theory with combined weight , 2017, Appl. Soft Comput..

[17]  Lotfi A. Zadeh,et al.  Fuzzy Sets , 1996, Inf. Control..

[18]  O. Korn,et al.  Markowitz with Regret , 2018, Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control.

[19]  Mukesh Kumar Mehlawat,et al.  A polynomial goal programming approach for intuitionistic fuzzy portfolio optimization using entropy and higher moments , 2019, Appl. Soft Comput..

[20]  Mehmet Aksarayli,et al.  A polynomial goal programming model for portfolio optimization based on entropy and higher moments , 2018, Expert Syst. Appl..

[21]  Vahid Majazi Dalfard,et al.  Efficiency appraisal and ranking of decision-making units using data envelopment analysis in fuzzy environment: a case study of Tehran stock exchange , 2012, Neural Computing and Applications.

[22]  Mark Goh,et al.  Logistics provider selection for omni-channel environment with fuzzy axiomatic design and extended regret theory , 2018, Appl. Soft Comput..

[23]  W. L. Beedles,et al.  Diversification in a Three-Moment World , 1978, Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis.

[24]  Martin Branda,et al.  Diversification-consistent data envelopment analysis with general deviation measures , 2013, Eur. J. Oper. Res..

[25]  Sungmook Lim,et al.  Minimax and maximin formulations of cross-efficiency in DEA , 2012, Comput. Ind. Eng..

[26]  C. Chorus Regret theory-based route choices and traffic equilibria , 2012 .

[27]  Christer Carlsson,et al.  On Possibilistic Mean Value and Variance of Fuzzy Numbers , 1999, Fuzzy Sets Syst..

[28]  H. Konno,et al.  A FAST ALGORITHM FOR SOLVING LARGE SCALE MEAN-VARIANCE MODELS BY COMPACT FACTORIZATION OF COVARIANCE MATRICES , 1992 .

[29]  Xue Deng,et al.  The research and comparison of multi-objective portfolio based on intuitionistic fuzzy optimization , 2018, Comput. Ind. Eng..

[30]  R. Sugden,et al.  Regret Theory: An alternative theory of rational choice under uncertainty Review of Economic Studies , 1982 .

[31]  J. Pezier,et al.  The Relative Merits of Investable Hedge Fund Indices and of Funds of Hedge Funds in Optimal Passive Portfolios , 2006 .

[32]  Zhi-Hong Yi,et al.  Portfolio selection with coherent Investor's expectations under uncertainty , 2019, Expert Syst. Appl..

[33]  Joe Zhu,et al.  Use of DEA cross-efficiency evaluation in portfolio selection: An application to Korean stock market , 2014, Eur. J. Oper. Res..

[34]  Wei Chen,et al.  Data envelopment analysis based fuzzy multi-objective portfolio selection model involving higher moments , 2018, Inf. Sci..

[35]  Wei Chen,et al.  Efficiency evaluation of fuzzy portfolio in different risk measures via DEA , 2017, Annals of Operations Research.

[36]  Abraham Charnes,et al.  Measuring the efficiency of decision making units , 1978 .

[37]  Hashem Omrani,et al.  An integrated multi-objective Markowitz-DEA cross-efficiency model with fuzzy returns for portfolio selection problem , 2016, Appl. Soft Comput..

[38]  Xi Chen,et al.  A method for risky multiple attribute decision making considering regret and rejoicing of the decision maker , 2018, Comput. Ind. Eng..

[39]  Harry M. Markowitz,et al.  Foundations of Portfolio Theory , 1991 .

[40]  Xiang Li,et al.  Mean-variance-skewness model for portfolio selection with fuzzy returns , 2010, Eur. J. Oper. Res..

[41]  Jun Zhang,et al.  A comprehensive model for fuzzy multi-objective portfolio selection based on DEA cross-efficiency model , 2020, Soft Comput..

[42]  Gholam R. Amin,et al.  Maximum appreciative cross-efficiency in DEA: A new ranking method , 2015, Comput. Ind. Eng..

[43]  Shu-Ping Wan,et al.  A cosine similarity based QUALIFLEX approach with hesitant fuzzy linguistic term sets for financial performance evaluation , 2018, Appl. Soft Comput..

[44]  Paul Na,et al.  Portfolio performance evaluation in a mean-variance-skewness framework , 2006, Eur. J. Oper. Res..

[45]  Kwai-Sang Chin,et al.  A neutral DEA model for cross-efficiency evaluation and its extension , 2010, Expert Syst. Appl..

[46]  Nabil Mansour,et al.  Multi-objective imprecise programming for financial portfolio selection with fuzzy returns , 2019, Expert Syst. Appl..

[47]  Jianjun Zhu,et al.  Regret theory-based group decision-making with multidimensional preference and incomplete weight information , 2016, Inf. Fusion.

[48]  Jianqiang Wang,et al.  Investment risk evaluation for new energy resources: An integrated decision support model based on regret theory and ELECTRE III , 2019, Energy Conversion and Management.

[49]  Hédi Essid,et al.  A mean-maverick game cross-efficiency approach to portfolio selection: An application to Paris stock exchange , 2018, Expert Syst. Appl..

[50]  C. J. Adcock,et al.  Mean-variance-skewness efficient surfaces, Stein's lemma and the multivariate extended skew-Student distribution , 2014, Eur. J. Oper. Res..